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NASCAR Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Picks, Predictions

 


NASCAR Cup Betting Resources
Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Picks

Date: Sunday, August 2, 2020
New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Location: Loudon, New Hampshire
Television-Time: NBCSN, 3:00 p.m. ET

Handicapping NASCAR
at New Hampshire

We have a couple of drivers to win Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway offered at 14-to-1 odds that have a great shot to win and I recommend visiting your favorite sportsbook sooner than later to take advantage of the generosity before both numbers drop.

They’ve combined to win three of the 19 NASCAR Cup Series races this season and four of the 20 if you count the non-points All-Star Race. Could I sell you on the idea of betting Joey Logano or Chase Elliott winning in what will be the first Cup race in the Northeast this season?

NASCAR Cup Odds - New Hampshire

  • Kevin Harvick +400
  • Denny Hamlin +450
  • Kyle Busch +700
  • Martin Truex Jr. +700
  • Ryan Blaney +800
  • Chase Elliott +900
  • Brad Keselowski +900
  • Joey Logano +1200
  • Aric Almirola +2000
  • Alex Bowman +2500
  • Kurt Busch +2500
  • More NASCAR Futures
  • (Odds Subject to Change)

We have a couple of drivers to win Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway offered at 14/1 odds that have a great shot to win and I recommend visiting your favorite sportsbook sooner than later to take advantage of the generosity before both numbers drop.

They’ve combined to win three of the 19 NASCAR Cup Series races this season and four of the 20 if you count the non-points All-Star Race. Could I sell you on the idea of betting Joey Logano or Chase Elliott winning in what will be the first Cup race in the Northeast this season?

NASCAR Cup Series
Handicapping New Hampshire

Understand the Packages!

Before you answer, let me give my best sales pitch beginning with the race package that’s being used this week.

It’s the package with the tiny spoilers and engines producing 750 horsepower which has been used only four times this season, the last being the All-Star Race at Bristol won by Elliott.

Denny Hamlin leads the series with five wins and Kevin Harvick is next with four wins, but of the nine combined wins, none came using this week’s race package. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has Harvick as the 3/1 betting favorite (Bet $100 to win $300) and Hamlin at 5/1 odds.

Local 22

Joey Logano, from nearby Middleton, CT, won his first career Cup race at New Hampshire in 2009 and won there again in 2014 and also swept two K&N Series races in 2007. He has two wins this season but both came before the shutdown -- none in the 15 races since the season re-started.

While that last part doesn’t sound encouraging to drop your hard-earned money on, it’s because of that the odds are high at 14/1 after being 10/1 and 12/1 most of the season.

The two main points of why I like Logano to win this week are that he won at Phoenix and that he’s using the 750 horsepower package which Team Penske has a slight edge with than the other elite teams. The Phoenix win is important because Logano beat runner-up Harvick who has nine wins at Phoenix. The 1-mile length of Phoenix is similar to New Hampshire and the flat layout is similar so the set-up for both is similar. If a driver does well at one, they usually do well on the other.

In the four races using the 750 package, Logano has the Phoenix win and led a race-high 234 laps at Martinsville before finishing fourth. The Martinsville layout is a flat half-mile paperclip, a mini-New Hampshire of sorts.

And then the final reason I put the most of my allotted weekly bankroll on Logano was that I think this moment is something Logano, his crew, and guys in the Charlotte garage know they can win and break the non-win streak. If I know they’re great with this package, I know they know.

They should all be a little more fired up this week which means a little extra bit of attention to detail before the car is thrown onto the hauler. This may not make sense to some but I tell myself notes and beliefs to justify a wager. Logano is my guy this week.

Chase your Bets

My other guy is Chase Elliott for a lot of the same reasons I bet Logano even though Elliott has never won at New Hampshire. What he does have is an All-Star win with this week’s race package and also led a race-high 93 laps at Phoenix before finishing seventh. He was fifth at Martinsville as well. Those two, along with Penske’s Brad Keselowski (10/1), have looked the best with this package, not Harvick or Hamlin who have dominated the season.

Worth a Look?

The other Penske driver Ryan Blaney should also be looked at 10/1 odds. He leads tons of laps everywhere but only has one win and it came at the Superspeedway of Talladega.

Blaney not being able to close out races concerns me, or my money, but I still put a couple of bucks on him just because of how well he performed in the last two races using this week’s race package. He was runner-up at Martinsville after leading 34 laps and then was sixth at the All-Star Race after leading a race-high 72 laps.

The Chalk vs. the Field

Now, here’s a look at the amazing resumes of this week’s favorites, the drivers I’m going to have to beat to have a chance at cashing.

Kevin Harvick has had lots of success at New Hampshire and if he were to win his third straight Cup race there Sunday, he’d pass Jeff Burton for the track record with five wins.

“Yeah, this place has been really good to us, and I think Rodney (Childers, crew chief) and I probably feel like we should have – could have – won them all,” said Harvick who has seven top-fives and three wins in 10 New Hampshire races since joining Stewart-Haas Racing in 2014.

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“But it’s been a racetrack that has been really good for us from a performance standpoint. And I think, from a confidence standpoint, being able to adjust on the car and know what we’re looking for, I think this is definitely a racetrack where a lot of those things came into play, and we used a lot of the same things that we’ve used in the past as far as tools of how we make our car go around the corner. I think obviously it’s been a great racetrack for us.”

Yeah, it’s probably not a good idea to leave Harvick out of my mix, but I have to take a stand somewhere and 3/1 odds offer me nothing to play with unless I dump 80 percent of my odds to win wagers on him and I can’t do that. He hasn’t won with this package, so that thought in my head justifies no wager. Just a side note, the voice in my head has been known to be wrong.

Denny Hamlin has won three times at New Hampshire and loves every kind of flat track there is. He’s having his best season ever, but none of his five wins came with the 750 package. He led race-high 131 laps at Bristol but finished 17th. His cars were also junk at Phoenix and Martinsville. His best finish with it was the All-Star race where he was fifth.

I can’t do much with Hamlin or his JGR teammate Kyle Busch, who is still looking for his first win of 2020. Both are each offered at 5/1 odds to win. Busch has been amazing with this package notching three top-fives and he’s a three-time New Hampshire winner in the Cup Series with nine other wins combined in the Trucks and Xfinity Series.

Martin Truex Sr., Martin Truex Jr., and Ryan Truex have all won K&N Series races at New Hampshire. It’s been a family tradition for the last 30 years but he’s never won a Cup race on it. However, he has the only JGR win using the 750 package this season and has been seventh or better in his last five starts there. He’s also led 83 laps or more in five of the last six races there. The SuperBook has odds at 7/1 to win.

Overall, I like the Penske cars and Elliott more than the favorites but I’m still extremely respectful to the favorites of Harvick, Hamlin, and Busch, I just didn’t bet on them. However, realistically they’re top-five guys so I threw both Busch and Harvick in my top-five display and may still bet them in match-ups.

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
Top-5 Finish Prediction


1) #22 Joey Logano (14/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
2) #9 Chase Elliott (14/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
3) #4 Kevin Harvick (3/1)
4) #18 Kyle Busch (5/1)
5) #12 Ryan Blaney (10/1)

NASCAR Cup Series
Weekly Predictions

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