NASCAR Toyota Owners 400 Picks, Predictions

The seventh race of the NASCAR season takes place Sunday at Richmond Raceway in Virginia for the Toyota Owners 400. Following William Byron's victory in Austin on the road track last week, things shift to the short track at Richmond, which is similar to Bristol and Martinsville.

Byron became the first driver this season to win multiple races as he captured the checkered flag in the first race at the Daytona 500.

Martin Truex, Jr. is listed as the favorite on Sunday evening as he has seen tremendous success at Richmond.

Truex, Jr. has three wins at this track since 2019, while finishing in the Top 7 in nine of the past 10 at Richmond Raceway.

Kyle Larson is the defending champion of the Toyota Owners 400 last April. Larson hasn't been great at Richmond over the years by compiling 8 Top-10 finishes in 18 career races.

NASCAR EXPERT BETS - TOYOTA OWNERS 400

For this week's Toyota Owners 400 on Sunday March 31, 2024 from Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

  • Tyler Reddick
  • Chris Buescher
  • Bubba Wallace 
Tyler Reddick Race Winner (+1600)

Reddick was top 3 in speed at Phoenix. He is 6th in speed at short flats since the start of 2023. He also ranked top 5 in speed at Richmond 2 last season. The Cup Series is running the same tire they had at Phoenix, and if Reddick has the same type of speed he had in that race, this is the best number we're going to get on him.

Chris Buescher Top 10 Finish (-143)

Buescher has finished 5th or better in the last 3 short-flat tracks, including his win here in the fall. He finished 2nd at Phoenix and ranked 8th in speed earlier this season. Both RFK cars have been strong at this type of track, and they've hit on something at this track type. I bet this at -130, and I would bet it to -145. If it continues to move, we might be able to get a better number after qualifying.

Bubba Wallace Top 10 Finish (+135)

I've taken Wallace's outright, and I'm showing value on his top-10 bet as well. Wallace has an average finish of 18.3 in the 4 races at Richmond with the Next Gen car. He struggled at Phoenix, but Reddick/Toyota had a lot of speed. Wallace ranks 11th in speed on short-flat tracks since the start of the 2023 season. It's tough to get action on the Toyotas this week, but I think there is value on 23XI to start the week.

Martin Truex, Jr. has finished in the top 7 in 9 of the last 10 races at Richmond. (Getty)

TOYOTA OWNERS 400 BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024
  • TV-Time: FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Richmond Raceway
  • Location: Richmond, Virginia
  • Distance: 300 miles
  • Laps: 400

2024 TOYOTA OWNERS 400 BETTING ODDS

  • Martin Truex, Jr. +450
  • Christopher Bell +550
  • Kyle Larson +600
  • Denny Hamlin +650
  • Ty Gibbs +1000
  • Brad Keselowski +1200
  • Chris Buescher +1200
  • Joey Logano +1600
  • William Byron +1600
  • Alex Bowman +1800
  • Bubba Wallace +1800
  • Ross Chastain +2000
  • Ryan Blaney +2000
  • Chase Elliott +2200
  • Tyler Reddick +2200
  • Kyle Busch +3000
  • Josh Berry +4000
  • Chase Briscoe +6000
  • Noah Gragson +6000
  • Carson Hocevar +10000
  • Daniel Suarez +10000
  • Michael McDowell +10000
  • Austin Cindric +15000
  • Austin Dillon +15000
  • Erik Jones +15000
  • John Hunter Nemechek +15000
  • Ryan Preece +15000
  • Todd Gilliand +25000
  • Corey Lajoie +40000
  • Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +40000
  • Harrison Burton +50000
  • Justin Haley +50000
  • Ty Dillon +50000
  • Zane Smith +50000
  • Daniel Hemric +150000
  • Kaz Grala +150000

TOYOTA OWNERS 400 HISTORY

Kyle Larson grabbed the win at Richmond Raceway last April. (Getty)
  • 2023 - Kyle Larson
  • 2022 - Denny Hamlin
  • 2021 - Alex Bowman
  • 2020 - No Race (Pandemic)
  • 2019 - Martin Truex, Jr.
  • 2018 - Kyle Busch
  • 2017 - Joey Logano
  • 2016 - Carl Edwards
  • 2015 - Kurt Busch
  • 2014 - Joey Logano