Bundesliga Odds and Picks – Matchday 28

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

The Bundesliga returns with mid-week action beginning on Tuesday May 26 that packs in a nine-game slate over two days.

The top-flight German League is receiving a ton of action at the sportsbooks and we've got Bundesliga Odds and Picks locked and loaded.

Matchday 28 Bundesliga Picks

Match: Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich
Odds: Bayern Munich -120, Borussia Dortmund +255, Draw +310
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Date: Tuesday, 12:30 ET
TV: FS1/Fox Deportes

Bayern Munich’s trip to Dortmund is a potential title decider. Bayern go to Dortmund with a four point lead at the top of the Bundesliga and know that a win here would all but sew up yet another title. A Dortmund victory would blow it wide open not just for them, but for Leipzig, Leverkusen and Mönchengladbach too.

The goal line for such a big game is incredibly high, with over 2.5 goals rated as a 4/11 shot. Yes, this is the Bundesliga and these are two bold teams, but goal expectancy drops when the stakes are raised, and there is no incentive for Bayern to push for a win. They would probably take a draw. Dortmund have outperformed their attacking of late, and Jadon Sancho’s fitness is a concern, so this game could be lower scoring than expected.

Tip: Under 2.5 goals at 11/5

Match: Werder Bremen v Borussia Mönchengladbach
Odds: Borussia Monchengladbach -143, Werder Bremen +340, Draw +300
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Date: Tuesday, 14:30 ET
TV: FS-Plus

Werder Bremen secured a precious three points at Freiburg last time out, but their form at the Weserstadion this season has been appalling. With it becoming gradually more apparent that empty stadiums really are having a profound effect on home advantage, Gladbach look good value at 8/11. The visitors still have a small chance of winning the league, but their realistic aim is a top four spot. They beat Bremen 3-1 in the reverse fixture and should have too much here.

Tip: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win at 8/11

Match: Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg
Odds: Eintracht Frankfurt -103, Freiburg +245, Draw +270
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Date: Tuesday, 14:30 ET

Frankfurt and Freiburg’s forms has seen them heading in opposite directions and Frankfurt look terrible value even money favourites here. They have lost their last five games and have shipped 18 goals. They did include games against four of the top five, but their confidence looks shot and Freiburg can take advantage. They were unlucky to lose at home to Werder Bremen last time out and have taken points off Schalke, Leverkusen and Leipzig on the road this season. Add to that the dubious nature of home advantage in the current circumstances and Freiburg jump out at 5/2 to win the match.

Tip: Freiburg to win at 5/2

Match: RB Leipzig v Hertha Berlin
Odds: Leipzig -305, Hertha +700, Draw +430
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Date: Wednesday, 12:30 ET
TV: FS2

RB Leipzig were superb in their 5-0 thrashing at Mainz last time out. The win came after their 1-1 draw against Freiburg, where they were very unlucky not to win. Timo Werner scored a hat-trick in that win, and even at a short price he looks a good value first goalscorer against mid-table Hertha Berlin. Werner has netted 24 goals in 27 league games and is second only to Robert Lewandowski in the Bundesliga goalscoring charts. That hat-trick came off the back of a relatively bad patch for Werner, but he looked back to his best in Mainz.

Tip: Timo Werner to score first at 5/2

Match: Hoffenheim v FC Koln
Odds: Hoffenheim +143, Koln +165, Draw +265
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Date: Wednesday, 14:30 ET
TV: FS-Plus

Hoffenheim have picked up one point from their two games since the Bundesliga returned, but their performances have been much better than their results and their match at home to Cologne is the perfect opportunity for them to get an overdue win. These two teams are in mid-table but both are in the hunt for a Europa League place. Hoffenheim won the xG count at Paderborn 1.9-1 in their draw at Paderborn, and racked up an xG of 2.8 against Hertha Berlin in their statistically unlikely 3-0 loss. Cologne have also been unlucky, but they have lost eight of their 13 away games this year and could be in for another defeat here.

Tip: Hoffenheim to win at 13/10

Where is the Money going on Tuesday May 26 and Wednesday May 27?

Our friends at DraftKings, a major US Sportsbook, is receiving plenty of action for the Matchday 28 card and you can follow the betting trends below.

Bundesliga Betting Splits for Tuesday May 26

% Handle - Total Money
% Bets - Total Bets
Odds and Trends Subject to Change (T&C's Apply, 21+, Legal US States Only)