NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Sunday, Feb. 11

The Celtics are scoring at a phenomenal rate this season and especially right now. On the season, they average 120.6 points. Over their last 5 games, they are averaging 124.6. They've scored 125 or more in 3 straight. Their last 5 games are averaging 239.6 points.

Miami home games have been much higher-scoring than Miami road games. The Heat score more at home but also allow more. Games here are averaging more than 226. Boston's visit here last month finished with 253!

The Celtics are 6-3 to the over after scoring 130 or more in their most recent game. This game flies over!

SacTown (30-21, 27-24 ATS, 15-12 AWAY) takes on OKC (35-17, 31-20-1 ATS, 20-6 HOME) on Super Bowl Sunday! Tip Off is 3pm ET from the Paycom Center in OKC, OK. Oklahoma City will love the sight of returning home here as they take on the Kings.

The Thunder were throttled in Dallas last night and this is one of those games where they will look to come out with some purpose. The Thunder have to be steamin' mad with the 2 road losses they have just suffered. Plus when you look at this history of this matchup SAC absolutely OWNS OKC. Winning 9 of the L10, and the L8. There's a serious case of revenge angles here.

This is a different OKC team this year. They have an MVP candidate (SGA) and a new shiny toy in Chet Holmgren who is playing at the top of his game right now. They play some of their best basketball at home for starters. Coming into play they have won 10 of their last 11 here inside this building and they have beaten some top teams in the process.

The Thunder energy level has been up for home games and they're going to come out firing away after being demolished in their last few games. They take on a Kings defense that has its share of issues too. They come into play allowing nearly 118 ppg defensively. They constantly get beat in transition and allow a lot of open shooting lanes for the opposition.

The Thunder are the perfect team to pick that apart. Expect a lot of quick transition buckets to go along with some open looks from behind the arc. They have the talent to match the speed of the Kings and with the home edge, they have value. Trends, OKC are 20-6 at home, and are 10-1 L11.

Plus, Oklahoma City are 12-6 SU in their L18, 4-1 SU L5 on Sunday's. Lastly, The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their L10 following a straight up loss 10+. I think this is a get right game in OKC this afternoon. You know what to do. Hop ON! Back the Thunder -3.