Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Predictions, Picks, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Monday night with a blockbuster non-conference showdown between the Denver Nuggets and Philadelphia 76ers. Coverage begins from Wells Fargo Center at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Sixers 116, Nuggets 110

Best Bets

Sixers -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel

Nuggets vs. Sixers Predictions

After finishing third in the West with a record of 47-25 SU last year, Denver stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Nuggets opened with a lackluster 20-19 SU and 16-23 ATS stretch – while scoring just 105.6 OPPG during that timeframe.

The Nuggets have played excellent since the midway point of January though, considering Denver boasts sturdy records of 20-9 SU and 14-14-1 ATS across their last 29 games – while scoring 118.6 OPPG and surrendering just 112.2 DPPG during that span.

On the other hand, Philadelphia stumbled out to a similarly pedestrian start to the season, as the Sixers kicked things off with a lackluster 16-16 SU and 13-18-1 ATS stretch – while tallying just 105.4 OPPG across that window.

The Sixers have absolutely dominated since late December though, considering Philadelphia enters Monday riding an impressive 25-9 SU and 19-14 ATS run – while generating 111.3 OPPG and allowing just 106.3 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll back Philadelphia here, as the Sixers are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS since James Harden’s debut, while tallying 115.6 OPPG and allowing just 110.3 DPPG across that window – likely serving as a difficult road task for a Nuggets squad that’s surrendered 119+ PTS in four of their last seven contests (116.3 DPPG).

Nuggets vs. Sixers Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Nuggets vs. Sixers Betting Resources

• Matchup: Northwest vs. Atlantic
• Date: Monday, March 14, 2022
• Venue: Wells Fargo Center
• Location: Philadelphia, PA
• TV-Time: ESPN - 7:30 p.m. ET
• Injury Report

Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

• SU: 40-28
• ATS: 30-37-1
• O/U: 35-31-2

Despite the year-long absence of Jamal Murray, Denver has still strung together an admirable 2021-22 campaign, considering the Nuggets are stationed sixth in the Western Conference standings with a record of 40-28 SU – which trails the fifth-place Mavericks and fourth-place Jazz by less than three games.

The Nuggets still experienced their fair share of additional health issues throughout the year, primarily centered around the extended absence of their third scoring option, Michael Porter Jr. However, Denver typically holds its own at both ends regardless, considering the Nuggets have scored 115+ PTS in eight of their last 12 contests (118.3 OPPG) – and they’ve surrendered 110 PTS or less in five of their last ten (112.5 DPPG).

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Analysis

• SU: 40-25
• ATS: 32-32-1
• O/U: 28-35-2

After earning the top spot in the East with a record of 49-23 SU last year, the Sixers stumbled out to a surprisingly mediocre start to this season, as Philadelphia went just 16-16 SU across their opening 32-game stretch – while averaging less than 106 OPPG during that span (105.4 OPPG).

Joel Embiid single-handedly carried the Sixers from the Holidays to the All-Star Break, considering Philadelphia enters Monday riding an impressive 25-9 SU stretch, propelled by Embiid averaging 32.7 PPG, 11.6 REB, 4.2 AST, and 1.4 BLK across that window.

Fortunately, help has arrived in the form of Harden though, as Philadelphia acquired the ten-time All-Star from Brooklyn at the trade deadline, and he’s made an immediate impact, highlighted by the Beard averaging 22.3 PPG and 11.2 AST across the Sixers’ latest 6-2 SU stretch.

Nuggets vs. Sixers Head-to-Head

The Nuggets swept a two-game regular-season set against Philadelphia last year, with both contests staying under the total at an average of 208.5 PPG. The most recent matchup between these teams took place back in November of this season though, which resulted in a low-scoring victory for the Sixers (103-89, U 209.5).

Key Players to Watch

• DEN: Nikola Jokic - C (26.1 PPG, 13.8 REB, 8.1 AST)
• DEN: Will Barton - SG (14.9 PPG, 4.9 REB, 3.8 AST)
• PHI: Joel Embiid - C (29.7 PPG, 11.2 REB, 4.3 AST)
• PHI: James Harden - PG (22.5 PPG, 7.9 REB, 10.3 AST)

Nuggets vs. Sixers Betting Conclusion

After posting back-to-back home losses to the Warriors and Raptors, the Nuggets hit the road for Monday’s contest as moderate underdogs against the Sixers at Wells Fargo Center – marking the first time Denver has been an underdog in their last 11 games.

I’ll back Philadelphia here, as the Nuggets are 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, despite getting tagged as favorites in all seven of those matchups – setting the stage for a bumpy road trip against a Sixers squad that’s averaging 115.6 OPPG across their 6-2 SU stretch since the addition of Harden. 

Nuggets vs. Sixers Betting Trends

• The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six matchups between Denver and Philadelphia.
• The Sixers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six matchups against Denver.
• The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
• The Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
• The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten Sixers' games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson