NFL Draft Expert Betting Picks: QBs, RBs & Prop Bets
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
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NFL Draft Betting Guide: Expert Picks & Preview
The three-day NFL Draft begins on Thursday night in a unique way this season. Due to the COVID-19 that has overshadowed daily life in this country, the draft will be held online instead of originally planned in Las Vegas. However, there are still NFL draft odds posted so bettors can still enjoy the action. The sportsbook at FanDuel has provided plenty of betting props for the first round.Our stable of NFL expert handicappers has come together to provide their best bet props for the NFL Draft on 14 different props from FanDuel. The props range from how many quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers will be selected in the first round, along with how many offensive and defensive players will be taken among the first 32 picks.
Odds subject to change
Total Quarterbacks Drafted in Round 1
The first prop offered involves how many quarterbacks will be taken in the first round. The number is listed at 4.5 quarterbacks selected as the 'under' is set at -700 (Bet $700 to win $100) and the 'over' is +440 (Bet $100 to win $440). LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is expected to be the top pick of the draft by the Cincinnati Bengals, while Alabama standout Tua Tagovailoa and Oregon's Justin Herbert are projected to be top 10 selections.VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 4.5 (-700)
Expert Bruce Marshall chimes in with the "under" on this opening bet, "I project only 3 quarterbacks (Burrow, Tagovailoa, and Herbert), but not a lot of value in -600. I might even be tempted by go "under" if the number was 3.5 or 4 as not sure about the Jordan Love hype."However, Zack Cimini counters by saying the 'over' on this prop will cash on Thursday, "Recent success with young quarterbacks such as Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen have refocused GM’s eyes on quarterback needs. Revamped offensive systems to quarterbacks strengths has sped up development. With quality depth throughout the league still lacking look for GM’s to have a flurry of picks on this year’s stacked position."
| Total QBs Drafted in Round 1 Over 4.5 (+440) Under 4.5 (-700) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total Running Backs Drafted in Round 1
The number for the amount of running backs taken in the first round is the lowest of any of the positions available to bet on. To cash the 'over' on running backs selected among the first 32 players, only one running back needs to be taken and the odds are -192 (Bet $192 to win $100) on that bet. If you believe no running backs will be taken in the first round, the 'under' is set at +150 (Bet $100 to win $150).VI Expert Consensus Lean - Over 0.5 (-192)
The consensus barely leans towards the 'over' as Joe Williams believes at least one running back will go off the board, "Someone has to roll the dice on Wisconsin's Jonathan Taylor in Round 1, right? It certainly will not be early, but a contender could grab him late as a backup plan with tremendous upside."| Total RBs Drafted in Round 1 Over 0.5 (-192) Under 0.5 (+150) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total Wide Receivers Drafted in Round 1
The 2020 NFL Draft class for wide receivers is a deep one with plenty of standouts from SEC schools expected to go in the first round. The question is whether or not more than six wideouts will be selected in the first round. The 'under' of 6.5 wide receivers taken in the opening round has a hefty price of -260 (Bet $260 to win $100), compared to the 'over' of +192 for seven or more receivers to be taken in the first round.VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 6.5 (-260)
NFL expert Joe Nelson breaks down his thoughts on how this betting prop will turn out, "There appears to be four clear first round wide receivers while the grouping of the receivers that most generally grade 5th through 9th is tightly packed and teams will likely be patient to wait on a run of receivers to start. Several teams in the market for a receiver also have early second round options and seem likely to see if they can get away with waiting."However, Mark Franco is one of two handicappers that is sold on the 'over' of 6.5 receivers drafted in the first round, "This year’s draft is loaded with talent at wide receiver with CeeDee Lamb, Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, Justin Jefferson, all locks to go early in the first round. There are at least six other players who at least some teams believe are a first-round talent and I’ll need just three of them to go in the first round. It’s worth the nice price at +192 to go 'over' the posted number."
| Total WRs Drafted in Round 1 Over 6.5 (+192) Under 6.5 (-260) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total Offensive Linemen Drafted in Round 1
Similar to the wide receiver prop, the number for the amount of offensive linemen selected in the first round sits at 6.5. The odds have changed recently as the 'under' has moved 40 cents from -124 this past weekend to -164. Two of the big names in this category to be drafted early are Iowa's Tristan Wirfs and Alabama's Jedrick Wills.VI Expert Consensus Lean - Over 6.5 (+128)
Handicapper Antony Dinero checks in with his thoughts on this category, "This prop should swing on whether centers Cesar Ruiz (Michigan) or Lloyd Cushenberry (LSU) are selected in the first round. We should see at least five tackles selected. Wirfs, Wills, Georgia’s Andrew Thomas, and Louisville’s Mekhi Becton appear to be locks. Houston’s Josh Jones, USC’s Austin Jackson and Georgia’s Isaiah Wilson are in the mix to go top-32, but I don’t see two from that group going in addition to an interior lineman. There are too many intriguing receivers and corners available to bank on the high side (6.5) coming through for the bigs up front."| Total O-Linemen Drafted in Round 1 Over 6.5 (+128) Under 6.5 (-164) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total Offensive Players Drafted in Round 1
This prop is interesting since the amount of offensive players and defensive players is predicted to be nearly even in the first round. The betting prop for offensive players selected is 16.5, with the 'over' set at -164. The lowest number of offensive players to be taken is at the running back position, while the difference maker will be at wide receiver to cash the 'over' on this prop.VI Expert Consensus Lean - Push
Handicapper Andy Iskoe believes that this number will remain 'under' the total of 16.5, "The old adage holds that offense wins games, but defense wins championships and unless there is an unusually strong crop of offensive players, I prefer looking at defensive needs being addressed first."| Total Off Players Drafted in Round 1 Over 16.5 (-164) Under 16.5 (+128) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total Defensive Players Drafted in Round 1
The expectation with this betting category is the amount of defensive players selected will be less than half of the players taken in the first round at 15.5. The 'under' is set at -164 odds, compared to the 'over' at +128, as the second pick of the draft will likely be Ohio State star Chase Young.VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 15.5 (-164)
NFL expert Kevin Rogers checks in by backing the prop at plus money. "The SEC really helps this cause with several standout players after the duo from Ohio State goes early (Young and cornerback Jeffrey Okudah). Players such as Auburn defensive tackle Derrick Brown, Florida cornerback C.J. Henderson, South Carolina defensive tackle Javon Kinlaw, and LSU edge rusher K'Lavon Chaisson are all players guaranteed to go in the first round and help cash this 'over' ticket."| Total Def Players Drafted in Round 1 Over 15.5 (+128) Under 15.5 (-164) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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How do I bet on the 2020 NFL Draft?
If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your NFL Draft bets. Additional NFL draft odds are also available on VegasInsider.com.
Where to place a bet this NFL Season?
- Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
- Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
- Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.
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