EPL Tech Trends – Matchday 11

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

13 minute read

Matchday 11 of the English Premier League (EPL) kicks off Saturday, Dec. 5 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

Saturday, Dec. 5

BURNLEY vs. EVERTON

• Burnley has seen the BTS fail in six straight league matches
• Burnley has lost three straight league home matches to nil when playing as the underdog
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored a goal in four of his last five league road matches
• Alex Iwobi has scored a goal in four straight league matches when facing Burnley 
• Burnley has lost four straight league matches when playing on a Saturday

Tech Edge: Everton
Probability: Everton - 51.5%

MANCHESTER CITY vs. FULHAM

• Man City has won six straight league home matches to nil when facing a promoted club
• Man City has gone OVER 4.5 total goals in three of its last four league home matches played during the daytime
• Gabriel Jesus has scored a goal in four of his last five league home matches
• Man City has led 2-0 at halftime in three of its last four league matches when facing Fulham

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5 
Probability: Manchester City - 90.9%

WEST HAM vs. MANCHESTER UNITED

• Man U has won eight straight league road matches
• Man U has won the second half in nine straight league road matches
• Bruno Fernandes has scored a goal in nine of his last 10 league road matches
• West Ham has won the first half in three of its last four league matches when facing Manchester United 
• Marcus Rashford has scored a goal in four straight league prime-time road matches played on a Saturday
• Man U has gone OVER 3.5 total goals in four straight league road matches

Tech Edge: BTS  
Probability: Manchester United  - 48.5%

CHELSEA vs. LEEDS UNITED

• Leeds has seen the underdog win five of its last six league matches
• Leeds has seen the underdog win the second half in six of its last seven league matches
• Leeds has seen the BTS hit in four of its last five league matches played on a Saturday
• Chelsea has won the first half in three of its last four league matches
• Patrick Bramford has scored a goal in four of his last five league road matches 
• Tammy Abraham has scored a goal in three of his last four league prime-time matches

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Chelsea - 65%

Sunday, Dec. 6

WEST BROM vs. CRYSTAL PALACE

• Crystal Palace has won two of its last three matches 2-0 when facing West Brom
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four straight matches played between both clubs
• The BTS has failed to hit in four straight matches played betwen both clubs
• Both clubs have lost three of their last four league matches

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5 
Probability: Crystal Palace - 38.5%

SHEFFIELD UNITED vs. LEICESTER CITY 

• Sheffield United has lost five straight league matches
• Sheffield United has lost three of its last four league matches to nil
• Leicester City has gone OVER the goal total in seven of its last 10 league matches

Tech Edge: Leicester City
Probability: Leicester City - 50.7%

TOTTENHAM vs. ARSENAL

• A draw has occurred in two of the last three matches played between both clubs 
• Tottenham has gone unbeaten in nine straight league matches
• Arsenal has lost five of its last eight league matches
• Arsenal has failed to see the BTS hit in five of its last six league matches

Tech Edge: Tottenham
Probability: Tottenham - 51.5%

LIVERPOOL vs. WOLVERHAMPTON  

• Liverpool has won four of its last five matches to nil when facing Wolverhampton
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three of the last four matches played between both clubs
• Liverpool has seen a 1-1 draw in two of its last three league matches
• Wolverhampton has gone UNDER the goal total in seven of its last 10 league matches

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Liverpool - 66.7%

Monday, Dec. 7

BRIGHTON vs. SOUTHAMPTON

• A draw has occurred in three of the last five matches played between both clubs
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matches played betwen both clubs
• Brighton has seen a draw in four of its last six league matches
• Southampton has gone unbeaten in seven of its last eight league matches 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Brighton - 40%

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