Champions League Matchday 6 Picks, Predictions, Odds
The final group games of the UEFA Champions League are upon us, and Oliver Ellison is back for the best Champions League bets, predictions and picks for Matchday 6 games that span Tuesday, November 1st and Wednesday, November 2nd.
Porto vs. Atletico Madrid
Date: Tuesday, November 1st 2022
Time: 1:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Estádio do Dragão
Location: Porto, Portugal
Best Bet: Draw (+235)
Porto has already qualified for the Champions League last-16, while the best Atletico can do in Group A is finish third and secure a place in the Europa League come February. Both teams need a win to give their ambitions maximum chance of happening – but this game could well end in a tie.
Atletico won this reverse game in Madrid 2-1 back in September. It was a closely-fought contest and typically tight, with just six shots on goal all evening. Since then both teams have labored in certain games, and ties are beginning to creep into Atletico’s form in particular.
This will be another close contest but the fact neither team is specifically gunning for Champions League knockout qualification means it could be fairly damp. That’s good for the neutral bettor who wants some predictability. It won’t be easy on the eye but this game should be a straightforward tie.
Liverpool vs. Napoli
Date: Tuesday, November 1st 2022
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Anfield
Location: Liverpool, England
Best Bet: Under 3.5 Goals (-160)
Liverpool vs. Napoli is one of the biggest games on Tuesday afternoon and should have UCL betting fans glued to their screens. But it could prove to be a fairly tepid affair. After all, both teams have qualified for the knockout stages and Napoli should top the group bar a miracle.
So, with neither team particularly invested in Tuesday, they’re likely to make changes. Liverpool’s players need a rest after a gruelling few weeks and they lost to Leeds at the weekend. Napoli is flying high in Serie A and this would be a perfect moment to rest first-choice players.
So soccer betting fans are likely to be confronted with a tame game Tuesday. It’s hard to predict how the game will play out because of the two likely disjointed teams fielded. But what is for sure is that we’re unlikely to see as many goals as we would, were this game to be played at full strength.
Marseille vs. Tottenham
Date: Tuesday, November 1st 2022
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Venue: Stade Vélodrome
Location: Marseille, France
Best Bet: Tottenham ML (+140)
What a difference a week makes. Fresh off earning a hard-fought tie with Sporting last Wednesday, Tottneham then overturned a two-goal deficit to beat Bournemouth at the weekend. Suddenly spirits are high in north London and they travel to Marseille with the expectation of topping Group D.
This is a big game for both teams. All four teams in the group can qualify for the knockout stages, so secure a win here and it guarantees progression. In fact, Spurs just needs a tie to get over the line. But it won’t be that easy. Marseille is desperate for a result after four games without victory.
Make no mistake, the Ligue 1 side will fight for everything here. But Tottenham should have the class over 90 minutes to earn a result, and a soccer bet on 2-1 to the road team is worth considering. With Harry Kane and Son Heung-min back in form, Spurs are suddenly going places again.
Real Madrid vs. Celtic
Date: Wednesday, November 2nd 2022
Time: 1:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Santiago Bernabeu
Location: Madrid, Spain
Best Bet: Real Madrid Win By Four or More Goals (+360)
Rarely is a team in the Champions League priced so low to win a group game by four goals or more. Soccer betting aficionados may claim that backing a big Real win here is folly, due to the small odds. But you also have to look at reality.
Celtic have been dreadful in the Champions League this season and are already out of the competition. The Hoops might be cruising in the Scottish Premiership but they’ve scored just three goals in five European games, and lost to Real 3-0 in September.
Meanwhile, Real has slipped up slightly in the last two games but the team is nevertheless more than capable of embarrassing Celtic here. Real needs the win to top Group F, so expect head coach Carlo Ancelotti to field his strongest XI.
F.C. Copenhagen vs. Dortmund
Date: Wednesday, November 2nd 2022
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Venue: Parken Stadium
Location: Copenhagen, Denmark
Best Bet: Draw (+300)
Dortmund beat F.C. Copenhagen 3-0 in Germany two months ago but a lot has changed then. The Danish champions have changed their head coach, resurrected their domestic form, and begun profiting from an arsenal of teenage talent muscling its way into the first team.
This unbridled talent, coupled with Dortmund’s erratic recent results, means Copenhagen are worth an outside soccer bet to claim a tie in Parken. After all, the Lions have already held Sevilla and Manchester City to goalless ties in the Danish capital.
Of course, Dortmund could turn up and cruise to victory. The team is packed with world-class talent, and that showed when these sides met in Germany. But having already effectively sealed their knockout place, and with bigger fish to fry in the Bundesliga, we could see some rested players in Copenhagen. A tie is worth a small wager at these odds.
Juventus vs. PSG
Date: Wednesday, November 2nd 2022
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Venue: Juventus Stadium
Location: Turin, Italy
Best Bet: Juventus ML (+380)
Another wager worth considering because of the strong odds is Juventus to beat PSG. Juventus and PSG have become rivals in recent years as they trade players and ambitions to win the Champions League. The giants of Italy and France collide once more Wednesday, and Juve are rarely so lowly priced to win at home.
Indeed, the Juventus odds are well worth considering at +380. Granted, PSG rarely loses these days but the team is already into the knockout stage and the likes of Lionel Messi and Neymar could be rested – or at least not give 90 minutes.
This leaves Juventus with an opportunity to save face, win a game against a fellow European giant, and at a minimum qualify for the Europa League. The odds suggest PSG should win here but going against perceived wisdom could prove profitable.
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