Last Updated Nov 29, 2022, 1:15 PM
NFL Week 7 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
NFL Week 7 odds don't exactly light up the board. It's a short circuit when compared with the likes of Bills-Chiefs or Cowboys-Eagles in Week 6.
About the only noteworthy matchup is the Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers, a rematch of Super Bowl 54. But even a lackluster NFL slate will still attract bettors.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on NFL Week Seven odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Patriots -7; Over/Under 39
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET MONDAY: New England opened as a 7.5-point home chalk in WynnBet's NFL Week 7 odds market. On Tuesday morning, the Patriots advanced to -8, where they stuck all week until moving to -8.5 this afternoon.
Point-spread ticket count is almost 3/1 on the Patriots, and spread money is much more lopsided at 6/1-plus. Bettors are all over New England on the moneyline, too, even though it's a hefty price of -400.
WynnBet said it'd be satisfied with the Bears just covering the number, which would be a break-even result for the book. Obviously, an outright upset would be welcomed, unlikely as it is to happen.
The total opened at 39 (Over -115) and quickly went to 39.5, where it stuck most of the past week. On Saturday, it rose to 40 and 40.5, then this afternoon returned to 40.
The Under is seeing 57% of tickets/63% of money at WynnBet.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports pegged the Patriots -7 at Sunday night's outset, and New England has spent pretty much all week at -7.5 in the NFL Week 7 odds market. Point-spread ticket count is running 4/1 and spread money beyond 9/1 on the Pats for Monday Night Football.
Caesars' total opened at 39, spent most of the week at 39.5 and went to 40 late this morning. The Over is getting 58% of tickets, while 62% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England is 3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS, but feels as if it might be on the way up. The Patriots have won two in row SU and three in a row ATS, and rookie QB Bailey Zappe is all the rage for the moment. Zappe is in the lineup because the Pats remain without Mac Jones (ankle) and second-string Brian Hoyer (concussion).
In Week 6, Zappe threw for 309 yards and two TDs, with no INTs, in a 38-15 New England road rout of Cleveland. The Patriots closed as 3-point pups in that contest.
Chicago doesn't feel as if it's on the way up, dropping three in a row SU to fall to 2-4 SU/2-3-1 ATS. The Bears managed only one score in the Week 6 Thursday nighter, on a third-quarter TD, and lost to Washington 12-7 as 1.5-point home 'dogs.
Perhaps the only plus is Chicago gets the fullest mini-bye possible, playing on Thursday in Week 6, followed by the Monday game in Week 7. Early bettors don't seem to care.
"We opened the Patriots -7 and were quickly bet to -7.5," John Murray said of a speedy move in The SuperBook's NFL Week 7 odds market. "New England is a hot team right now and is playing great football with Zappe at QB. Their defense looks great. This could be a real long night on the road for Justin Fields. He’s struggling big time and not getting any help."
The total is stable tonight at 39.
Opening line: Dolphins -6.5; Over/Under 45
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With 50 minutes until kickoff, WynnBet has Miami at -7 (-120) on the NFL Week 7 odds board. A week ago, Miami opened at -6 (-115), and by Monday morning, the Dolphins were up to -7.
Since then, Tua Tagovailoa and Co. have seen only juice adjustments, remaining at -7 all week. The move to -7 (-120) came Friday.
The Steelers are netting 59% of spread tickets, while 65% of spread money is on the Dolphins. Miami is more popular on the moneyline, at 72% of tickets/90% of money.
WynnBet needs the Steelers to at least cover and would prefer an outright Pittsburgh upset.
The total opened at 45, dropped to 44 Monday, returned to 45 Tuesday and peaked at 45.5 Friday morning. By Saturday afternoon, the number fell back to 44.5, where it sits now.
It's two-way action on the total, with ticket count dead even and 52% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Dolphins opened -6.5 Sunday night on Caesars Sports' NFL Week 7 odds board. Miami went to -7 Monday morning and has spent all week at various price iterations of -7. Tagovailoa and Co. are currently -7 flat.
Miami is drawing a relatively modest 59% of spread tickets, but that's translating into 87% of spread money for the Sunday night game.
Caesars opened the total at 44.5, went to 45 in short order Sunday night, then backed up to 44 Monday. On Wednesday, the total again reached 45, and this morning, it rose to 45.5. The Over is seeing 54% of tickets and much more lopsided 79% of money.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is set to return for the Sunday night game. That was expected, and as such, WynnBet opened Miami at -6.5 (-115) Sunday night and moved to -7 Monday morning.
The Steelers are seeing 60% of early spread tickets, but 88% of early spread dollars are on the Dolphins.
WynnBet opened the total at 45, fell to 44 Monday morning, then returned to 45 Tuesday morning. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Under, but money is 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh (2-4 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) pulled off one of the bigger shockers of the 2022-23 season thus far. Going off as 10-point home underdogs, the Steelers stifled Tom Brady and Tampa Bay in a 20-18 victory.
Miami has found life much less enjoyable without Tua Tagovailoa, going from 3-0 SU and ATS to 3-3 SU and ATS. In Week 6, the Dolphins couldn't keep up with Minnesota, losing 24-16 as 3.5-point home pups.
"The Dolphins are supposed to get Tua back, and they definitely need him back ASAP. It’s easy to forget how hot that team was, at 3-0 after beating the Bills," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "We will need Pittsburgh here, but this is a pretty weak Sunday night game, and I don’t anticipate the handle being anywhere close to what we saw tonight [in Cowboys-Eagles]."
Miami remains -6.5 tonight, and the total is unchanged, as well, at 45.
Opening line: Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under 47
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Forty minutes before kickoff, the Chiefs are down to -1 in WynnBet's NFL Week 7 odds market. A week ago, Kansas City opened at -3 (-105) and quickly adjusted to -3 flat. On Wednesday, the Chiefs nudged down to -2.5, then on Thursday night – in the wake of San Francisco acquiring Christian McCaffrey – K.C. dipped to -2.
Kansas City went to -1.5 Friday night, then today moved to -1. The Chiefs are netting 60% of spread tickets and 62% of spread dollars. WynnBet said it needs a Chiefs win and a 49ers cover today.
WynnBet opened the total at 46.5, got to 48.5 by Monday evening, then went to 49 Thursday and 49.5 Saturday. Today, the total inched back to 49. the Under is netting 53% of tickets, while 64% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This matchup got a bit more interesting when, Thursday night, the 49ers made a deal with the Carolina Panthers to acquire star running back Christian McCaffrey. That led to a half-point adjustment at Caesars Sports, which lowered the Chiefs from -2.5 to -2.
The line originally opened at K.C. -2.5 Sunday night, moved to Chiefs -3 within a couple of hours and spent the first half of the week at various price iterations of -3. Caesars went to -2.5 Wednesday afternoon, then to -2 on the McCaffrey news.
Point-spread ticket count is running 5/1 on Kansas City, but spread money is just shy of 2/1 on the 49ers. That's due in large part to two bets: $110,000 and $55,000 on San Fran +3, with each bettor getting the best of the number.
"This game was definitely a tough one going into this week, with what to make the line,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “Both teams are coming off losses, but the Niners' loss [to the Falcons] looked worse in the public’s eyes. Just seeing how bad the Niners looked last week was a bit surprising, though I think it was more a blip on the radar. It seems like a good rebound spot with the Niners, and not just after adding McCaffrey. I think getting their guys healthier, like Trent Williams and Nick Bosa, should help them a lot.”
The total went from 47.5 to 46.5 late Sunday night at Caesars, then rebounded to 48.5 by Monday evening. This morning, the total ticked up to 49. Ticket count is 2/1 on the Under, but money is just shy of 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Kansas City was stuck at -3 since WynnBet opened this game Sunday night, initially at -3 (-105) before quickly going to -3 flat. Nothing changed until just about an hour ago, when the Chiefs receded to -2.5.
K.C. is taking 80% of early spread bets, but interestingly, 57% of early spread cash is on short home 'dog San Francisco. Similarly on the moneyline, 81% of bets are on the Chiefs (-150), but 69% of money is on the Niners (+125).
The total jumped from 46.5 to 48.5 by Monday night and has been stable since. Ticket count is almost dead even, but 94% of early money is on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: In Week 6, Kansas City came up just short in a battle of two of the league's best teams. The Chiefs (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS), rare home underdogs catching 2.5 points, lost to Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills 24-20, in a rematch of last season's epic AFC playoff clash.
K.C. is 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
Meanwhile, San Francisco got an unexpected spanking in Week 6. Closing as 3.5-point road faves, the 49ers (3-3 SU and ATS) were shut out in the second half of a 28-14 loss to Atlanta.
The last meeting between these two teams came in the aforementioned 2019-20 season finale, a 31-20 Chiefs Super Bowl win as 1.5-point favorites.
"The Chiefs' schedule never seems to let up, and a week after playing the Bills, they have to head west to take on the 49ers," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "The public will definitely back K.C. here. But it’s another tough spot for Patrick Mahomes and Co."
Still, the first move in this NFL Week 7 odds market favored the Chiefs, with the line moving to Kansas City -3 (even) late tonight. The total is stable at 47.
Opening line: Jaguars -2.5; Over/Under 42.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: With 2.5 hours until kickoff, the Jaguars are 3-point favorites on DraftKings' NFL Week 7 odds board. The number opened -2 last Sunday, spent most of the week at -3, and touched -3.5 a couple of times.
Point-spread ticket count is running 4/1 Giants at DK, but spread money is running closer, at 3/2 Giants. Bettors are banking more on Giants moneyline, where tickets are running 5/1 and money almost 4/1 on New York.
The total opened at 43, backed up to 42 early in the week and on Saturday peaked at 43.5, where it sits now. Ticket count is 3/2 and money 4/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Jacksonville hit Caesars' NFL Week 7 odds board at -2.5 (-115) Sunday night and within 90 minutes was up to -3. The Jags then spent all week at -3, with the price toggling between the flat -110, -105 and even. Jacksonville is now -3 flat.
New York has a nearly 4/1 edge in point-spread ticket count at Caesars, but spread dollars are much more two-way, with 53% on Jacksonville. Early bettors are also hammering the Giants moneyline, at 95% of tickets/83% of money. New York is +140 to win outright.
"If you’re someone who looks at the records only, you’re going to be questioning why the line is what it is,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “If any spot looks too good to be true, it usually is. I made the line a little bit lower, but in my opinion, the Jaguars should definitely be favored. The Jaguars have gotten a lot of respect this year with how their lines have been. I don’t think [a] 2-4 [record] is indicative of how good of a team they are. You could say that they’re the best 2-4 team out there.”
Caesars' total opened and spent most of the week at 42.5. On Monday, it briefly went to 43, and on Wednesday morning, it hit its low of 42. Thursday afternoon, the total returned to 43, where it sits now, with 61% of early tickets/87% of early cash on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: New York is the upstart and trendy team, and the Giants are popular this week. But the line has moved toward Jacksonville thus far. WynnBet opened the Jaguars -2.5 (-125) Sunday night, moved to Jags -3 (-105) early Monday, then late Monday morning went to -3 (-115).
The Jags remain -3 (-115) this evening, despite early ticket count of 7/1 and early money 2.5/1 on the Giants.
WynnBet hasn't budged off the total of 42.5, with tickets almost dead even and money running heavily to the Under at 6/1-plus.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New York (5-1 SU and ATS) is quickly becoming the best surprise of the 2022-23 NFL season. After upending the Packers as 8.5-point 'dogs in London, the Giants stunned Baltimore 24-20 catching 5.5 points at home.
New York forced Lamar Jackson into a late interception and a fumble, cashing in on the INT with a Saquon Barkley touchdown to account for the final score.
Jacksonville was on that best surprise list through three weeks, after routing Indianapolis, then going on the road and pounding the Chargers. But Trevor Lawrence and Co. have faded since, going 0-3 SU and ATS. In Week 6, the visiting Jags (2-4 SU and ATS) gave Indy all it could handle, but fell short 34-26 as 1.5-point underdogs.
"The Giants just keep winning games. At some point, you have to give them credit, even though I thought today's win was gifted to them on an unbelievably bad decision from Lamar Jackson," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "I would expect the public to definitely be on the 'dog here. The Giants continue to reward bettors."
Early on, though, the Jags sit at -2.5 (-120), and the total is stable at the 42.5 opener in The SuperBook's NFL Week 7 odds market.
Opening line: Titans -2; Over/Under 42.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings opened the Titans -2 late Sunday night, touched -3 Tuesday and has since been nailed to -2.5. Ticket count and money are running about 2/1 on Tennessee.
DK opened the total at 42, peaked at 43.5 early in the week, bottomed out at 41.5 Saturday and is now 42. Ticket count is just shy of 3/2 on the Over, while money is almost 4/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Tennessee opened as a 2-point home chalk at Caesars Sports, then Monday morning went to -2.5 and -3. The line has been stable at Titans -2.5 flat since late Tuesday night.
Point-spread ticket count is almost dead even,, with a slight lean toward Tennessee, while 59% of spread money is on the Titans. Tennessee took a massive $220,000 bet at -2.5, offset to a degree by another Caesars customer putting $130,000 on Colts +3.5 (-130).
Caesars opened the total at 42, quickly went to 42.5 Sunday night, then peaked at 43.5 Tuesday afternoon. The total then made its way down to 41.5 earlier this afternoon, and it's now back at the 42 opener.
The Under is taking 54% of tickets and a hefty 91% of cash so far.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After a very shaky 0-1-1 SU/0-2 ATS start, Indianapolis is trying to put things back together. The Colts (3-2-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games, though the lone setback was a 24-17 loss laying 4.5 points at Tennessee in Week 4.
In Week 6, Indy was without star running back Jonathan Taylor, but nabbed a 34-27 home win over Jacksonville on a final-minute touchdown. The Colts cashed as 1.5-point favorites while avenging a stunning 24-0 Week 2 road loss to the Jags.
Tennessee will be plenty rested for this matchup, coming off its bye week. The Titans (3-2 SU and ATS) are on a 3-0 SU and ATS surge, after beating Washington 21-17 in a pick 'em game in Week 5.
"No move off the openers here," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "I know the Colts are 3-2-1, but I don’t understand why or how. They pulled off another late-game win today against the Jaguars. I'm not really sure how people are going to bet us on this one, but I do know the wiseguys seem to like the Colts."
The line and total are stable tonight.
Opening line: Cardinals -2; Over/Under 45
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video)
7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Forty-five minutes before kickoff, WynnBet has Arizona -2 (-115) in the NFL Week 7 odds market. The Cardinals opened -2 Sunday night, quickly went to -1.5 and stuck there until going back to -2 early Wednesday.
Arizona has been stable at -2.5 since Wednesday night. Point-spread ticket count is running 2/1 on the Cardinals, but spread dollars are far more lopsided, at almost 9/1.
"It's a lot of Cards money. We will be rooting for the Saints, as it stands now," BetMGM trader Andy Morrissey said.
The total moved from 45 to 44.5 Sunday night, then back to 45 Monday morning. On Tuesday, the total returned to 44.5, then dipped to 44 Wednesday, where it remains now.
The Under is seeing 57% of tickets/53% of cash.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: On Sunday night, DraftKings pegged the Cardinals as 2.5-point home favorites. By early Monday, Arizona was down to -1.5, and the number dipped to -1 Tuesday afternoon.
The line climbed to Cards -2 early Wednesday and hit -3 briefly overnight Wednesday into today. Much of that movement is likely tied to the Saints being minus wideouts Michael Thomas (foot) and Jarvis Landry (ankle), among other absentees tonight. Plus, Saints QB Jameis Winston (back/ankle) appears to be out again, so Andy Dalton could be under center.
And the Cardinals are set for the return from suspension of star wideout DeAndre Hopkins.
Arizona is now -2.5 (-115), with point-spread ticket count 2/1 and spread money 3/1 a few hours before kickoff.
The total is down to 43.5 from a 46 opener, with stops at every half-point along the way during the week. It's two-way action, with 53% of tickets/54% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet's NFL Week 7 odds market opened Sunday evening with Arizona a 2-point home chalk. Late Sunday, the number dipped to Cardinals -1.5, and late Tuesday night, the Cards briefly fell to -1.
That was followed by a move to -2 overnight Tuesday/Wednesday, and the line has toggled between Cardinals -2 and -2.5 since then. Arizona is now -2.5 while taking 61% of spread bets, but spread money is running almost dead even.
PointsBet opened the total at 44.5 Sunday night, peaked at 45.5 multiple times Monday and bottomed out this afternoon at 43.5, where it sits now. Tickets and money are both running almost dead even, with a very slight nod to the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: If you were hoping this was the week that brought a more intriguing Thursday night matchup, well, keep hoping. The game perhaps has a little promise, as New Orleans has scored 25 or more points in its last three outings. However, Arizona scored 17 or less in three of its last four.
In Week 6, the Saints (2-4 SU and ATS) led almost the entire game against Cincinnati. But New Orleans gave up a late field goal and touchdown, falling 30-26 as a 3-point home underdog.
Arizona (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) mustered just one TD (missing the extra point) and a field goal in a 19-9 loss laying 2.5 points at Seattle.
"Another Thursday gem," SuperBook executive director John Murray said, with a strong hint of sarcasm. "I’m very curious to see how much farther the Cardinals go with Kliff Kingsbury. Their offense is just lifeless, and the team has too much talent to be playing this poorly. This will be a lightly bet game given the matchup, but it’s still the NFL and it’s in prime time, so there should be at least some interest."
There's no early interest, however, or at least not enough to move either number. The Cards remain -2, and the total sits at 45.