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Sports Betting Expert
The New York Yankees will battle with the host Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday night in the second contest of a three-game interleague set. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET from American Family Field. Coverage will be on each team’s regional sports channel as well as MLB.TV.
This will be a pitching duel between a pair of solid righties. Jameson Taillon will take the mound for the Yankees. Brandon Woodruff is the starting pitcher for the Brewers. Taillon is 13-4 with an ERA of 3.94. Woodruff has a 10-4 record, and his ERA is 3.39.
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Heading into the set, the Yankees were atop the AL East and second in the AL to only the AL-West-best Houston Astros. The Yankees have an AL-best run differential of +209. The Yankees are 4-1 in their last five games. In their last series, the Yankees swept a pair at the archrival Boston Red Sox.
Prior to the series, the Brewers were second to only the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central and 1.5 games behind the San Diego Padres for the last Wild Card spot in the NL. The Brewers have a run differential of +26. The Brewers are 3-2 in their last five contests. The Brewers split a pair at the Cardinals in their last series.
Taillon has allowed 146 hits, 23 home runs, and 27 walks, in addition to throwing 128 strikeouts in 153.0 innings. The Yankees are 4-1 in Taillon’s last five outings. In Taillon’s last game vs. the Tampa Bay Rays on Sept. 10, he gave up three earned runs and threw eight strikeouts in 7.1 innings.
Woodruff has given up 106 hits, 15 home runs, and 37 walks, while also tossing 152 strikeouts in 127.1 innings. The Brewers are 3-2 in Woodruff’s last five games. In Woodruff’s last outing vs. the Cincinnati Reds on Sept. 11, he allowed two earned runs while throwing 11 strikeouts with only one walk in six innings.
Prior to the series, the Yankees ranked first in home runs (224), fourth in RBI (672), fifth in on-base percentage (.322), sixth in slugging percentage (.423), and 20th in batting average (.239). Right fielder Aaron Judge leads the Yankees across the board in batting average (.310), home runs (57), RBI (123), on-base percentage (.413) and hits (159). Third baseman DJ LeMahieu (10-day IL) has 118 hits and an on-base percentage of .358. First baseman Anthony Rizzo (10-day IL) is second on the Yankees in home runs (30) and RBI (71).
Before the series, the Brewers ranked third in home runs (197), ninth in RBI (628), 10th in slugging percentage (.410), 14th in on-base percentage (.316) and 22nd in batting average (.235). Left fielder Christian Yelich leads the Brewers in batting average (.260), on-base percentage (.360) and hits (132). Designated hitter Andrew McCutchen is tops for the Brewers in batting average (.253). Shortstop Willy Adames has a team-leading 85 RBI. First baseman Rowdy Tellez is first on the Brewers with 30 home runs.
Prior to the series, the Yankees were 63-80 against the spread overall and 30-41 against the spread on the road. In terms of over/under, the Yankees are 67-72-4 overall and 32-37-2 on the road.
Before the set, the Brewers were 61-82 against the spread overall and 31-35 against the spread at home. For over/under, the Brewers are 69-67-7 overall and 32-32-2 at home.
Look for the Yankees to edge the Brewers in a low-scoring victory in the middle game of the set.
Written by Rolando Rosa, our US sports betting industry expert.