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Auto Racing

Goodyear 400 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

The NASCAR circuit heads back east for Mother's Day on Sunday to Darlington, South Carolina for the Goodyear 400.

Ross Chastain (404 points) sits atop the NASCAR Cup Series standings after 12 races in spite of not winning a race this season. Christopher Bell (373), Martin Truex, Jr. (368), and Denny Hamlin (368) are right behind Chastain for the top spot.

Hamlin finally broke through with his first win of the season last week at Kansas, marking his third Top-5 finish in the past four races.

Darlington Raceway is the home of two races annually, the Goodyear 400 this weekend and the Cook Out Southern 400, held in early September.

Joey Logano led 107 laps in last May's Goodyear 400 and picked up his first career victory at Darlington, while placing fourth in the September event (he also won the pole for each race).

Four active drivers possess at least two wins at Darlington: Hamlin (4), Kevin Harvick (3), Truex, Jr. (2), and Erik Jones (2), who captured the September race last year.

GOODYEAR 400 TOP-5 FINISH PREDICTION

1. #8 Tyler Reddick (+850)
2. #11 Denny Hamlin (+650)
3. #20 Christopher Bell (12/1)
4. #9 Chase Elliott (12/1)
5. #43 Erik Jones (60/1)   

    Darlington Raceway hosts the Goodyear 400 on Sunday. (Getty)

    GOODYEAR 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS

    Tyler Reddick (+850) is by no means a dark horse this week, but he fared well in the two Darlington races last year by placing 2nd in the May race and 3rd in the September affair.

    Reddick has seen his ups and downs this season, which included his lone win at the road course at COTA in Texas and a second-place finish at the dirt race in Bristol.

    Reddick has rebounded since a slow start which saw him finish 39th at Daytona and 34th at California the next week, both resulting in crashes. The Toyota driver is coming off back-to-back Top-10 finishes the last two weeks at Dover and Kansas.

    There's no reason not to take a shot with Hamlin, who has placed fifth or higher in five of the last seven races at Darlington since 2020.

    Hamlin finished 21st in last year's May event in spite of sitting fourth after the second stage. Hamlin will hope to turn around a recent trend in which he struggled off a win, as he finished 28th and 34th off his two victories in 2022.

    Bell (12/1) has done a good job of rebounding off a poor finish this season. The driver of the #20 Toyota car placed 36th at Kansas last week, marking the third time he has finished 30th or worse this season. However, Bell placed fifth and fourth in the following race after that low of a finish.

    Last season, Bell fared well at Darlington by finishing 6th in May and 5th in September, marking his first Top-10 finishes at this track in his career.

    Chase Elliott (12/1) has been hit or miss in Darlington, as he put together two finishes of 31st or worse in the last two September races. But in the May events, Elliott placed fifth and seventh the past two years, while coming off his first Top-10 finish at Kansas last week since suffering a leg injury in late February.

    Jones owns two wins at this track, capped off by his September triumph in 2022 when he defeated Hamlin and Reddick. Jones has raced 10 times at Darlington in his career, placing in the Top-8 seven times, while two poor finishes came as a result of an engine failure and an accident.

    GOODYEAR 400 BETTING RESOURCES

    • Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
    • TV-Time: FS1, 3:00 p.m. ET
    • Venue: Darlington Raceway
    • Location: Darlington, South Carolina
    • Distance: 400 miles
    • Laps: 293

    2023 NASCAR GOODYEAR 400 BETTING ODDS

    GOODYEAR 400 RACE HISTORY

    Joey Logano captured the checkered flag at Darlington last May. (Getty)
    • 2022 - Joey Logano
    • 2021 - Martin Truex, Jr.
    • 2020* - Denny Hamlin
    • 2020* - Kevin Harvick

    *Two races were hosted at Darlington over a four-day span during pandemic.

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    Kevin Rogers

    Kevin Rogers

    Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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