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NFL Draft Expert Betting Picks - Schools, Conferences, SEC


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The 2020 NFL Draft takes center stage as the showcase event for the sporting world for the entire spring on Thursday April 23, 2020.

VegasInsider.com has provided plenty of in-depth betting analysis and you can check out more specific pieces here.

NFL Draft Betting Resources

NFL Draft Consensus Props - Schools & Conferences

Not only is the NFL Draft big for the 32 teams in the league looking to improve their rosters, it is also an important recruiting tool for colleges to showcase how many of their players are being selected. To no one's surprise, the two schools that are predicted to have the most draft picks come out of the Southeastern Conference with Alabama and LSU leading the way. 

Our stable of NFL expert handicappers has come together to provide their best bet props for the NFL Draft on 14 different props from FanDuel. The props range from how many quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers will be selected in the first round, along with how many offensive and defensive players will be taken among the first 32 picks. 

Odds subject to change

NFL Draft Props - Picks by School

Total Alabama Players to be Drafted in the First Round

The Alabama Crimson Tide football program is the model of dominance in the sport over the last decade plus under head coach Nick Saban. Alabama is expected to have at least five players drafted in the first round, while trying to tie the record established by the University of Miami in 2004 when the Hurricanes had six players go in the opening round. The betting prop set up by FanDuel sits at 5.5 Crimson Tide players being drafted in the first round with the 'over' set at -102 and the 'under' at -126.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 5.5 (-126)

NFL handicapper Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on grabbing the 'under' on this prop, "Coming off an injury, quarterback Tua Tagovailoa looks like one of the more polarizing projections in the draft and could be a candidate for a major slide, even to round 2 as he is likely only a clear fit for a few teams. Finding a sixth Alabama first rounder is difficult as while Trevon Diggs is a highly rated player, he grades 5th or 6th among cornerbacks in a deep draft at the position while safety Xavier McKinney will likely slip as no safety was picked in the 1st round last season."

On the flip side, Zack Cimini counters by predicting at least six Alabama will be drafted among the first 32 players, "Needing 19% of Alabama players selected in round one seems high, but look for this to be a non-sweat prop casher. Linking a team that missed out on the BCS for the first time since the playoffs began gives plus payout value. Their superior individual talent will be a continuous team called in the opening hours of Thursday’s first round."

Alabama Players Drafted in First Round
Over 5.5 -102 Under 5.5 -126
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Under
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Under
Bruce Marshall Under
Chip Chirimbes Over
Greg Smith Under
Joe Nelson Under
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Over
Kyle Hunter Under
Mark Franco Under
Micah Roberts Over
Pat Hawkins Under
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Under
Zack Cimini Over
Consensus Under (11-4)

Total LSU Players to be Drafted in the First Round

There is less conversation on whether LSU will have six players selected in the opening round. The betting prop is equal to Alabama at 5.5, but the 'under' is the heavy favorite here at -310, compared to +225 on the 'over.' Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow led LSU to a national championship in 2019 and is projected to be selected with the first pick by the Cincinnati Bengals. One of his big receiving targets Justin Jefferson is expected to be a mid-to-late first round selection, while defensive stars Kristian Fulton and K'Lavon Chaisson are also predicted to be drafted on Thursday.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 5.5 (-310)

NFL handicapper Joe Williams sees this number staying 'under' the posted total of 5.5, "Burrow is an obvious lock, as is Chaisson. Fulton should also find a home somewhere in the middle of the opening round. Jefferson and Patrick Queen also might be plucked in Round 1, but no way the Bayou Bengals get to six picks."

LSU Players Drafted in First Round
Over 5.5 +225 Under 5.5 -310
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Under
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Over
Bruce Marshall Under
Chip Chirimbes Under
Greg Smith Over
Joe Nelson Over
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Under
Kyle Hunter Under
Mark Franco Under
Micah Roberts Over
Pat Hawkins Under
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Under
Zack Cimini Under
Consensus Under (12-4)

NFL Draft Props - Picks by Conference

Total ACC Players Drafted in the First Round

The ACC has a short number to cash its 'over' of 3.5, although the juice is sits at -286, as opposed to +225 on the 'under.' There are no quarterbacks from the ACC expected to be taken in the first round as the top two players from this conference are not skill position players. Clemson linebacker Isaiah Simmons and Louisville offensive lineman Mekhi Becton are both anticipated top 10 selections, while Clemson cornerback A.J. Terrell is predicted to be drafted late in the first round. 

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 3.5 (-286)

The experts at ASA chimes in with the "under" on this wager, "Simmons and Becton are first round locks. The only other 2 that might push into the first round are Clemson WR Tee Higgins and DB A.J. Terrell who we have rated toward the bottom of the first round. After that there are no ACC potential first rounders that we see. We'll call for just 3 ACC players in round one."

Total ACC Players Drafted in the First Round
Over 3.5 +225 Under 3.5 -286
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Over
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Under
Bruce Marshall Under
Chip Chirimbes Under
Greg Smith Over
Joe Nelson Under
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Under
Kyle Hunter Under
Mark Franco Under
Micah Roberts Under
Pat Hawkins Under
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Over
Zack Cimini Under
Consensus Under (13-3)

Total Big 10 Players Drafted in the First Round

The Big 10 is projected to have the second-most players drafted among any conference. After the SEC at 15.5 players, the betting prop for the amount of Big 10 players selected is 5.5. Yes, it's a big drop-off from the SEC, but there is a strong possibility that three of the top 10 players selected are Ohio State defensive standouts Chase Young and Jeffrey Okudah, along with Iowa offensive tackle Tristan Wirfs.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Push

ASA checks in once again, this time with an 'over' on this prop bet, "We have 10 Big Ten players rated as potential first rounders. Past Young, Okudah, Wirfs, we have A.J. Epenesa, Yetur Gross-Matos, Zack Baun, Cesar Ruiz, Antoine Winfield, Jonathan Taylor, and J.K. Dobbins all possible. We think at least three of those players will end up in the first round, giving the Big Ten a minimum of six players selected."

Total Big 10 Players Drafted in the First Round
Over 5.5 -138 Under 5.5 +108
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Over
ASA Over
Antony Dinero Under
Bruce Marshall Under
Chip Chirimbes Under
Greg Smith Under
Joe Nelson Over
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Under
Kyle Hunter Over
Mark Franco Over
Micah Roberts Under
Pat Hawkins Over
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Over
Zack Cimini Over
Consensus Even (8-8)

Total Big 12 Players Drafted in the First Round

The Big 12 conference has featured the top pick of the NFL Draft each of the last two years with Oklahoma quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray going off the board first. This year, the first player selected from the Big 12 may not come in the top 10, but another Oklahoma standout is likely the first to be taken from the conference in wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. The 'under' of 3.5 was set at -172 early in the week, but has dropped all the way down -112 by Tuesday.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Push

Veteran Handicapper Bruce Marshall provides his view on the Big 12, "I lean 'over' 3.5 here with a projected four players from the conference getting selected in the first round (Lamb, Oklahoma linebacker Kenneth Murray, TCU defensive lineman Ross Blacklock, and Baylor wide receiver Denzel Mims)."

Total Big 12 Players Drafted in the First Round
Over 3.5 -112 Under 3.5 -112
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Under
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Over
Bruce Marshall Over
Chip Chirimbes Under
Greg Smith Over
Joe Nelson Under
Joe Williams Over
Kevin Rogers Over
Kyle Hunter Over
Mark Franco Over
Micah Roberts Under
Pat Hawkins Over
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Under
Zack Cimini Under
Consensus Even (8-8)

Total Pac-12 Players Drafted in the First Round

The top player from the Pac-12 to be selected on Thursday will likely be Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert. However, there aren't many other strong options coming out of the Pac-12 to be first round draft picks, as the total is set at 2.5. The 'over' is currently at -154, compared to the 'under' of +120, as the 'under' received attention mid-week.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 2.5 (-154)

Handicapper Kevin Rogers is riding the 'under' of 2.5 for Pac-12 players taken in the first round, "Past Herbert, who has plenty of mixed reviews on where he'll land on Thursday, it's tough to see even two more players selected from the conference in the first round. Arizona State wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk and USC wide receiver Michael Pittman, Jr. will likely be picked on Friday, as the Pac-12 will be featured moreso in the second round.

Total Pac-12 Players Drafted in the First Round
Over 2.5 +120 Under 2.5 -154
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Under
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Under
Bruce Marshall Over
Chip Chirimbes Over
Greg Smith Over
Joe Nelson Under
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Under
Kyle Hunter Under
Mark Franco Under
Micah Roberts Over
Pat Hawkins Under
Stephen Nover Over
Vince Akins Under
Zack Cimini Under
Consensus Under (11-5)

Total SEC Players Drafted in the First Round

It feels like every year at the NFL Draft the focus is on how many players from the SEC will be selected. The amount of players taken from the nation's top conference sits at 15.5, as the 'under' jumped nearly $1.00 in a two-day span, all the way to -230. The 'over' is up to +176, which basically means half the first round is made up of SEC players.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Under 15.5 (-230)

Draft expert Antony Dinero doesn't buy into the 'under' here, "More SEC players have been drafted over the course of the seven-round NFL Draft 13 years running. The streak is likely to continue in 2020. Last season, 64 players from the league’s member schools were chosen in the NFL Draft, shattering the conference’s own record from 2013." Dinero sees at least 10 players alone in the first round being drafted from Alabama and LSU.

Total SEC Players Drafted in the First Round
Over 15.5 +176 Under 15.5 -230
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe Under
ASA Under
Antony Dinero Over
Bruce Marshall Under
Chip Chirimbes Under
Greg Smith Under
Joe Nelson Under
Joe Williams Under
Kevin Rogers Under
Kyle Hunter Under
Mark Franco Over
Micah Roberts Over
Pat Hawkins Over
Stephen Nover Under
Vince Akins Under
Zack Cimini Under
Consensus Under (12-4)

More 1st Round picks - SEC vs. the Field

This is the only matchup prop among the bets discussed in this section. It's pretty simple. Who will have more first round selections, the SEC or all the other conferences combined? For as powerful as the SEC talent is, the all other conferences (or the field) is the favorite here at -290. The SEC is sitting at plus-money at +215, needing at least 17 players selected in the first round to cash.

VI Expert Consensus Lean - Field (-215)

Expert Kyle Hunter believes the field is the way to go for this matchup prop, "The SEC still has a wealth of talent, but the other conferences have plenty of talent to go around as well. I think the juice is low enough here to go with all other conferences. There are plenty of linemen from other conferences that I expect to see go in the first round."

More first round picks, the SEC vs the Field
All other conferences -290 SEC +215
Expert Pick
Andy Iskoe SEC
ASA Field
Antony Dinero SEC
Bruce Marshall Field
Chip Chirimbes Field
Greg Smith Field
Joe Nelson Field
Joe Williams Field
Kevin Rogers Field
Kyle Hunter Field
Mark Franco Field
Micah Roberts SEC
Pat Hawkins SEC
Stephen Nover Field
Vince Akins Field
Zack Cimini SEC
Consensus Field (11-5)

How do I bet on the 2020 NFL Draft?

If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your NFL Draft bets. Additional NFL draft odds are also available on VegasInsider.com.




  
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