Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predictions, Odds, Picks

Nov. 14, 2021
Michael Crosson
VI Betting Expert

The tenth weekend of regular-season NFL action will conclude with a heavyweight AFC West matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders. Coverage begins at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Score Prediction

Chiefs 34, Raiders 21

Best Bets

Chiefs -3

Patrick Mahomes (KNC/QB) Over 2.5 TD Passes

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

After finishing second in the AFC West with a record of 8-8 last year, the Raiders stormed out to an exceptional start to the new season, as Derek Carr and company kicked things off with consecutive victories over the Ravens (+3), Steelers (+5), and Dolphins (-4) – despite getting tagged as underdogs in two of those affairs.

Since their 3-0 start though, Las Vegas hasn’t played so well, highlighted by the Raiders entering Sunday night’s contest following losses in three of their last four games – with their only victories across that timeframe coming against the Eagles and Broncos.

On the other hand, Kansas City is off to a surprisingly mediocre start to the new season, considering the Chiefs enter Sunday’s affair tied with Denver for last place in the AFC West with a record of 5-4 – while scoring just 24.6 PPG on offense and allowing 25.2 PPG on defense.

The Chiefs can only be blamed for so much of their underwhelming start though, considering Kansas City has already squared off against a vicious gauntlet of opponents in the Browns, Ravens, Chargers, Bills, Titans, and Packers.

I’ll lay the points with Kansas City here, as the Chiefs are seemingly destined to explode offensively – while the Raiders enter Sunday’s event following losses in three of their last five games, while scoring just 21.2 PPG across that window.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Odds

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Resources

  • Matchup: AFC West
  • Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • TV-Time: NBC - 8:20 p.m. ET

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Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-4
  • ATS: 2-7
  • O/U: 4-5
  • ATS - Home: 0-5
  • ATS - Away: 2-2

Since the beginning of the Patrick Mahomes era in Kansas City, it’s incredibly uncommon to see the Chiefs struggle during the first half of the season like this, considering they previously posted three straight perfect 4-0 starts before stumbling out to a 5-4 start this year.

Making excuses for powerhouses like Kansas City isn’t fun, but the Chiefs’ schedule was absolutely ruthless to kick off the year, highlighted by losses to Baltimore, L.A., Buffalo, Tennessee, and Green Bay through the first nine weeks – which should make them feel extra comfortable in matchups against middle-tier divisional opponents like the Raiders.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-3
  • ATS: 4-4
  • O/U: 4-4
  • ATS - Home: 2-2
  • ATS - Away: 2-2

Immediately following the resignation of Jon Gruden, Las Vegas gained a brief spark for about two whole weeks, as the Raiders thumped both the Broncos and Eagles by double-digits during their first matchups under head coach Rich Bisaccia.

The Giants conjured a solid defensive strategy for them in their latest matchup though, as New York held the Raiders to just 16 PTS by forcing three turnovers throughout last Sunday’s affair – so, my expectations regarding Vegas offensively are somewhat low.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone OVER the point total in seven of their last eight home games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Kansas City Chiefs

  • Record: 5-4
  • Division Standing: 3rd - AFC West
  • Points Scored: 221
  • Points Allowed: 227
  • PS/G: 24.6 (15th)
  • PA/G: 25.2 (25th)

Inside the Stats - Las Vegas Raiders

  • Record: 5-3
  • Division Standing: 1st - AFC West
  • Points Scored: 196
  • Points Allowed: 189
  • PS/G: 24.5 (16th)
  • PA/G: 23.6 (15th)

Key Players to Watch

  • KNC: Patrick Mahomes - QB (236/362, 2,534 yards, 20 TD, 10 INT)
  • KNC: Tyreek Hill - WR (68 catches, 772 yards, 6 TD)
  • LVR: Derek Carr - QB (210/312, 2,565 yards, 13 TD, 7 INT)
  • LVR: Darren Waller - TE (40 catches, 470 yards, 2 TD)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Conclusion

After picking up a second straight victory over Green Bay last week, the Chiefs head into Sunday night’s contest favored by roughly a field goal over the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium – marking the fifth straight road matchup Kansas City has been favored in.

I’ll lay the points with the Chiefs, as Kansas City is due to significantly ramp up offensive production here soon – which is why I’m also backing Mahomes to throw three touchdown passes at plus odds in Sunday night’s affair.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

  • Las Vegas has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last eight home games.
  • Kansas City has won six of its last seven games when facing Las Vegas.
  • Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four divisional games.

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  • Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
  • Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
  • Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.