2026-27 NFL Rookie Of The Year Odds: Fernando Mendoza The New Favorite

NFL Rookie of the Year odds for 2026-27 got a huge jolt, as the regular season heads to Week 10.

Updated on 11/12/26

Polymarket
Deposit $10, Get a $25 Trading Bonus!
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

At the trade deadline, the Las Vegas Raiders sent Kirk Cousins to the Minnesota Vikings. That elevates rookie Fernando Mendoza to starter for the Raiders. And Mendoza shot straight to the favorite in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, though it's still a wide-open race.

And New York Giants linebacker Arvell Reese is 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. Check back for 2026-27 NFL Rookie of the Year odds and action updates from an array of sportsbooks, including bet365.

(Feature image: Troy Taormina/Imagn Images)

Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

Fernando Mendoza +300 + +300 + +300 + +200 + +350 +  
Denzel Boston +500 + +600 + +500 + +500 + +550 +  
Carnell Tate +500 + +600 + +600 + +500 + +500 +  
Jonah Coleman +475 + +500 + +600 + +400 + +430 +  
KC Concepcion +650 + +750 + +650 + +700 + +650 +  
Antonio Williams +3000 + +1500 + +4500 + +5000 +  
Carson Beck +1400 + +1800 + +1500 + +1400 + +1500 +  
Omar Cooper +2000 + +1400 +  
Caleb Douglas +1600 + +3000 + +2500 + +2200 + +2500 +  
Germie Bernard +3000 + +3000 + +2500 + +4000 + +4500 +  
Makai Lemon +2500 + +4000 + +2500 + +2500 + +2500 +  
Jordyn Tyson +2200 + +3000 + +2800 + +4000 + +4500 +  
Jadarian Price +3000 + +4000 + +3000 + +3000 + +4000 +  
Mike Washington +2500 + +3500 + +3300 + +4000 +  
Emmett Johnson +5000 + +5000 + +4500 + +6000 + +7500 +  
Ja'Kobi Lane +4000 + +8000 + +5000 + +8000 + +10000 +  
Malachi Fields +7500 + +8000 + +5000 + +8000 + +8000 +  
Kaelon Black +6000 + +10000 + +5000 + +5000 + +7500 +  
Seth McGowan +4000 + +8000 + +6000 + +4000 + +7500 +  
Kenyon Sadiq +7500 + +10000 + +6000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Eli Raridon +6000 + +6600 + +6500 + +6000 + +7500 +  
Cole Payton +6000 + +6500 +  
Jeremiyah Love +5000 + +7000 + +5000 +  
Josh Cameron +7500 + +25000 + +7500 + +6000 +  
Ted Hurst +7500 + +7500 +  
Skyler Bell +10000 + +8000 +  
Zachariah Branch +10000 + +25000 + +10000 +  
Zavion Thomas +10000 + +25000 + +10000 +  
Eli Stowers +10000 + +10000 +  
Cyrus Allen +5000 + +10000 +  
Kaytron Allen +10000 + +10000 +  
Demond Claiborne +10000 + +10000 +  
Kevin Coleman +10000 +  
Chris Autman-Bell +10000 +  
Nicholas Singleton +10000 + +10000 +  
Chris Bell +15000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Drew Allar +10000 + +10000 +  
Nate Boerkircher +15000 + +15000 +  
Jalon Daniels +15000 + +25000 + +15000 +  
Sam Roush +15000 + +15000 +  
Justin Joly +20000 + +20000 +  
Vega Ioane +10000 + +25000 +  
Ty Simpson +25000 + +25000 +  
Eli Heidenreich +30000 + +30000 +  
Will Kacmarek +30000 + +30000 +  
Athan Kaliakmanis +30000 +  
Blake Miller +50000 + +50000 +  

See All

Defensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

Arvell Reese -110 + -115 + -110 + -140 + -125 +  
David Bailey +260 + +250 + +250 + +250 +  
Jacob Rodriguez +750 + +750 + +800 + +2500 +  
Sonny Styles +1200 + +850 + +800 + +1500 + +1800 +  
Gabe Jacas +1800 + +1500 + +1500 + +1500 + +2500 +  
Caleb Downs +1800 + +2800 + +2500 + +2200 + +3000 +  
Mansoor Delane +3000 + +2500 + +2500 + +3500 + +4500 +  
Dillon Thieneman +2500 + +2000 + +2500 + +3500 + +5000 +  
Anthony Hill +3000 + +3000 + +3000 + +4000 +  
Rueben Bain +3000 + +3500 + +6000 + +7000 +  
Akheem Mesidor +4000 + +4000 + +4000 + +3500 + +7500 +  
Josiah Trotter +2200 + +4000 + +4000 + +3500 + +2700 +  
Hezekiah Masses +5000 + +5000 + +5000 + +7500 + +7500 +  
Kendal Daniels +6000 +  
R Mason Thomas +6500 + +6500 + +8000 +  
Harold Perkins +7500 + +8000 + +7000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren +6000 + +8000 + +7000 + +6000 + +6000 +  
Jake Golday +7500 + +10000 + +7500 +  
Brandon Cisse +5000 + +6600 + +7500 + +5000 + +5000 +  
Treydan Stukes +7500 + +10000 + +7500 + +6000 + +6000 +  
Cashius Howell +6000 + +7500 +  
Zakee Wheatley +8000 +  
Jaishawn Barham +5000 + +8000 + +8000 + +7500 + +10000 +  
Keldric Faulk +10000 + +10000 + +8000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Romello Height +10000 + +15000 + +8000 +  
Peter Woods +10000 + +10000 + +8000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Chris Johnson +10000 + +8000 +  
TJ Parker +7500 + +8000 + +8000 + +8000 +  
Keionte Scott +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Genesis Smith +10000 +  
Colton Hood +10000 + +25000 + +10000 +  
Bryce Boettcher +10000 + +15000 + +10000 + +8000 + +8000 +  
Daylen Everette +10000 +  
D'Angelo Ponds +10000 + +15000 + +10000 +  
Zion Young +10000 + +25000 + +10000 + +12500 +  
Avieon Terrell +10000 + +15000 + +10000 + +12500 +  
CJ Allen +10000 + +15000 + +10000 +  
Jermod McCoy +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Dani Dennis-Sutton +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +8000 + +8000 +  
Will Lee +10000 +  
Robert Spears-Jennings +10000 +  
Malachi Lawrence +10000 +  
Chris Johnson +10000 + +10000 +  
A.J. Haulcy +10000 + +10000 +  
Jordan van den Berg +10000 + +10000 +  
Derrick Moore +10000 +  
Caleb Banks +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Davison Igbinosun +12500 + +25000 + +12000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
LT Overton +12500 + +12000 +  
Michael Taaffe +12500 +  
Caden Curry +15000 + +25000 + +15000 + +10000 +  
Keith Abney +15000 + +15000 +  
Kayden McDonald +15000 + +12500 +  
Joshua Josephs +15000 + +25000 + +15000 +  
Christen Miller +15000 + +25000 + +15000 +  
Lee Hunter +20000 + +25000 + +20000 + +10000 + +10000 +  
Jalon Kilgore +20000 + +25000 + +20000 +  
AJ Haulcy +25000 +  

See All

Playbook by Action

2026-27 NFL Rookie of the Year Odds

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Betting this market? Check out Action Network's analysis of Fernando Mendoza's path to Rookie of the Year!

LATEST UPDATE: Just how unimpressive has the 2026 rookie crop been this season? So unimpressive that even though many players had an eight- or nine-game head start, Las Vegas Raiders QB Fernando Mendoza went from bench to favorite ahead of Week 10.

Mendoza has zero starts this year and played in just one game, drawing mop-up duty in a 45-17 loss to the New England Patriots. Hours before the Nov. 10 trade deadline, Mendoza was +2500 in BetMGM's NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds.

That put Mendoza as the co-ninth choice. Post-trade deadline, with only eight games ahead of him, Mendoza soared to the +300 favorite.

Four others are very much in the chase, though:

  • Denver Broncos running back Jonah Coleman +500
  • Tennessee Titans wideout Carnell Tate +600
  • Cleveland Browns wideout Denzel Boston +600
  • Browns wideout KC Concepcion +750

And Arizona Cardinals QB Carson Beck could work his way up, now that he's been named the starter ahead of Week 10, as well. Beck is the +1800 sixth choice.

But no one now chasing Mendoza has an impressive stat line. Coleman has 47 carries for 191 yards and three touchdowns, along with 13 receptions for another 128 yards.

Tate has has 34 catches for 413 yards and one TD. Tate and Coleman were the +450 co-favorites before the Mendoza promotion. But the Titans are just 2-7 this season, while Denver is 7-2.

Also, Tate has a shoulder injury that forced him out of the Week 8 game vs. Cincinnati. Tennessee had a bye in Week 9, but Tate is still questionable for Week 10 vs. Jacksonville.

Boston arguably has the better stat line, with 32 catches for 501 yards and three TDs. He's questionable for Week 10 vs. Houston, due to a toe injury.

BetMGM's latest splits for 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year futures are from just before the trade deadline. The top five in tickets at that point:

  • Seattle Seahawks running back Jadarian Price
  • Arizona Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love
  • Tate
  • De'Zhaun Stribling
  • Beck

Love, who opened as the +300 favorite, is no longer on the board. After missing Weeks 6 and 7 with an ankle injury, he suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 8 vs. Dallas and was put on IR.

Stribling, a wideout with the San Francisco 49ers, suffered a Week 1 ankle injury that required surgery. So he's off the board altogether, too.

The top five in money at BetMGM:

  • Love
  • Beck
  • Tate
  • Price
  • Stribling

Those tickets/money betting splits will surely see some shifting when BetMGM sends out its next update, after Mendoza's first start of the year Sunday vs. the Seattle Seahawks.

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds

New York Giants linebacker Arvell Reese made a notable leap from pre-Week 9 to pre-Week 10. Prior to Week 9, Reese was the +275 co-favorite with New York Jets edge rusher David Bailey.

Post-Week 9, Reese is the -115 solo favorite in BetMGM's 2026-27 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. Reese is having a solid first year, with 68 tackles (49 solo), including 4.5 sacks.

In fact, all those sacks have come in Reese's last five games, as have a forced fumble, a recovered fumble and an interception.

Bailey's odds also improved, but only slightly, from +275 to +250. Bailey had five sacks through his first five games, but has slowed down since. He's now got 44 tackles (26) solo, including 7.5 sacks, and he's forced five fumbles.

Miami Dolphins linebacker Jacob Rodriguez is the +750 third choice, followed by Washington Commanders linebacker Sonny Styles (+850). No other player is shorter than +1500.

second choice, followed closely by at +375. Rounding out the top five are Washington Commanders linebacker Sonny Styles (+1000) and Kansas City chiefs cornerback Mansoor Delane (+1800.)

Dallas Cowboys safety Caleb Downs is No. 1 in ticket count. But after opening +850, Downs is out to +3000. Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebacker Rueben Bain Jr. leads in money for NFL Rookie of the Year odds, but he's now +5000 after opening at +550.

The top five in ticket count at BetMGM:

  • Dallas Cowboys safety Caleb Downs
  • Styles
  • Bain
  • Rodriguez
  • Bailey

Downs is the +2800 eighth choice. The top five in money in BetMGM's NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year futures odds:

  • Bailey
  • Bain
  • Styles
  • Downs
  • Rodriguez

2025-26 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Opening Odds

As noted above, Tetairoa McMillan won NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Below are opening odds on the top 10 players at BetMGM for the 2025-26 honor:

  • Commanders QB Cam Ward +250
  • Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty +250
  • Jaguars WR Travis Hunter +550
  • Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan +1300
  • Chargers RB Omarion Hampton +1500
  • Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson +2000
  • Saints QB Tyler Shough +2000
  • Browns RB Quinshon Judkins +2000
  • Packers WR Matthew Golden +2200
  • Giants QB Jaxson Dart +2500

2025-26 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Opening Odds

As noted above, Carson Schwesinger won the 2025-26 honor, though he started the season well out of the top 10 in NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. Below are opening odds on the top 10 players at BetMGM for the 2025-26 honor:

  • Giants LB Abdul Carter +250
  • Jaguars DB Travis Hunter +750
  • Falcons LB Jalon Walker +900
  • 49ers DE Mykel Williams +1000
  • Ravens LB Jike Green +1200
  • Bengals DE Shemar Stewart +1500
  • Browns DT Mason Graham +1600
  • Eagles LB Jihaad Campbell +1800
  • Falcons LB James Pearce Jr. +1800
  • Ravens DB Malaki Starks +2000

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

  • 2025 - WR Tetairoa McMillan, Carolina Panthers
  • 2024 - QB Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders
  • 2023 - QB C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans
  • 2022 - WR Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
  • 2021 - WR Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
  • 2020 - QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
  • 2019 - QB Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
  • 2018 - RB Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
  • 2017 - RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints
  • 2016 - QB Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
  • 2015 - RB Todd Gurley, St. Louis Rams
  • 2014 - WR Odell Beckham, New York Giants
  • 2013 - RB Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers
  • 2012 - QB Robert Griffin, Washington Redskins
  • 2011 - QB Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
  • 2010 - QB Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Winners

  • 2025 - LB Carson Schwesinger, Cleveland Browns
  • 2024 - DE Jared Verse, Los Angeles Rams
  • 2023 - DE Will Anderson, Houston Texans
  • 2022 - CB Sauce Gardner, New York Jets
  • 2021 - LB Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys
  • 2020 - DE Chase Young, Washington Football Team
  • 2019 - DL Nick Bosa, San Francisco 49ers
  • 2018 - LB Darius Leonard, Indianapolis Colts
  • 2017 - DB Marshon Lattimore, New Orleans Saints
  • 2016 - DL Joey Bosa, San Diego Chargers
  • 2015 - DB Marcus Peters, Kansas City Chiefs
  • 2014 - DL Aaron Donald, St. Louis Rams
  • 2013 - DL Sheldon Richardson, New York Jets
  • 2012 - LB Luke Kuechly, Carolina Panthers
  • 2011 - DL Von Miller, Denver Broncos
  • 2010 - DL Ndamukong Suh, Detroit Lions

NFL Featured Odds

Popular NFL Odds

Most Popular Betting Odds

•