NASCAR Ambetter Health 400 Picks, Predictions

Atlanta Motor Speedway is the venue for Sunday's Ambetter Health 400, coming off a wild ending to the Daytona 500 this past Monday to kick off the newest NASCAR season.

William Byron finished on top at Daytona after a huge wreck late in the race knocked out several key drivers.

Byron captured the checkered flag in Atlanta in 2022, but Joey Logano is the defending champion after staving off Brad Keselowski and Christopher Bell last March.

NASCAR EXPERT BETS - AMBETTER HEALTH 400

For this week's Ambetter Health 400 from Atlanta Motor Speedway in Atlanta, Georgia, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

  • Corey LaJoie
  • Bubba Wallace
  • Chase Elliott
Corey LaJoie Top 10 Finish (+220)

LaJoie has finished top 10 in two of four races here at Atlanta. He's done it with aggressive moves and good strategy. He hasn't had as much speed as others, but he's done a great job with the speed he's had. LaJoie is always someone I like to target early in the week on drafting tracks. He's talked about the Spire Motorsports team having more resources and taking a step forward this season. He finished top 10 in the Daytona 500 last weekend.

Bubba Wallace Race Winner (+2200)

Wallace has a 19.8 average finish in four races at Atlanta. He's had terrible luck with accidents and has been involved in other people's mess here. Wallace is an aggressive pusher and has the upside to win on any drafting track. My model is showing this closer to 17/1, which is giving us some nice early week value. Toyota was able to push better at Daytona with the new body, and that should help them at Atlanta this weekend.

Chase Elliott Race Winner (+1300)

Elliott missed the spring race last season due to injury but has the best average finish in the three races he has run on the new Atlanta track. He also has the 2nd-best average running position and 2nd-best driver rating. Elliott is a great passer on this type of track and won the fall race at Atlanta in 2022. HMS has won three of the four races here, and like Blaney, I'd bet Elliott down to +1100.

The NASCAR circuit heads to Atlanta this Sunday. (AP)

AMBETTER HEALTH 400 BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Sunday, February 25, 2024
  • TV-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Atlanta Motor Speedway
  • Location: Hampton, Georgia
  • Distance: 500.5 miles
  • Laps: 325

AMBETTER HEALTH 400 BETTING ODDS

  • Denny Hamlin +1000
  • Joey Logano +1000
  • William Byron +1200
  • Christopher Bell +1200
  • Chase Elliott +1200
  • Ryan Blaney +1200
  • Brad Keselowski +1200
  • Kyle Larson +1200
  • Kyle Busch +1200
  • Martin Truex, Jr. +1600
  • Chris Buescher +1800
  • Michael McDowell +1800
  • Bubba Wallace +2000
  • Ross Chastain +2000
  • Tyler Reddick +2000
  • Alex Bowman +2500
  • Austin Cindric +2500
  • Erik Jones +2500
  • Todd Gilliand +2500
  • Ty Gibbs +4000
  • Daniel Suarez +4000
  • Corey Lajoie +4000
  • Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +4000
  • Austin Dillon +4000
  • John Hunter Nemechek +6000
  • Noah Gragson +6000
  • Chase Briscoe +6000
  • Ryan Preece +6000
  • Josh Berry +8000
  • Zane Smith +10000
  • Daniel Hemric +10000
  • Harrison Burton +10000
  • Carson Hocevar +12500
  • Justin Haley +15000
  • Kaz Grala +20000
  • Josh Williams +25000
  • B.J. McLeod +50000

AMBETTER HEALTH 400 HISTORY

Joey Logano captured the checkered flag of this race in 2023. (Getty)
  • 2023 - Joey Logano
  • 2022 - William Byron
  • 2021 - Ryan Blaney
  • 2020 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2019 - Brad Keselowski
  • 2018 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2017 - Brad Keselowski
  • 2016 - Jimmie Johnson
  • 2015 - Jimmie Johnson
  • 2014 - Kasey Kahne
  • 2013 - Kyle Busch