Last Updated Nov 07, 2022, 7:57 PM
NFL Week 9 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
NFL Week 9 odds provide a couple matchups that look good at first blush. The Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans, and the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Then you look at the Titans-Chiefs odds and see K.C. laying double digits. And you look at the standings and see the Rams and Bucs just aren't good right now.
But it's NFL betting. We'll wager, regardless.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on NFL Week Nine odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: Ravens -3; Over/Under 48
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Three hours-plus before kickoff, Baltimore is a 1.5-point favorite at Caesars Sports. That's after opening at -3.5 on Oct. 30, dipping to -2.5 by the middle of last week, then going to -2 Saturday afternoon and -1.5 Sunday morning.
The Ravens are getting 72% of spread tickets at Caesars, but 64% of spread dollars are on the Saints. The drivers of that discrepancy: a $325,000 bet on Saints +3 (-130) and a $165,000 bet on Saints +2.
Caesars' total is at 46.5, arriving there Sunday night. That's down 2 points from the 48.5 Oct. 30 opener, with most of the movement coming between Friday and Sunday.
Ticket count is almost dead even on the total, but 89% of money is on the Under. That's because Caesars has seen five bets of $50,000 or more on the total, and all five are on the Under. That includes $220,000 on Under 47, and a pair of $110,000 plays on Under 47.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Baltimore moved between various price iterations of -3.5 and -3 early in the week at Caesars Sports. On Wednesday, the Ravens dipped to -2.5 (even), and they've been at -2.5 flat since Thursday afternoon.
Baltimore is taking 62% of early spread tickets for Monday Night Football, but 74% of early spread dollars are on New Orleans.
The total opened at 48.5 Sunday night and has spent most of the week at 48, where it sits now. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: It took eight weeks, but Baltimore (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) finally strung together two consecutive wins. Playing in the Week 8 Thursday nighter, the Ravens topped Tampa Bay 27-22 catching 2.5 points on the road.
New Orleans (3-5 SU and ATS) hasn't been much to talk about this season, but its third win was impressive. The Saints, getting 1.5 points at home, blanked the Raiders 24-0.
"We opened the Ravens -3 here, although I have to admit that I was impressed with the Saints' defense today," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "The Ravens have played to a high power rating all season and have three extra days off to prepare, after the win on Thursday night. The public will be squarely on Baltimore here."
Neither the line nor total moved tonight on The SuperBook's NFL Week 9odds board.
Opening line: Chiefs -11.5; Over/Under 47
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Inside of an hour before kickoff, the Chiefs recently moved from -13.5 to -14 at WynnBet, on news that Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle) is inactive. Kansas City opened -11 last Sunday night and stretched to -12.5 by Tuesday afternoon.
At lunch hour today, the Chiefs rose to -13 and -13.5, likely on speculation that Tannehill wouldn't play. That confirmation in the last half-hour or so led to the move to K.C. -14.
Tennessee is getting 60% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money. With two-way play, WynnBet said there's not much of a need, though the book would love to see a huge Tennessee upset behind rookie QB Malik Willis.
The total opened at 46 and initially ticked up to 46.5 last Sunday night. It returned to 46 Thursday, went to 45.5 Friday, then 45 this afternoon. The number is at 45 now, with 72% of tickets on the Over/56% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Kansas City is a 12.5-point favorite in Caesars Sports' NFL Week 9 odds market. The Chiefs opened -11.5 Sunday night and within minutes dipped down to -11.
But by Monday afternoon, the number was up to K.C. -12 and shortly thereafter went to -12.5, where it's remained all week. That said, opinion is divided on this Sunday night clash, with ticket count 2/1 on the double-digit 'dog Titans, and money 2/1 on the favored Chiefs.
The total opened at 47, nudged to 47.5 Wednesday, then slid down to 45.5 by Thursday night. The total is now 4at 46. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings has the Chiefs laying 12.5 points midweek for the Sunday night matchup. Kansas City opened -11 Sunday night, briefly dipped to -10.5 Monday afternoon, then shortly thereafter shot to -12.5.
The line hasn't moved since, with the Titans netting 57% of early tickets and the Chiefs seeing 58% of early money.
DraftKings opened the total at 47, went to 46.5 early Monday, then to 46 Tuesday morning. That said, 70% of early tickets/63% of early dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City didn't have to put on its football costume during Halloween week, with the team enjoying its bye. In Week 7, the Chiefs (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) pounded San Francisco 44-23 as 1-point road favorites. It was a nice rebound from K.C.'s 24-20 home loss to Buffalo.
Tennessee was down starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle/illness) in Week 8 and had to start rookie Malik Willis under center. Willis did very little against Houston, but much wasn't necessary, as Derrick Henry ran for a massive 219 yards and two touchdowns.
That helped the Titans (5-2 SU and ATS) notch a 17-10 victory as 1.5-point road favorites. And don't look now, but the Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS. So maybe this week's Sunday Night Football clash will be more competitive than the double-digit spread might indicate.
"We opened the Chiefs -11.5, but came down to -11 due to some bets coming in on the 'dog," said John Murray, executive director at The SuperBook. "The Titans have been on a roll, but it has mostly come against weak competition. We know the public will be all over Kansas City here, especially in this time slot and especially with the Chiefs coming in rested off their bye week."
The total also adjusted a tick tonight, down to 46.5.
Opening line: Buccaneers -2.5; Over/Under 43
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: 70 minutes before kickoff, WynnBet's NFL Week 9 odds board has Tampa Bay a 3-point home chalk. The Buccaneers opened -2.5 last Sunday night, quickly adjusted to -2.5 (-115), then Monday morning went to -3 (-115) at lunchtime Monday.
On Tuesday afternoon, Tampa fell back to -2.5 (-120), then returned to -3 Friday. The Bucs are now -3 flat, while taking 54% of spread tickets and a more noteworthy 71% of spread money. Moneyline tickets are split 50/50, but moneyline dollars are running 2/1 on the Bucs.
WynnBet said it needs the Rams in a rematch from last season's outstanding NFC playoff game.
The total opened at 42.5 and stuck there all week until moving to 43 earlier today. The Over is seeing a modest majority 52% of tickets, but that's translating to 82% of money.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sports pegged Tampa Bay a slim 1.5-point chalk at Sunday's outset, and by Monday afternoon, the Bucs were up to -3. The line has pretty stuck there since and is currently Tampa -3 (-105).
The Bucs are seeing 58% of early spread tickets/65% of early spread dollars.
Caesars opened the total at 43 and spent pretty much all week at 42.5, where it sits now. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tampa Bay has toggled between -2.5 and -3 a couple of times on DraftKings' NFL Week 9 odds board. The Bucs are currently -3 (-105), with ticket count almost dead even, but 82% of money on Tampa Bay.
DK opened the total at 42.5, briefly touched 43 late Tuesday morning, then returned to 42.5. The Over is taking 61% of tickets, but 80% of cash is on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: These two teams met in the NFC Divisional Round last season, with Los Angeles claiming a 30-27 victory as a 2.5-point road underdog. The Rams went on to beat the 49ers for the NFC title, then topped the Bengals in the Super Bowl.
However, Los Angeles is 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS this season, including two losses to the aforementioned Niners. In Week 8, the Rams held a 14-10 halftime lead as 1-point favorites against San Francisco. But L.A. didn't score again, losing 31-14.
Meanwhile, Tom Brady and the Bucs have dumped five of six SU and six in a row ATS. In the Week 8 Thursday nighter, Tampa Bay (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS) closed as a 2.5-point home chalk and lost to Baltimore 27-22.
"We opened the Bucs -2.5 after watching the Rams collapse in the second half of their loss to the 49ers," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "Both of these teams have been hugely disappointing so far this season, but the Bucs are still right in the mix in the NFC South. They bet us up to Bucs -2.5 (-120) tonight, and we took a lot of wiseguy action on Tampa on the look-ahead number [pick 'em] during the last week.
"It'll be interesting to see how they bet the game this week."
The total nudged down a tick to 42.5.
Opening line: Bills -11.5; Over/Under 46.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:15 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than three hours before kickoff, Buffalo is laying 12.5 points at WynnBet, on a line that has bounced around a bit. The Bills opened -12.5 last Sunday and quickly went to -11.5, then rebounded to -13 by Monday morning.
By Thursday, the Bills were back down to -11.5, and they dipped to -11 early this morning. Buffalo is getting 58% of spread bets, but New York is attracting 75% of spread dollars. WynnBet said it'll need the big-road chalk Bills today.
WynnBet opened the total at 47.5, went to 47 Tuesday morning, 46.5 Tuesday night and 46 Thursday afternoon. The total remains 46 this morning, with 57% of tickets on the Over/78% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Buffalo hit Caesars' NFL Week 9 odds board as an 11.5-point chalk Sunday night and stretched to -13 Monday morning. But the number has since backed up, first to -12.5 Wednesday, then Thursday to -11.5, where it stands now.
Point-spread ticket count is almost dead even, with a slight lean toward the Jets. But spread money is almost 3/1 on New York.
The total toggled between 47.5 and 47 a couple of times early in the week. On Thursday it dipped to 46.5, then 46, and it's been stable since. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Bills are 12.5-point favorites midweek at DraftKings, matching Sunday night's opening number. Buffalo touched -13 a couple of times Monday and earlier today, and was at -12 briefly this afternoon.
The Bills are getting 57% of early spread bets/60% of early spread money.
DK has the total at 47, where it's been since Tuesday morning, after opening at 47.5. Ticket count is dead even, but money is almost 4/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo (6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) continues to play well in the role of Super Bowl favorite. The Bills, playing in the Week 8 Sunday nighter, jumped out to a 24-7 halftime lead and coasted to a 27-17 victory. But Buffalo failed to cash as a 10.5-point home favorite.
New York (5-3 SU and ATS) had its fans pretty excited and Jets bettors certainly pleased with a four-game SU and ATS run. But that surge ended in Week 8.
Zach Wilson and Co. led New England 10-6 at halftime, bud didn't score again until getting a TD inside the final two minutes of the game. New York fell 27-22 as a 3-point home 'dog.
"We opened the Bills -11.5 and closed it when the [Packers-Bills] Sunday night game kicked," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "As well as the Jets have played during the first half of the season, they still don’t get much respect in the betting markets, as evidenced by them closing +3 at home today against the Patriots. Buffalo is the best team in the NFL. We know where the money will be coming in here."
Neither the line nor the total moved before Bills-Jets was taken off the NFL Week 9 odds board tonight. The SuperBook will repost Bills-Jets on Monday morning.
Opening line: Chargers -3; Over/Under 48.5
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 10:15 A.M. ET SUNDAY: WynnBet's NFL Week 9 odds board has the Chargers -2.5 this morning. That's after Los Angeles spent all week at various price iterations of the -3 opener, before dipping to -2.5 in the past hour.
Point-spread ticket count is dead even, while the Falcons are nabbing 73% of spread dollars.
WynnBet opened the total at 48 (Over -115), moved to 49 Monday evening and 49.5 Saturday afternoon. The Over is getting 59% of tickets, but those tickets are translating into a hefty 96% of cash.
WynnBet said Chargers and the Under are the need, and in fact, the Falcons are the book's largest liability on the Sunday NFL docket.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Chargers have been painted to -3 all week at Caesars Sports, save for a couple of hours at -3.5 (even) Tuesday afternoon. That was followed by a move to -3 (-120), and L.A. is now -3 flat.
Early spread ticket count is running 2/1 on the Chargers, and early spread money is much more lopsided, at 9/1 Chargers.
Caesars' total moved from 48.5 to 49 a couple of times early in the week, then Wednesday went to 49.5, where it remains. Betting splits on the total aren't available today.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Atlanta (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS) has been much better than expected this season, and in fact covered in its first six games. In Week 8, the Falcons outlasted Carolina 37-34 in overtime, but failed to cover as 4.5-point home faves. Atlanta is actually atop the mediocre NFC South at this point.
Los Angeles (4-3 SU and ATS) was a trendy offseason pick in Super Bowl odds, but finds itself just a game above .500. The Chargers are coming off their bye, after a 37-23 home loss giving 4.5 points to Seattle.
"We opened the Chargers -3 here, even though it’s always hard to trust this team," The SuperBook's John Murray said. "Atlanta gave the game away today, and then had Carolina give it right back. The Falcons have been solid as a 'dog all season. We should see good two-way action here."
To Murray's point, Atlanta was an underdog in its first six games and cashed in all them. The Falcons were also a 'dog in Week 7, but didn't cover in a 35-17 loss getting 6.5 points at Cincinnati.
There's been no movement with the line or total tonight.
Opening line: Eagles -13; Over/Under 43
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: A couple of hours before kickoff, the Eagles are laying 14 points at WynnBet. Philly opened -13 Sunday night and has toggled between -14 and -13.5 since Tuesday afternoon.
The Eagles are landing 71% of spread tickets and 76% of spread dollars.
"We have sharp action on the Eagles at -13, -13.5 and -14," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "We will need the Texans to keep it close, but not win, as we have some Texans moneyline liability."
WynnBet opened the total at 43 and by Tuesday afternoon reached 45.5. The number peaked at 46 Wednesday night, and it's been at 45.5 since late this morning. The Under is drawing 56% of tickets/54% of money.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: A day out from kickoff, PointsBet USA's NFL Week 9 odds board shows the Eagles as 13.5-point favorites. On Sunday night, Philly opened at -13, and the line reached -14 Tuesday afternoon. The number toggled between -13.5 and -14 today before settling at -13.5 this evening.
That said, it's all Eagles on the spread for early bettors, with ticket count at 4/1 and money approaching 9/1.
"This is definitely going to be one of our biggest liabilities of the week," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said. "Eagles moneyline is currently our most popular leg in parlays across the board for Week 9."
PointsBet opened the total at 43.5 Sunday night, reached 45 Tuesday afternoon and peaked at 45.5 late this afternoon. The Over is landing 61% of early tickets/65% of early dollars.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: It's another not-so-riveting Thursday Night Football matchup, but at least it includes undefeated Philadelphia (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS). In Week 8, the Eagles rolled over Pittsburgh 35-13 laying 11 points at home.
Houston (1-5-1 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) is in the basement of the AFC. In Week 8, the Texans were 1.5-point home pups and lost to Tennessee 17-10.
"These Thursday night games get better and better," The SuperBook's John Murray said, in a comment dripping with sarcasm. "We opened the Eagles -13, knowing the public action will be a one-way flood of money on Philly. I do think Philadelphia is the best team in the NFC, but I'll be interested to see the outcome when they play a team with both a pulse and a healthy starting QB."
That's not the case this week. The line and total are stable tonight on The SuperBook's NFL Week 9 odds board.