NFL Odds: Chiefs vs Ravens Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends | AFC Championship Game

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for the Chiefs vs Ravens AFC Championship Game: the lines, spreads, betting trends and more.

The Conference Round of the NFL Playoffs kicks things off Sunday mid-afternoon with the Kansas City Chiefs set to take on the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship Game. The betting odds see Kansas City as a 3.5-point underdog after escaping with a narrow upset victory over Buffalo in the Divisional Round.

Coverage begins from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore on Sunday, January 28 at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

• Opening point spread: Ravens -3.5 (-115) vs. Chiefs
• Opening moneyline: Ravens -194/Chiefs +162
• Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
• Time: 3 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 2:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Shortly before kickoff, BetMGM remains at Ravens -4.5 (-105), where it's been since this morning. Baltimore opened -3.5 last Sunday night and went to -4 Saturday.

The Ravens are landing 55% of spread bets/68% of spread money. On the moneyline, 71% of bets are on Kansas City, but 61% of cash is on Baltimore. That includes bets of $175,000 and $100,000 on Ravens moneyline -200

"We are rooting for the Chiefs and the Under here," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said. "We are still taking Chiefs bets, but more Ravens bets."

The total opened at 45, spent much of the week at 44.5 and is now at 44. However, the Over is seeing 73% of tickets/71% of dollars.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Station Sports, which operates several sportsbooks around Las Vegas, opened AFC Championship Game odds on the low end. Baltimore hit the board as a 3-point favorite.

"It took a few days to drive us to Ravens -3.5 and -4," Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said this afternoon, while acknowledging he's aware of the Ravens -4.5 spread at Circa. "There's nothing to push us in the direction of 4.5 yet. Right now, it looks like we're going to be Chiefs fans."

At least on the point spread. The moneyline is another story at Station.

"We are seeing a lot of Chiefs moneyline play. The ticket count on the Chiefs is quite a bit higher than the Ravens," Esposito said. "Right now, we'd be looking at a scenario of Ravens winning by 1, 2 or 3 as the perfect outcome. But a lot can change between now and kickoff."

Station opened the total at 46 and dropped down to 44.5. This afternoon, it nudged up to 45.

"Initially, there was some sharp action on the Under. But ticket count clearly favors the Over, as does the money bet," Esposito said.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Over the past 18 hours, Circa Sports has twice moved the Ravens out to -4.5 on the NFL conference championship odds board. Baltimore opened -3.5 Sunday and on Monday briefly went to -3, juiced to -120/-125, before going to -3.5 (even).

On Tuesday, Circa was the first book to go to Ravens -4. Baltimore advanced to -4.5 Friday evening, returned to -4 for about 45 minutes this morning, then returned to -4.5. Circa is the only sportsbook Ravens -4.5.

"All Ravens money. We're begging for a K.C. bet," Circa Sports director of operations Jeff Benson said.

Circa's total toggled between the 44.5 opener and 44 a few times this week. It's currently at 44.5 (Under -115).

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Ostensibly 72 hours out from the opener in the NFL odds conference championship market, TwinSpires Sportsbook is among a few shops that have the Ravens at -4. Baltimore opened -3.5 Sunday evening and went to -4 Wednesday.

The Chiefs are landing 68% of spread tickets, while 60% of spread cash is on the Ravens.

"It's shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes matchup. The public is finding it hard to pass on K.C. getting 4 points, with the playoff success the Chiefs have had," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

Further, on the moneyline, it's 70% tickets/77% money on Kansas City.

"Chiefs moneyline is an extremely popular side," Lucas said.

TwinSpires' total opened and remains 44.5. The Over is seeing 54% of early tickets/58% of early dollars.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Save for some brief moments at Ravens -3, BetMGM has been steady at -3.5 in its NFL odds conference championship market. At the moment, Baltimore is -3.5 (-115), so there's a lean toward -4. In fact, multiple sportsbooks moved to -4 Tuesday and remain there today, including Circa Sports and The SuperBook.

The Ravens are taking a modest majority 54% of spread bets at BetMGM, but a more notable 70% of spread money. On the moneyline, Kansas City is netting 65% of bets, while 61% of cash is on Baltimore.

"Right now, we're taking more Ravens bets. But +3.5 is all Chiefs money, and -3 is all Ravens money," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said.

The total opened at 45 and has spent the first half of the week at 44.5. Tickets and money are running in the 3/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City reached the AFC Championship Game for the sixth consecutive year. The defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs, catching 2.5 points on the road, held off Buffalo 27-24 when the Bills missed a late field goal.

After a late-regular-season lag, K.C. (13-6 SU/11-7-1 ATS) is on a 4-0 SU and ATS surge. Still, The SuperBook opened AFC Championship Game odds at Baltimore -3.5 (even).

"The Ravens are power-rated higher than K.C., and they're at home," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said shortly after the odds posted. "Kansas City's offense hasn't put it together against a healthy defense all year. And Baltimore has just smoked every good team it's played this season."

The total opened at 45.5 in The SuperBook's NFL odds conference championship market. That number was on the move quickly, dropping a point to 44.5 within 10 minutes tonight.

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Baltimore (14-4 SU/11-6 ATS) was stuck in a 10-10 tie with Houston in the opening Divisional Round game. But the Ravens took over in the second half and rolled to a 34-10 victory as 10-point home favorites.

John Harbaugh's squad is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in its last eight games. The lone SU loss was in a meaningless regular-season finale against Pittsburgh, in which Lamar Jackson and many other starters rested.

Next up for the Ravens: Either the Chiefs or Bills, who meet Sunday night in Buffalo. FanDuel Sportsbook went ahead and posted AFC Championship Game odds for both possible matchups. Top-seeded Baltimore opened -3 (-115) vs. Buffalo and -3.5 (-115) vs. Kansas City.

Check back for a Sunday update in the NFL odds conference championship market.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Conference Championship Odds Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Ravens Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

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Pick: TBD

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Conference Playoffs: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Chiefs vs Ravens

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

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For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Conference Playoffs Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson