Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions, Odds, Preview

May 28, 2021
by Thom Cunningham
VI Betting Expert

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 6 Predictions

Score Prediction Maple Leafs 4 Canadiens 1

Montreal was able to take an early 3-0 lead in Game 5 to beat Toronto in overtime after the Maple Leafs came back to tie the game. Toronto now heads to Montreal to try and close out its historic rival. There's no doubt in my mind that Toronto should win this game, but laying -190 on a road team coming off a loss isn't ideal.

The Canadiens have lost four straight games at home, however, so if you have the guts to take Toronto's ML it should cash in. There is better value elsewhere to back Toronto having a good game, including the period market. Toronto has won the second period in four of its last five games. The 2P ML is -190 but the 2P ML at 3-way is +125.

William Nylander has been burying goals in this series as well. He has odds to score a goal at any time at +140. Nylander has scored the game's first goal in three of his last four games when playing in Montreal, which also has a value at +900.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 6 Best Bets

  • Toronto 2P ML (3-way) +125
  • William Nylander Goal +140
  • William Nylander First Goal +900

The Montreal Canadiens have covered the puck line in five of their last six games after going into overtime the game prior . (AP)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 6 Odds

First Round Series Odds

  • Maple Leafs -200
  • Canadiens +165
  • Maple Leafs (-1.5) +135
  • Canadiens (+1.5) -165
  • Over 5.5 +100
  • Under 5.5 -120

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens Betting Analysis

  • Venue: Centre Bell
  • Location: Montreal, Quebec
  • TV-Time: NBCSN - 7:30 p.m. ET

Toronto Maple Leafs: 38-15-8 SU, 23-38 PL, 26-31-4 O/U
Montreal Canadiens: 26-24-11 SU, 27-34 PL, 26-32-3 O/U

Toronto has earned bettors $270 this season when playing on the road. The Maple Leafs are 19-7-4 when playing away from Scotiabank Arena. Montreal has lost bettors -$651 when playing at home this season. The Canadiens are 13-13-4 when playing inside Centre Bell.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Series History

  • 05/27/2021 - Montreal 4 (+1.5) at Toronto 3 - Over 5.5
  • 05/25/2021 - Toronto (-1.5) 4 at Montreal 0 - Under 5.5
  • 05/24/2021 - Toronto 2 at Montreal 1 (+1.5) - Under 5.5

Projected Goalies

Toronto: Jack Campbell (17-3, 2 SO, 2.15 GAA, .921 SV%)

Montreal: Carey Price (12-7, 1 SO, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%)

2021 NHL Playoff First Round Betting Resources

Odds per BetMGM - Subject to Change