NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Picks, Predictions

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The NASCAR playoffs head to Tennessee on Saturday under the lights at Bristol Motor Speedway for the Bass Pro Shops Night Race. After this race, four of the 16 playoff drivers will be eliminated as the round of 16 comes to a conclusion.

The first two winners of the playoff races were Kyle Larson at Darlington and Tyler Reddick at Kansas last week to guarantee a spot in the next round.

Chris Buescher put together a solid performance in last September's race at Bristol as he led for 169 laps in the victory to defeat Chase Elliott and William Byron. Christopher Bell finished fourth, but he led for 143 laps and won the second stage.

BASS PRO SHOPS NIGHT RACE TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1.) #24 William Byron (13/2)
2.) #6 Brad Keselowski (8/1)
3.) #9 Chase Elliott (12/1)
4.) #43 Erik Jones (100/1)
5.) #20 Christopher Bell (6/1)

BASS PRO SHOPS NIGHT RACE PICKS & PREDICTIONS

Byron owned the most wins this season with five, as he seeks his first career victory at Bristol. The driver of the #24 Chevrolet is coming off consecutive third-place finishes the last two years at Bristol, which was a major improvement from only one Top-10 finish in his previous six races at this track.

Brad Keselowski has posted three victories at Bristol in his career but has won once here since 2013. Keselowski still has plenty of experience at this track and captured the first stage last season before closing 13th in his first year with RFK Racing.

It's been a tough season for Elliott, who is still seeking his first win in spite of being out of playoff contention. Elliott has placed in the Top-5 four times at Bristol, finishing 2nd in 2022, 3rd in 2018, 4th in 2016, and 5th in 2019.

Erik Jones is a long shot at 100/1 but has placed in the Top-10 three times since 2020 at Bristol. Jones is coming off his best finish of the season last season when he placed 3rd at Kansas.

Bell had a great first two stages at Bristol in 2022 before his fourth-place finish, which he'll look to improve on here. In two tracks similar to Bristol, Bell placed 4th at Richmond and 16th at Martinsville this season, but he owns seven Top-10 finishes in his career at short tracks.

BASS PRO SHOPS NIGHT RACE BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
Venue: Bristol Motor Speedway
Location: Bristol, Tennessee
Distance: 266.5 miles
Laps: 500
Network-Time: USA - 7:30 p.m.
Defending Champion: Chris Buescher

2023 BASS PRO SHOPS NIGHT RACE BETTING ODDS

• Denny Hamlin +400
• Kyle Larson +600
• Christopher Bell +600
• William Byron +650
• Brad Keselowski +800
• Chase Elliott +1200
• Chris Buescher +1200
• Martin Truex, Jr. +1200
• Ty Gibbs +1800
• Kyle Busch +2000
• Tyler Reddick +2000
• Ryan Blaney +2000
• Kevin Harvick +2000
• Ross Chastain +2500
• Joey Logano +2800
• Bubba Wallace +2800
• Alex Bowman +5000
• Michael McDowell +5000
• Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +8000
• Erik Jones +10000
• Aric Almirola +10000
• Daniel Suarez +10000
• Chase Briscoe +10000
• A.J. Allmendinger +12500
• Carson Hocevar +15000
• Ryan Preece +20000
• Corey Lajoie +20000
• Austin Dillon +25000
• Justin Haley +30000
• Austin Cindric +40000
• Harrison Burton +75000
• Todd Gilliand +150000
• Ryan Newman +150000
• Ty Dillon +250000
• B.J. McLeod +250000
• J.J. Yeley +250000

Odds Provided by bet365 - Subject to Change

BASS PRO SHOPS NIGHT RACE WINNERS

• 2022 - Chris Buescher
• 2021 - Kyle Larson
• 2020 - Kevin Harvick
• 2019 - Denny Hamlin
• 2018 - Kurt Busch
• 2017 - Kyle Busch
• 2016 - Kevin Harvick
• 2015 - Joey Logano
• 2014 - Joey Logano
• 2013 - Matt Kenseth

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers