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NFL Week 14 Predictions: The Week of the Underdog

Dylan Wilkerson
Dylan Wilkerson Sports Betting Expert
NFL Week 14 Predictions: The Week of the Underdog

Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
Here are my NFL Week 14 predictions, two primetime picks and a pick for the Chiefs vs. Texans.

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LIONS VS. COWBOYS PREDICTION

DAL @ DET Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 +3 -110 +2.5 -105 +4.5 -120 +2.5 even +2.5 -100 +5.5 -120 +5.5 -155 +2.5 -105 +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 -3 -110 -2.5 -120 -4.5 even -2.5 -121 -2.5 -120 -5.5 -110 -5.5 even -2.5 -121 -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o27.5 -105 o27.5 even o27.5 -105 o27.5 -109 o28.5 +105 o27.5 -115 o28.5 -110 o27.5 -113 o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u27.5 -115 u27.5 -120 u27.5 -115 u27.5 -114 u28.5 -125 u27.5 -115 u28.5 -130 u27.5 -109 u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +150 +135 +195 +144 +140 N/A +185 +138 +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -180 -160 -238 -176 -166 N/A -250 -175 -185  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 +0.5 -125 +0.5 -140 +0.5 -125 N/A +1.5 -150 +3.5 -135 +5.5 -115 +1.5 -141 +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 -0.5 +105 -0.5 +110 -0.5 +102 N/A -1.5 +120 -3.5 +105 -5.5 -115 -1.5 +114 -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o10 -120 o10.5 even o10.5 +114 N/A o10.5 +104 o10.5 -105 o10.5 -105 o10.5 +108 o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u10 even u10.5 -130 u10.5 -135 N/A u10.5 -128 u10.5 -125 u10.5 -140 u10.5 -134 u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +135 +135 +136 N/A +116 N/A +185 +120 +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -160 -160 -162 N/A -148 N/A -270 -148 -185  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 +1.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -145 N/A +1.5 -115 N/A -0.5 -115 +1.5 -112 +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 -1.5 -110 N/A -1.5 +114 N/A -1.5 -105 N/A +0.5 -115 -1.5 -112 -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o27.5 -115 N/A o27.5 -108 N/A o27.5 -100 o27.5 -115 o26.5 -130 o27.5 -103 o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u27.5 -105 N/A u27.5 -112 N/A u27.5 -120 u27.5 -115 u26.5 -110 u27.5 -122 u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +120 N/A -110 N/A +120 N/A -130 +123 +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -140 N/A -120 N/A -142 N/A -110 -152 -185  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 N/A N/A +1.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -116 +2.5 -115 +1.5 -115 N/A +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 N/A N/A -1.5 -110 N/A -1.5 -106 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -110 N/A -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o14.5 -110 N/A o16.5 -130 N/A o16.5 -112 o16.5 -120 o16.5 -130 N/A o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u14.5 -110 N/A u16.5 even N/A u16.5 -118 u16.5 -110 u16.5 -110 N/A u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +135 N/A +124 N/A +130 N/A +130 N/A +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -160 N/A -160 N/A -160 N/A -170 N/A -185  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 N/A N/A +0.5 -135 N/A +1.5 -152 -0.5 +125 -0.5 +110 N/A +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 N/A N/A -0.5 +105 N/A -1.5 +124 +0.5 -165 +0.5 -145 N/A -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o10.5 -105 N/A o12.5 -115 N/A o19.5 -122 o12.5 -115 o10.5 -115 N/A o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u10.5 -115 N/A u12.5 -115 N/A u19.5 -110 u12.5 -115 u10.5 -125 N/A u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +120 N/A +110 N/A +112 N/A -140 N/A +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -140 N/A -140 N/A -138 N/A +105 N/A -185  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+6 -105 +0.5 -125 N/A +0.5 -125 N/A +1.5 -142 +0.5 -120 -0.5 +115 N/A +3.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-6 -115 -0.5 +105 N/A -0.5 -105 N/A -1.5 +118 -0.5 -110 +0.5 -160 N/A -3.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
o48.5 -110 o17 -105 N/A o15.5 -110 N/A o14.5 -116 o14.5 -115 o14.5 -125 N/A o55.5 -110  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
u48.5 -110 u17 -115 N/A u15.5 -120 N/A u14.5 -104 u14.5 -115 u14.5 -115 N/A u55.5 -110  
Final
Dallas Cowboys 101 Cowboys
+210 +105 N/A +105 N/A +110 N/A -115 N/A +154  
Detroit Lions 102 Lions
-258 -125 N/A -135 N/A -134 N/A -120 N/A -185  

The Lions have been one of the more efficient teams in the red zone this season, scoring touchdowns on 65.2% of their trips. The Cowboys defense is the worst in the NFL on 3rd down, allowing .35 EPA/play.

Both of these offenses are strong offensively, but the Lions have the advantage on defense, and that is what should carry them over the Cowboys in this Thursday Night Football matchup.

Prediction: Detroit Lions -3 (-104)

PACKERS VS. BEARS PREDICTION

CHI @ GB Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 +3.5 -105 +3.5 -102 +3.5 -105 +3.5 -106 +3.5 -110 +3.5 -125 +3.5 -115 +3.5 -107 +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 -3.5 -115 -3.5 -118 -3.5 -115 -3.5 -114 -3.5 -110 -3.5 -105 -3.5 -115 -3.5 -117 -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o21.5 -115 o22.5 -110 o22.5 -112 o22.5 -102 o22.5 -105 o22.5 -110 o16.5 -125 o22.5 -112 o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u21.5 -105 u22.5 -110 u22.5 -108 u22.5 -120 u22.5 -115 u22.5 -110 u16.5 -115 u22.5 -113 u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +185 +180 +180 +189 +180 N/A +175 +195 +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -225 -220 -218 -225 -230 N/A -270 -250 -310  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -148 +0.5 -170 +1.5 -250 +1.5 -127 +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 N/A -1.5 +122 -0.5 +130 -1.5 +185 -1.5 +102 -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o7.5 -105 o7.5 -115 o7.5 -110 N/A o7.5 -106 o8.5 -115 o2.5 -120 o8.5 -112 o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u7.5 -115 u7.5 -110 u7.5 -110 N/A u7.5 -116 u8.5 -115 u2.5 -120 u8.5 -112 u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +155 +140 +150 N/A +120 N/A +170 +143 +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -185 -180 -185 N/A -148 N/A -250 -180 -310  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 +3.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -120 N/A +4.5 -120 N/A +5.5 -125 +3.5 -117 +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 -3.5 -110 N/A -3.5 -110 N/A -4.5 -100 N/A -5.5 -105 -3.5 -107 -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o20.5 -110 N/A o21.5 -115 N/A o20.5 -110 o21.5 -115 o22.5 -120 o20.5 -112 o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u20.5 -110 N/A u21.5 -105 N/A u20.5 -110 u21.5 -115 u22.5 -120 u20.5 -112 u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +165 N/A +170 N/A +225 N/A +210 +185 +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -200 N/A -220 N/A -280 N/A -325 -235 -310  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 N/A N/A +2.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -132 +2.5 +105 +1.5 +105 N/A +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 N/A N/A -2.5 -120 N/A -3.5 +108 -2.5 -135 -1.5 -140 N/A -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o13 -110 N/A o13.5 +105 N/A o13.5 -132 o13.5 +105 o12.5 -165 N/A o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u13 -110 N/A u13.5 -135 N/A u13.5 -100 u13.5 -135 u12.5 +110 N/A u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +175 N/A +150 N/A +184 N/A +155 N/A +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -210 N/A -188 N/A -225 N/A -230 N/A -310  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 N/A N/A +0.5 -115 N/A +2.5 +112 +3.5 -135 +1.5 +110 N/A +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 N/A N/A -0.5 -115 N/A -2.5 -136 -3.5 +105 -1.5 -145 N/A -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o9 -110 N/A o9.5 -115 N/A o18.5 +580 o9.5 -115 o8.5 -140 N/A o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u9 -110 N/A u9.5 -115 N/A u18.5 -1300 u9.5 -115 u8.5 -105 N/A u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +165 N/A +145 N/A +225 N/A +185 N/A +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -200 N/A -195 N/A -290 N/A -280 N/A -310  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+3.5 -105 +1 -110 N/A +1.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -118 +2.5 -115 +1.5 -105 N/A +6.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-3.5 -115 -1 -110 N/A -1.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -104 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -125 N/A -6.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
o46.5 -105 o12.5 -110 N/A o12.5 -125 N/A o11.5 -114 o12.5 -120 o12.5 -125 N/A o44.5 -105  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
u46.5 -115 u12.5 -110 N/A u12.5 -105 N/A u11.5 -110 u12.5 -110 u12.5 -115 N/A u44.5 -115  
Final
Chicago Bears 133 Bears
+154 +145 N/A +140 N/A +140 N/A +135 N/A +245  
Green Bay Packers 134 Packers
-185 -170 N/A -180 N/A -170 N/A -190 N/A -310  

The Chicago Bears are one of the luckiest teams in football according to the Action Network's Luck Rankings. This metric is a great predictor of future performance. It takes a team's expected score and compares it to their actual score. If a team's actual score is greater than their expected score, then they are considered "lucky."

Last week, we used this metric to hit the Bears/Eagles, and we are going to use this metric again to back the Packers. The rest advantage helps for the Packers as well.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-110)

TEXANS VS. CHIEFS PREDICTION

HOU @ KC Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 +3 -110 +3.5 -120 +3.5 -125 +3 -110 +3.5 -110 +2.5 even +1.5 -115 +2.5 -104 +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 -3 -110 -3.5 even -3.5 +102 -3 -112 -3.5 -110 -2.5 -120 -1.5 -115 -2.5 -121 -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o20.5 -115 o20.5 -110 o20.5 -108 o20.5 -115 o21.5 -100 o20.5 -115 o18.5 -120 o21.5 -107 o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u20.5 -105 u20.5 -110 u20.5 -112 u20.5 -104 u21.5 -120 u20.5 -105 u18.5 -120 u21.5 -117 u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +155 +155 +160 +154 +178 N/A +115 +145 +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -185 -190 -185 -190 -220 N/A -160 -182 -218  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 +0.5 -125 +0.5 -130 +0.5 -125 N/A +2.5 -102 +0.5 -130 -0.5 +160 +1.5 -141 +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 -0.5 +105 -0.5 even -0.5 +105 N/A -2.5 -120 -0.5 even +0.5 -200 -1.5 +114 -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o7.5 +105 o7.5 even o7.5 +105 N/A o7.5 -102 o7.5 even o6.5 -110 o7.5 -108 o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u7.5 -125 u7.5 -130 u7.5 -125 N/A u7.5 -120 u7.5 -130 u6.5 -130 u7.5 -115 u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +135 +135 +136 N/A +172 N/A -120 +123 +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -160 -170 -162 N/A -215 N/A -120 -152 -218  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 +3 -110 N/A +1.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -130 +2.5 -112 +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 -3 -110 N/A -1.5 -120 N/A -1.5 -100 N/A -1.5 even -2.5 -112 -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o19.5 -115 N/A o19.5 -120 N/A o19.5 -120 o19.5 -130 o20.5 -105 o19.5 -125 o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u19.5 -105 N/A u19.5 even N/A u19.5 -100 u19.5 even u20.5 -140 u19.5 even u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +140 N/A +124 N/A +114 N/A even +135 +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -165 N/A -160 N/A -132 N/A -140 -167 -218  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 N/A N/A +1.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -112 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -120 N/A +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 N/A N/A -1.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -110 N/A -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o13 -105 N/A o12.5 -135 N/A o13.5 -100 o12.5 -135 o12.5 -145 N/A o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u13 -115 N/A u12.5 +105 N/A u13.5 -134 u12.5 +105 u12.5 even N/A u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +165 N/A +135 N/A +138 N/A +120 N/A +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -200 N/A -175 N/A -168 N/A -180 N/A -218  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 N/A N/A +0.5 -135 N/A +1.5 -182 +0.5 -130 -0.5 +125 N/A +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 N/A N/A -0.5 +105 N/A -1.5 +148 -0.5 even +0.5 -165 N/A -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o7.5 even N/A o7.5 -105 N/A o10.5 +142 o7.5 -105 o8.5 -105 N/A o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u7.5 -120 N/A u7.5 -125 N/A u10.5 -192 u7.5 -125 u8.5 -140 N/A u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +145 N/A +120 N/A -108 N/A -130 N/A +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -170 N/A -154 N/A -112 N/A -115 N/A -218  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+6.5 -110 +0.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -130 +2.5 -115 +1.5 -140 N/A +4.5 -115  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-6.5 -110 -0.5 even N/A -0.5 -110 N/A -1.5 +108 -2.5 -115 -1.5 +105 N/A -4.5 -105  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
o45.5 -105 o10.5 -105 N/A o10.5 -110 N/A o10.5 +102 o10.5 -105 o10.5 -120 N/A o41.5 -108  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
u45.5 -115 u10.5 -115 N/A u10.5 -120 N/A u10.5 -122 u10.5 -125 u10.5 -120 N/A u41.5 -112  
Final
Houston Texans 143 Texans
+210 +125 N/A +110 N/A +122 N/A +105 N/A +185  
Kansas City Chiefs 144 Chiefs
-258 -150 N/A -140 N/A -152 N/A -155 N/A -218  

I am going to have to keep backing this Texans team until they let me down, and they have yet to do that. The story of the Texans is not their offense but their defense. They are one of the most efficient defensive units in professional football, ranking 1st in dropback EPA allowed and 4th in rushing EPA allowed.

Patrick Mahomes has strayed far from how he looked at the beginning of the season when he was a part of MVP conversations. Now, he has been plagued with turnovers, and I do not think this Texans defensive unit is where he gets it back on track.

Prediction: Houston Texans +3.5 (-114)

STEELERS VS. RAVENS PREDICTION

PIT @ BAL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 +3 even +3.5 -120 +3.5 -118 +3.5 -118 +3.5 -120 +3.5 -125 +5.5 -115 +3.5 -120 +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -3 -120 -3.5 even -3.5 -102 -3.5 -103 -3.5 -100 -3.5 -105 -5.5 -115 -3.5 -105 -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o21.5 -115 o21.5 -110 o22.5 -105 o22.5 +104 o22.5 -115 o22.5 -110 o22.5 -115 o22.5 -112 o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u21.5 -105 u21.5 -110 u22.5 -115 u22.5 -125 u22.5 -105 u22.5 -110 u22.5 -125 u22.5 -112 u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +160 +155 +164 +169 +166 N/A +225 +165 +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -190 -190 -192 -209 -205 N/A -350 -210 -290  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -130 +0.5 -130 +1.5 +150 +1.5 -134 +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -102 N/A -1.5 +108 -0.5 even -1.5 -225 -1.5 +107 -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o7.5 -105 o7.5 -115 o7.5 -105 N/A o8.5 -110 o7.5 -115 o8.5 -155 o7.5 -110 o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u7.5 -115 u7.5 -110 u7.5 -115 N/A u8.5 -110 u7.5 -115 u8.5 +105 u7.5 -113 u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +145 +140 +142 N/A +134 N/A +270 +135 +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -170 -180 -170 N/A -164 N/A -425 -167 -290  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 +3 -110 N/A +2.5 even N/A +2.5 -105 N/A +1.5 -105 +2.5 -104 +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -3 -110 N/A -2.5 -130 N/A -2.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -125 -2.5 -121 -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o21 -110 N/A o21.5 -108 N/A o20.5 -115 o21.5 -105 o22.5 -115 o20.5 -110 o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u21 -110 N/A u21.5 -112 N/A u20.5 -105 u21.5 -125 u22.5 -125 u20.5 -113 u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +140 N/A +154 N/A +148 N/A +125 +150 +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -160 N/A -200 N/A -174 N/A -170 -190 -290  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 N/A N/A +1.5 -115 N/A +2.5 -106 +2.5 -115 +1.5 -110 N/A +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 N/A N/A -1.5 -115 N/A -2.5 -112 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -120 N/A -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o13 -110 N/A o13.5 +110 N/A o16.5 -156 o13.5 +110 o12.5 -145 N/A o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u13 -110 N/A u13.5 -140 N/A u16.5 +118 u13.5 -140 u12.5 even N/A u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +170 N/A +135 N/A +154 N/A +135 N/A +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -205 N/A -175 N/A -192 N/A -190 N/A -290  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 N/A N/A +0.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -128 +0.5 -120 +1.5 -170 N/A +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 N/A N/A -0.5 -110 N/A -1.5 +104 -0.5 -110 -1.5 +130 N/A -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o9.5 -110 N/A o8.5 -120 N/A o17.5 +225 o8.5 -115 o8.5 -125 N/A o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u9.5 -110 N/A u8.5 -110 N/A u17.5 -320 u8.5 -115 u8.5 -115 N/A u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +140 N/A +140 N/A +138 N/A -105 N/A +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -170 N/A -180 N/A -172 N/A -140 N/A -290  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+8.5 -110 +0.5 -115 N/A +0.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -132 +2.5 -105 +1.5 -120 N/A +5.5 even  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -0.5 -105 N/A -0.5 -120 N/A -1.5 +108 -2.5 -125 -1.5 -110 N/A -5.5 -120  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
o46.5 -110 o12.5 -110 N/A o12.5 -120 N/A o11.5 -114 o11.5 -120 o12.5 -130 N/A o43.5 -115  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
u46.5 -110 u12.5 -110 N/A u12.5 -110 N/A u11.5 -110 u11.5 -110 u12.5 -110 N/A u43.5 -105  
Final
Pittsburgh Steelers 127 Steelers
+300 +125 N/A +124 N/A +120 N/A +130 N/A +225  
Baltimore Ravens 128 Ravens
-380 -150 N/A -160 N/A -152 N/A -180 N/A -290  

The Ravens' offense was the one thing they could hang their hat on, but as of late, it has been subpar. Since Week 10, the Ravens are the 4th worst in dropback EPA/play. The Steelers' defense is poised to shut down this Ravens passing attack.

If the Ravens are going to get anything going on offense, they are going to have to run the ball, which lowers the possibility of a blowout in this divisional matchup.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers +6 (-110)

FALCONS VS. SEAHAWKS PREDICTION

SEA @ ATL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 -3.5 -115 -3.5 -110 -3.5 -112 -3.5 -110 -3.5 -105 -3.5 -120 -0.5 -115 -3.5 -118 -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 +3.5 -105 +3.5 -110 +3.5 -108 +3.5 -109 +3.5 -115 +3.5 -110 +0.5 -115 +3.5 -106 +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o21.5 -120 o22.5 -110 o22.5 -108 o22.5 -105 o23.5 +110 o22.5 -110 o20.5 +105 o22.5 -120 o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u21.5 even u22.5 -110 u22.5 -112 u22.5 -115 u23.5 -130 u22.5 -110 u20.5 -155 u22.5 -104 u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -225 -210 -198 -218 -220 N/A -140 -225 -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +180 +170 +164 +174 +166 N/A even +170 +285  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 -0.5 -105 -0.5 even -0.5 even N/A -1.5 +122 -0.5 +105 +1.5 +125 -1.5 +114 -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -125 +0.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -148 +0.5 -135 -1.5 -165 +1.5 -141 +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o7.5 -110 o7.5 -118 o8.5 -112 N/A o8.5 -110 o7.5 -115 o8.5 +125 o8.5 -115 o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u7.5 -110 u7.5 -110 u8.5 -108 N/A u8.5 -110 u7.5 -115 u8.5 -190 u8.5 -108 u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -180 -170 -175 N/A -152 N/A +185 -159 -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +150 +135 +145 N/A +120 N/A -280 +128 +285  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 -3.5 -110 N/A -3.5 -120 N/A -3.5 -115 N/A -4.5 -120 -3.5 -112 -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 +3.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -105 N/A +4.5 -110 +3.5 -112 +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o21 -110 N/A o22.5 -110 N/A o21.5 -110 o22.5 -115 o22.5 -120 o20.5 -120 o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u21 -110 N/A u22.5 -110 N/A u21.5 -110 u22.5 -115 u22.5 -120 u20.5 -105 u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -185 N/A -245 N/A -240 N/A -350 -250 -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +160 N/A +185 N/A +198 N/A +230 +195 +285  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 N/A N/A -2.5 -125 N/A -2.5 -126 -2.5 -135 -2.5 -120 N/A -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 N/A N/A +2.5 -105 N/A +2.5 +102 +2.5 +105 +2.5 -115 N/A +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o13 -115 N/A o13.5 +110 N/A o3.5 +114 o13.5 +105 o12.5 -170 N/A o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u13 -105 N/A u13.5 -140 N/A u3.5 -152 u13.5 -135 u12.5 +115 N/A u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -205 N/A -215 N/A -210 N/A -200 N/A -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +175 N/A +160 N/A +164 N/A +135 N/A +285  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 N/A N/A -2.5 -125 N/A -2.5 -120 -2.5 -125 -2.5 -140 N/A -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 N/A N/A +2.5 -105 N/A +2.5 -102 +2.5 -105 +2.5 +105 N/A +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o9.5 -110 N/A o9.5 -115 N/A o16.5 -126 o9.5 -115 o8.5 -145 N/A o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u9.5 -110 N/A u9.5 -115 N/A u16.5 -108 u9.5 -115 u8.5 even N/A u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -185 N/A -260 N/A -235 N/A -300 N/A -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +155 N/A +190 N/A +190 N/A +190 N/A +285  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
+1.5 -108 -1 -110 N/A -0.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -104 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -115 N/A -7 even  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-1.5 -112 +1 -110 N/A +0.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -118 +2.5 -120 +2.5 -115 N/A +7 -120  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
o45.5 -108 o12.5 -115 N/A o12.5 -130 N/A o12.5 -110 o12.5 -130 o12.5 -130 N/A o44.5 -112  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
u45.5 -112 u12.5 -105 N/A u12.5 even N/A u12.5 -110 u12.5 even u12.5 -110 N/A u44.5 -108  
Final
Seattle Seahawks 129 Seahawks
even -165 N/A -160 N/A -170 N/A -200 N/A -375  
Atlanta Falcons 130 Falcons
-120 +145 N/A +124 N/A +136 N/A +140 N/A +285  

The Falcons are one of the unluckiest teams in football according to Action Network's Luck Rankings, so I am betting on some positive regression for Kirk Cousins and company. Dating back to Week 11, the Falcons' offensive numbers have not been as bad as you would expect. They rank 10th in EPA/play, with a dropback success rate of 53.6%. Overall success rate? Atlanta ranks 2nd, behind only the Los Angeles Rams.

Seattle has been trending down the past few weeks, ranking 20th in EPA/play and relying very heavily on explosive plays. The Falcons keep this game close.

Prediction: Atlanta Falcons +7 (-108)

BROWNS VS. TITANS PREDICTION

TEN @ CLE Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -105 +1.5 -112 +2.5 -108 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -105 -6.5 -125 +1.5 -113 +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -108 -2.5 -112 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -115 +6.5 -105 -1.5 -110 -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o16.5 -110 o16.5 -118 o16.5 -122 o16.5 -118 o16.5 -120 o16.5 -115 o20.5 -110 o16.5 -112 o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u16.5 -110 u16.5 -102 u16.5 +102 u16.5 -103 u16.5 -100 u16.5 -105 u20.5 -130 u16.5 -112 u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +140 +140 +124 +142 +138 N/A -650 +125 +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -170 -170 -148 -173 -174 N/A +375 -157 -205  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 +0.5 -150 +0.5 -155 +0.5 -155 N/A +1.5 -152 +0.5 -160 -8.5 +105 +1.5 -159 +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 -0.5 +125 -0.5 +120 -0.5 +130 N/A -1.5 +130 -0.5 +120 +8.5 -140 -1.5 +128 -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o6.5 -140 o6.5 -150 o6.5 -142 N/A o6.5 -122 o6.5 -135 o8.5 -225 o6.5 -137 o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u6.5 +120 u6.5 +115 u6.5 +120 N/A u6.5 -100 u6.5 +105 u8.5 +145 u6.5 +112 u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +125 +115 +124 N/A +120 N/A -270 +114 +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -150 -145 -148 N/A -150 N/A +175 -141 -205  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 +2.5 -110 N/A +2.5 even N/A +2.5 -115 N/A +3.5 -140 +1.5 -115 +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 -2.5 -110 N/A -2.5 -130 N/A -2.5 -105 N/A -3.5 +105 -1.5 -107 -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o16.5 -110 N/A o15.5 -118 N/A o15.5 -125 o16.5 -110 o16.5 -105 o16.5 even o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u16.5 -110 N/A u15.5 -102 N/A u15.5 +105 u16.5 -120 u16.5 -140 u16.5 -125 u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +135 N/A +154 N/A +132 N/A +155 +120 +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -160 N/A -200 N/A -158 N/A -230 -148 -205  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 N/A N/A +1.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -122 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -115 N/A +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 N/A N/A -1.5 -115 N/A -1.5 +102 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -115 N/A -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o9.5 -110 N/A o9.5 -130 N/A o10.5 +110 o9.5 -140 o10.5 +115 N/A o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u9.5 -110 N/A u9.5 even N/A u10.5 -146 u9.5 +110 u10.5 -170 N/A u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +155 N/A +145 N/A +132 N/A +140 N/A +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -185 N/A -188 N/A -168 N/A -200 N/A -205  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 N/A N/A +0.5 -140 N/A +1.5 -164 +0.5 -160 +1.5 -130 N/A +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 N/A N/A -0.5 +110 N/A -1.5 +134 -0.5 +120 -1.5 even N/A -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o7 +105 N/A o6.5 -125 N/A o0.5 +560 o6.5 -130 o6.5 -120 N/A o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u7 -125 N/A u6.5 -105 N/A u0.5 -1150 u6.5 even u6.5 -120 N/A u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +140 N/A +124 N/A +114 N/A +140 N/A +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -165 N/A -160 N/A -138 N/A -200 N/A -205  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
+1.5 -110 +0.5 -135 N/A +0.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -136 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -140 N/A +4.5 -118  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-1.5 -110 -0.5 +115 N/A -0.5 -110 N/A -1.5 +112 -1.5 -115 -1.5 +105 N/A -4.5 -102  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
o41.5 -110 o9.5 -115 N/A o8.5 -125 N/A o9.5 +102 o9.5 -115 o8.5 -145 N/A o33.5 -108  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
u41.5 -110 u9.5 -105 N/A u8.5 -105 N/A u9.5 -124 u9.5 -115 u8.5 even N/A u33.5 -112  
Final
Tennessee Titans 125 Titans
even +120 N/A +130 N/A +120 N/A +115 N/A +170  
Cleveland Browns 126 Browns
-120 -140 N/A -166 N/A -152 N/A -160 N/A -205  

This game is not for the faint of heart. You can go to this game for a whopping $12, so if you are in the Cleveland area, they may be handing out tickets for free around 9:00 AM. The Browns have posted the 2nd-lowest EPA/play and 2nd-lowest dropback EPA in the NFL dating back to Week 11.

These teams have comparable rushing offenses, so I will take the team getting the points in a matchup that is so even.

Prediction: Tennessee Titans +4.5 (-118)

BUCS VS. SAINTS PREDICTION

NO @ TB Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 +4.5 -115 +4.5 -110 +3.5 +102 +4.5 -112 +4.5 -110 +4.5 -110 -0.5 +105 +4.5 -118 +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 -4.5 -105 -4.5 -110 -3.5 -122 -4.5 -108 -4.5 -110 -4.5 -110 +0.5 -140 -4.5 -106 -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o21 -105 o20.5 -115 o20.5 -115 o20.5 -113 o20.5 -105 o20.5 -115 o28.5 even o20.5 -114 o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u21 -115 u20.5 -105 u20.5 -105 u20.5 -108 u20.5 -115 u20.5 -105 u28.5 -145 u20.5 -109 u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +210 +225 +200 +220 +230 N/A -120 +215 +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -260 -285 -245 -295 -310 N/A -120 -278 -440  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 +0.5 +105 +2.5 -120 +1.5 -112 N/A +2.5 -110 +1.5 -115 -2.5 -140 +2.5 -109 +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 -0.5 -125 -2.5 -105 -1.5 -108 N/A -2.5 -112 -1.5 -115 +2.5 +105 -2.5 -113 -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o7.5 even o7.5 +105 o7.5 +105 N/A o7.5 -100 o7.5 even o16.5 +120 o7.5 -103 o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u7.5 -120 u7.5 -135 u7.5 -125 N/A u7.5 -124 u7.5 -130 u16.5 -180 u7.5 -121 u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +180 +165 +164 N/A +172 N/A -425 +175 +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -220 -200 -205 N/A -215 N/A +270 -225 -440  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 +3.5 -110 N/A +4.5 -115 N/A +3.5 -110 N/A +5.5 -130 +3.5 -107 +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 -3.5 -110 N/A -4.5 -115 N/A -3.5 -110 N/A -5.5 -105 -3.5 -117 -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o20 -110 N/A o20.5 -102 N/A o19.5 -110 o20.5 even o18.5 -140 o19.5 -121 o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u20 -110 N/A u20.5 -118 N/A u19.5 -110 u20.5 -130 u18.5 -105 u19.5 -103 u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +165 N/A +230 N/A +198 N/A +185 +190 +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -200 N/A -315 N/A -245 N/A -280 -245 -440  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 N/A N/A +3.5 -130 N/A +3.5 -132 +3.5 -135 +1.5 +105 N/A +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 N/A N/A -3.5 even N/A -3.5 +108 -3.5 +105 -1.5 -140 N/A -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o12.5 -110 N/A o12.5 -140 N/A o6.5 -110 o12.5 -135 o12.5 -130 N/A o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u12.5 -110 N/A u12.5 +110 N/A u6.5 -122 u12.5 +105 u12.5 -110 N/A u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +220 N/A +195 N/A +186 N/A +160 N/A +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -270 N/A -260 N/A -235 N/A -220 N/A -440  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 N/A N/A +2.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -110 +2.5 -115 +1.5 +105 N/A +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 N/A N/A -2.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -130 N/A -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o7.5 -105 N/A o7.5 -115 N/A o17.5 +160 o7.5 -105 o8.5 -105 N/A o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u7.5 -115 N/A u7.5 -115 N/A u17.5 -220 u7.5 -125 u8.5 -140 N/A u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +180 N/A +165 N/A +168 N/A +175 N/A +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -220 N/A -215 N/A -210 N/A -300 N/A -440  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+9.5 -112 +0.5 -110 N/A +2.5 -115 N/A +1.5 -108 +2.5 even +1.5 -110 N/A +7.5 -102  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-9.5 -108 -0.5 -110 N/A -2.5 -115 N/A -1.5 -112 -2.5 -130 -1.5 -120 N/A -7.5 -118  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
o45.5 -110 o10.5 -110 N/A o10.5 -110 N/A o10.5 +106 o10.5 even o10.5 -105 N/A o41.5 -115  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
u45.5 -110 u10.5 -110 N/A u10.5 -120 N/A u10.5 -132 u10.5 -130 u10.5 -140 N/A u41.5 -105  
Final
New Orleans Saints 135 Saints
+320 +140 N/A +154 N/A +154 N/A +155 N/A +330  
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 136 Buccaneers
-410 -170 N/A -200 N/A -194 N/A -200 N/A -440  

There are tons of things I like about this matchup. The Buccaneers are 6th in Action Network's Luck Rankings, whereas the Saints are 25th. When you add that in with the fact that the Saints are a divisional underdog of more than a touchdown, this feels like a perfect spot for Tyler Shough and head coach Kellen Moore to shine.

We know that Baker Mayfield is not 100%, so the Saints have multiple things going in their favor here. Since Week 10, the Saints have a higher dropback EPA than the Bucs. This feels like a good buy-low spot for the Saints.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints +9 (-115) + New Orleans Saints Moneyline (+385)

RAIDERS VS. BRONCOS PREDICTION

DEN @ LV Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 -4.5 -105 -4.5 -105 -5.5 -112 -4.5 -106 -6.5 -100 -6.5 -105 -8.5 -105 -6.5 -107 -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 +4.5 -115 +4.5 -115 +5.5 -108 +4.5 -114 +6.5 -120 +6.5 -115 +8.5 -125 +6.5 -117 +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o20.5 even o20.5 even o20.5 +102 o20.5 -102 o20.5 +105 o20.5 -105 o20.5 -110 o20.5 -110 o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u20.5 -120 u20.5 -120 u20.5 -122 u20.5 -122 u20.5 -125 u20.5 -115 u20.5 -130 u20.5 -113 u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -270 -275 -310 -275 -350 N/A -900 -375 -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +220 +220 +250 +215 +270 N/A +475 +280 +360  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -2.5 -110 -0.5 -105 N/A -2.5 -140 -3.5 +110 -6.5 -140 -3.5 +116 -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +2.5 -118 +0.5 -115 N/A +2.5 +116 +3.5 -140 +6.5 +105 +3.5 -143 +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o7.5 +110 o7.5 +105 o7.5 +114 N/A o7.5 -102 o7.5 -110 o8.5 +120 o7.5 even o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u7.5 -130 u7.5 -135 u7.5 -135 N/A u7.5 -120 u7.5 -120 u8.5 -180 u7.5 -125 u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -190 -200 -192 N/A -300 N/A -2000 -295 -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +160 +155 +154 N/A +235 N/A +900 +230 +360  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 -3.5 -110 N/A -3.5 -125 N/A -3.5 -100 N/A -2.5 -145 -3.5 +102 -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 +3.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -105 N/A +3.5 -120 N/A +2.5 +110 +3.5 -127 +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o19.5 -115 N/A o19.5 -112 N/A o18.5 -110 o19.5 -120 o18.5 -130 o19.5 -114 o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u19.5 -105 N/A u19.5 -108 N/A u18.5 -110 u19.5 -110 u18.5 -110 u19.5 -109 u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -225 N/A -238 N/A -215 N/A -240 -205 -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +180 N/A +180 N/A +178 N/A +160 +160 +360  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 N/A N/A -3.5 +105 N/A -3.5 +106 -3.5 +105 -2.5 -145 N/A -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 N/A N/A +3.5 -135 N/A +3.5 -128 +3.5 -135 +2.5 +110 N/A +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o12 -110 N/A o12.5 -125 N/A o10.5 +118 o12.5 -120 o12.5 -125 N/A o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u12 -110 N/A u12.5 -105 N/A u10.5 -158 u12.5 -110 u12.5 -115 N/A u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -260 N/A -245 N/A -230 N/A -270 N/A -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +210 N/A +185 N/A +194 N/A +175 N/A +360  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 N/A N/A -2.5 -120 N/A -1.5 +114 -0.5 even -0.5 even N/A -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 N/A N/A +2.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -138 +0.5 -130 +0.5 -130 N/A +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o7.5 even N/A o7.5 even N/A o7.5 +184 o7.5 even o8.5 even N/A o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u7.5 -120 N/A u7.5 -130 N/A u7.5 -260 u7.5 -130 u8.5 -145 N/A u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -225 N/A -250 N/A -162 N/A -170 N/A -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +185 N/A +190 N/A +132 N/A +125 N/A +360  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-3.5 -110 -2 -110 N/A -2.5 -135 N/A -2.5 -110 -2.5 -135 -2.5 -120 N/A -8.5 -110  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+3.5 -110 +2 -110 N/A +2.5 +105 N/A +2.5 -108 +2.5 +105 +2.5 -110 N/A +8.5 -110  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
o43.5 -110 o10.5 even N/A o10.5 even N/A o9.5 -134 o10.5 +105 o10.5 even N/A o40.5 -105  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
u43.5 -110 u10.5 -120 N/A u10.5 -130 N/A u9.5 +110 u10.5 -135 u10.5 -145 N/A u40.5 -115  
Final
Denver Broncos 137 Broncos
-175 -190 N/A -250 N/A -210 N/A -220 N/A -470  
Las Vegas Raiders 138 Raiders
+145 +160 N/A +190 N/A +164 N/A +150 N/A +360  

The Broncos are the 2nd-luckiest team in Action Network's Luck Rankings, while the Raiders are 29th. This is by far the biggest gap of the week. The Broncos took a far inferior Commanders team down to the wire on Sunday Night Football in Week 13, so I don't see why a divisional rival can't do the same.

We have seen the Broncos' offense struggle, so the Raiders' defense may not need to be stout in order for the Broncos' drives to stall. I like the Raiders to keep this game close.

Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 (-105)

I would love to hear from you all. You can interact with me on Threads and best of luck this week.

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Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson has over 5 years of experience reporting and analyzing the sports betting industry for various sites. His portfolio includes work for SportsHandle and Action Network, in addition to VegasInsider. His favorite sports are the NFL, College Football, The PGA Tour, the LIV Tour, and Cricket. Dylan has a broad and deep understanding of various sports-related topics. More from Dylan Wilkerson
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