Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:44 AM

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions, Odds, Preview

May 24, 2021
by Joe Williams
VI Betting Expert

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 3 Predictions

Score Prediction Maple Leafs 5 Canadiens 3

The Maple Leafs bounced back nicely in Game 2 at home, as five different players etched their names onto the scoresheet with goals. It was a nice rebound after a stunning 2-1 home loss in Game 1, the game where John Tavares exited with a serious upper-body injury. That injury sort of stunned the Leafs, and cast a pall over their opener in this series.

Jack Campbell allowed just one goal on 23 shots on Saturday, posting his first career playoff victory. That was quite a bit more in line with his regular-season showings against the Canadiens. He had a 4-1-1 record, 2.16 GAA and .918 SV% in six regular-season starts against the Habs.

Carey Price looked good in Game 1, returning from a month-long absence due to a concussion. He kicked aside 35 shots while allowing just one goal in the win. However, four players beat him in Game 2, while Alexander Kerfoot also notched an empty-net goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 3 Best Bets

  • Maple Leafs -150
  • OVER +100

The Toronto Maple Leafs won Game 2, 5-1, snapping a three-game losing streak and tying the series at 1-1 against Montreal. (AP)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 3 Odds

First Round Series Odds

  • Maple Leafs -150
  • Canadiens +125
  • Maple Leafs (-1.5) +170
  • Canadiens (+1.5) -200
  • Over 5.5 +100
  • Under 5.5 -120

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 3 Betting Analysis

  • Venue: Centre Bell
  • Location: Montreal, Quebec
  • TV-Time: NHLN - 7:00 p.m. ET

Toronto Maple Leafs: 36-15-7 SU, 22-36 ATS, 25-29-4 O/U
Montreal Canadiens:25-22-11 SU, 25-33 ATS, 25-30-3 O/U

Home-ice advantage in the North Division playoffs has been rather overrated. The Winnipeg Jets did push past the Edmonton Oilers on Sunday, but home teams are just 2-3 through five games in the division. That's because home-ice advantage is mitigated with the lack of fans, creating a rather sterile environment which plays more like The Bubble last summer.

So many people are making a big deal about the Canadiens wrestling home-ice advantage from the Leafs in Game 1, but it's a rather overblown development. The only difference between playing in Montreal and Toronto right now is the dressing room, geographic location and color of the sweaters.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Series History

  • 05/22/2021 - Montreal 1 at Toronto 5 (-1.5) - Over 5.5
  • 05/20/2021 - Montreal 2 (+1.5) at Toronto 1 - Under 5.5
  • 05/08/2021 - Montreal 2 (+1.5) at Toronto 3 - Under 6

Projected Goalies

Toronto: Jack Campbell (17-3, 2 SO, 2.15 GAA, .921 SV%)

Montreal: Carey Price (12-7, 1 SO, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%)

2021 NHL Playoff First Round Betting Resources

Odds per BetMGM - Subject to Change

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