Typical Nobel Peace Prize Winners: Most Common Backgrounds, Birthplaces & 2025 Betting Odds

Ben Mendelowitz Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Doves are brought out Thursday, Sept. 11, 2025 during the Boiling Springs Fire District 9/11 Memorial Service at the Boiling Springs Fire District in Greenville, South Carolina. Image Credit: Imagn

When it comes to predicting who will take home the Nobel Peace Prize, history shows there’s a pretty clear type of person — or even country — that tends to win.

With over a century of laureates spanning presidents, humanitarians, and entire organizations, some patterns have started to emerge. From the most common occupations to the nations that dominate the honor roll, here’s a data-driven look at what a “typical” Nobel Peace Prize winner looks like — plus a breakdown of the latest 2025 betting odds.

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🕊️ Most Common Occupations of Nobel Peace Prize Winners

If history is any guide, being a politician or activist dramatically boosts your chances of taking home the Nobel Peace Prize. In fact, nearly half of all winners have come from just those two occupations.

From Theodore Roosevelt to Nelson Mandela to Malala Yousafzai, it’s clear that a career in politics or activism is a tried-and-true route to Nobel glory.

🌍 Most Common Countries of Origin

The United States dominates the Nobel Peace Prize field — with more laureates than the next three nations combined.

The U.S. has produced 19 individuals born on home soil, with the rest either foreign-born citizens or organizations headquartered in America.

🇺🇸 Which U.S. States Have Produced the Most Peace Prize Winners?

The Peace Prize may be international, but it’s the Empire State that leads the pack at home.

New York’s trio of laureates — Theodore Roosevelt, Elihu Root, and John R. Mott — solidifies its status as the Peace Prize capital of America.

Meanwhile, Georgia has produced two winners of presidential stature: Martin Luther King Jr. and Jimmy Carter.

🏆 Nobel Peace Prize 2025: Betting Odds & Favorites

Oddsmakers are keeping things tight this year. According to our aggregation of betting markets, the frontrunners for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize include humanitarian organizations, political figures, and a few surprise names.

At the top, Sudans Emergency Response Rooms and Donald Trump sit neck-and-neck as joint favorites — each carrying a 29% implied probability of victory.
Behind them, Yulia Navalnaya (widow of the late Russian dissident Alexei Navalny) and Volodymyr Zelensky both remain strong contenders.

Rounding out the top ten are global NGOs like Doctors Without Borders, UNRWA, and The World Food Programme, all of which fit the Nobel Committee’s recent trend toward honoring collective humanitarian action over individual leadership.

📰 Final Takeaway

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize race is as unpredictable as ever — but if history holds true, the winner will likely hail from the political or humanitarian world.

Whether that’s Donald Trump, Yulia Navalnaya, or an organization like Sudans Emergency Response Rooms, expect the final decision to make headlines far beyond Oslo.

Methodology

The data team at VegasInsider analyzed data from Wikipedia - looking at the most common characteristics from past winners of the Nobel Peace Prize.

We also checked betting markets for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, taking the consensus line from these markets.

Ben Mendelowitz

Ben Mendelowitz is a Digital PR expert who has a keen interest in a variety of sports. His research has been featured in USA Today, Sports Illustrated, Patch and Fortune, amongst other media outlets. Ben is based in London, and is a big fan of Chelsea. More from Ben Mendelowitz