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College Basketball

Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

The Auburn Tigers (14-1, 3-0 SEC) travel to meet the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-4, 2-1) at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Ala. on Tuesday night. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

SCORE PREDICTION

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AUBURN TIGERS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE PREDICTIONS

The Tigers are coming off an impressive 85-73 victory against Florida last time out on Saturday, covering an eight-point number. The 85 points were the scored since posting 99 in a neutral-floor game against Nebraska on Dec. 11. Auburn has won four straight while also covering four in a row, and that includes a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record inside the SEC. The OVER has hit in each of the past two conference tilts against Florida and South Carolina, averaging 83.0 PPG while allowed 69.5 PPG.

The Tigers were a very efficient 54% from the field, or 30-of-56, while posting nine blocked shots, including two or more by three different players. Walker Kessler was his usual disruptive self, posting three swats while picking up six points, eight rebounds and an assist, too. Auburn won the rebound battle with Florida 33-28, making up for the fact the Tigers were minus-3 in the turnover department.

Alabama lost a shootout at Missouri on Jan. 8, falling 92-86 as 14.5-point favorites as the OVER connected. Offense wasn't the problem, as the Tide hit 49%, or 33-of-67, from the field, while dropping in nine triples. Alabama also took good care of the rock, turning it over just six times. But Bama was 11-of-16, or 69%, from the free-throw line, and that needs to be better. Defensively, Mizzou had its way, also hitting 49%, or 31-of-63, while dropping in nine threes. The difference was at the free-throw line, as the Tigers hit 21-of-27, or 78%.

AUBURN TIGERS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING ODDS

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AUBURN TIGERS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: SEC
  • Date: Tuesday, January 11, 2022
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 9:00 p.m. ET

AUBURN TIGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-1
  • ATS: 11-4
  • O/U: 8-7

Auburn has won 11 consecutive games since its only setback in overtime on a neutral floor against UConn back on Nov. 24, falling 115-109 in that one. During the 11-game win streak the Tigers are also 9-2 ATS.

The Tigers have covered four straight overall, including 3-0 SU/ATS inside the conference, while going 15-5-1 ATS in the previous 21 games following a cover. They're also 4-0 ATS in the previous four outings after a straight-up victory, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning overall record. However, the Tigers are 1-4 ATS in the past five as an underdog.

As far as the total is concerned, the UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games on the road, while going 5-2 in the past seven against teams with an overall winning record. The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight as an underdog, including 4-1 in the past five as a road 'dog.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-4
  • ATS: 7-8
  • O/U: 10-5

After a red-hot start to the season, including a ranking inside the Top 5, the Crimson Tide have been skidding lately. Across the past six games the Crimson Tide have posted a 3-3 SU mark, including losses to Memphis, Davidson and Mizzou, not exactly a gauntlet. The Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall since its epic victory Dec. 4 against Gonzaga.

The Tide has been ice-cold against the number lately, going 0-4 ATS in the past four at home, while going 0-6 ATS in the past six games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in the past four games as a home favorite. They're also a dismal 1-4 ATS in the past five games against teams with a winning overall record.

For totals, Alabama has been putting up the points lately. The OVER has connected in eight of the previous 10 games overall, while going 6-2 in the past eight as a favorite. The OVER is also 4-1 in the past five at home against teams with a winning road mark, too.


The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Auburn against winning teams. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - AUBURN TIGERS

  • Record: 14-1
  • VI Ranking: 5
  • PS/G: 80.6 (23rd)
  • PA/G: 64.9 (91st)
  • ORtg: 109.5 (58th)
  • DRtg: 88.1 (25th)

INSIDE THE STATS - ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

  • Record: 11-4
  • VI Ranking: 29
  • PS/G: 82.5 (15th)
  • PA/G: 74.0 (296th)
  • ORtg: 112.5 (27th)
  • DRtg: 100.9 (251st)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • AUB: Walker Kessler - F (9.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 4.1 BPG, 57.9 FG%)
  • AUB: Jabari Smith - F (15.5 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.5 SPG)
  • BAMA: Keon Ellis - G (12.2 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.7 SPG)
  • BAMA: Jaden Shackelford - G (16.3 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 1.3 APG, 39.2 3P%)

AUBURN TIGERS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING CONCLUSION

The Crimson Tide sports fans could use something to be happy about following Monday's national championship game football loss to Georgia. It would be a little bit of a consolation prize if the Tide can hand the rival Tigers as second loss on the second. But, sorry Alabama fans, it ain't happening here, either.

Auburn has been humming right along, as the trio of Jabari Smith, K.D. Johnson and Wendell Green Jr. do the scoring, and Kessler locks it down in the paint, looking like a windmill at a miniature golf course with all of the rejections. The Tigers are going to add to the early-week woes for Alabama sports fans, grabbing the road victory in Tuscaloosa, as Bama continues to struggle. Since Dec. 14, this Tide team is just 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS, and showing no signs of winning or covering on a regular basis.

AUBURN TIGERS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING TRENDS

  • Auburn is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
  • Auburn is 4-0 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams.
  • Auburn is 1-4 ATS in the past five games as an underdog.
  • Alabama is 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall.
  • Alabama is 0-4 ATS in the past four home games.
  • Alabama is 0-6 ATS in the past six as a favorite.
  • Alabama is 0-4 ATS in the past four as a home favorite.
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Auburn.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Auburn.
  • The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight games as an underdog.
  • The OVER is 8-2 in the past 10 games overall for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight as a favorite for Alabama.
  • Alabama is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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