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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Predictions, Odds, Picks

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
7 minute read

The Tennessee Titans (11-5) travel to meet the Houston Texans (4-12) for a Week 18 matchup on Sunday at NRG Stadium in Houston. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

SCORE PREDICTION

Titans 26, Texans 17

BEST BETS

Texans +10.5 (-110) at BetMGM

TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS PREDICTIONS

The Tennessee Titans clinched the AFC South Division last weekend with an emphatic 34-3 victory over the previously red-hot Miami Dolphins. But they're not done yet. Tennessee can clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC playoffs, and the only first-round bye, with a victory. It'll also have revenge on its mind, as the Houston Texans pulled off a giant upset in the rain in Nashville in Week 11, 22-13. The Titans were favored by 10.5 points in that game. Ironically, they are favored by the same amount heading into this season finale, the third consecutive season the Titans have wrapped up the season in the friendly confines of NRG Stadium.

The Titans lead this all-time series 21-18, but again, the Texans got the better of the favorites in the game in Nashville back in November. That snapped a three-game win streak by the Titans in this series, while the Texans hold a 4-2 ATS advantage across the past six. OVER bettors have also hit in three of the past four meetings in this series.

The Texans managed just 86 rushing yards and 136 passing yards in a 23-7 setback in San Francisco in Week 17. Houston will be a double-digit underdog for the third consecutive week, and sixth time in the past eight games. Houston has posted a 2-3 ATS mark in the past five as a 'dog of 10 or more points, winning two games outright against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 16, and the Titans in Week 11.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING ODDS

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TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: AFC South
  • Date: Sunday, January 9, 2022
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

TENNESSEE TITANS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-5
  • ATS: 10-6
  • O/U: 7-9
  • ATS - Away: 4-3

The Titans have all of it in front of them. There is a lot of pressure, but they need to rise above it. They have to harness in all the good energy, block out the bad and feel the flow. It's circular. Tennessee has won two in a row since a disappointing loss in Pittsburgh in Week 15, and the Titans are 3-1 ATS across the past four games overall. The road hasn't been friendly lately, losing to the Steelers and the Patriots in the past two trips, failing to cover in each, while scoring exactly 13 in both of the outings. Ironically, 13 was exactly how many the Titans scored in the first game in Nashville against the Texans, so they won't be taking Houston lightly.

The Titans could get a spot of good news. RB Derrick Henry (foot) was designated to return from the reserve/Injured list this week. He was able to practice Thursday and Friday, and the team has until 4 p.m. ET Saturday to officially activate him if he is to play this weekend. There is a shot, although don't expect much more than a cameo to get him back into game conditions. The team certainly would like to win, and have two more weeks to get him back in to playing shape, while not risking some sort of a setback to his surgically-repaired foot.

The Titans are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional games, although, again, the non-cover was vs. HOU in Week 11. They're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a road favorite, too. The UNDER has cashed in four in a row for Tennessee, but the OVER is 11-3 in the past 14 on the road for the Titans, while going 5-1 in the past six as a road favorite. The OVER is also 11-5 in the past 16 against teams with a losing record.

HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 4-12
  • ATS: 7-9
  • O/U: 7-9
  • ATS - Home: 4-4

The Texans have a poor record overall at 4-12 SU, but they're a respectable 3-4 SU in the previous seven games, with wins over two playoff hopefuls, the Titans and Chargers. They're anything but an easy out lately, as HC David Tully has this team playing hard despite the fact they've been mathematically eliminated for some time.

The Texans enter the day 3-4 ATS across the past seven games overall. As an underdog of 10.5 or more points, Houston is 3-1 ATS across the past four, and 4-4 ATS in the past eight games.

The Texans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven divisional games, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five at home against teams with a winning road record, too. As far as the total, the UNDER is 9-3 in Houston's past 12 against teams with a winning record, including last week in Frisco, and the win in Tennessee.


The Tennessee Titans are 1-6 ATS in the past seven trips to Houston. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - TENNESSEE TITANS

  • Record: 11-5
  • Division Standing: 4-1
  • Points Scored: 391
  • Points Allowed: 329
  • PS/G: 24.4
  • PA/G: 20.6

INSIDE THE STATS - HOUSTON TEXANS

  • Record: 4-12
  • Division Standing: 3-2
  • Points Scored: 255
  • Points Allowed: 424
  • PS/G: 15.9
  • PA/G: 26.5

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • TEN: A.J. Brown - WR (59 catches, 801 yards, 4 TD)
  • TEN: Ryan Tannehill - QB (334/499, 3,447 yards, 24 total TDs, 14 INT)
  • HOU: Brandin Cooks - WR (87 catches, 1,011 yards, 6 TD)
  • HOU: Davis Mills - QB (240/361, 2,363 yards, 13 TD, 10 INT)

TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Titans have too much going for them heading into this regular-season finale. They're not going to take the rival Texans lightly despite an overall record of 4-12. Houston has been playing hard down the stretch, and the Texans have been very prideful. A lot of fans think that these games don't matter once a team is eliminated from the playoffs, and they're just playing out the string. But every game in the NFL is meaningful, and all of these players want to put down good video for jobs next season in Houston, or possibly elsewhere. It reflects well on the coaching staff that this team hasn't gone in the tank and continue to play hard to the bitter end.

That being said, I don't believe the Texans are able to pull off the regular-season sweep and run the hopes of the No. 1 overall seed for the Titans. However, I think the Texans definitely make the Titans work for it, and I never like taking road favorites laying double digits, regardless of the situation.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING TRENDS

  • The Titans are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional games.
  • The Titans are 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a road favorite.
  • The Texans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven divisional games.
  • The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four games for the Titans.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the past six as a road favorite for the Titans.
  • The OVER is 11-3 in the past 14 road games for the Titans.
  • The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 vs. losing teams for the Titans.
  • The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 home games for the Texans.
  • The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 vs. winning teams for the Texans.
  • The Titans are 1-6 ATS in the past seven trips to Houston.
  • The Titans are 6-14-1 ATS in the past 21 vs. the Texans.
  • The OVER is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Houston.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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