Jan 20, 2019
Big Monday Tip Sheet
Monday night’s betting action on this extended holiday weekend tips things off in the Big Ten with the No. 19 Maryland Terrapins on the road against the No. 6 Michigan State Spartans.
As part of ESPN’s Big Monday’s doubleheader of games, the No. 9 Virginia Tech Hokies will be on the road against the No. 13 North Carolina Tar Heels in this ACC tilt. Later that night in the Big 12, the Iowa State Cyclones square off against the No. 7 Kansas Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse.
No. 19 Maryland at No. 6 Michigan State (FOX Sports 1, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Michigan State -8 ½, Total 150
Maryland’s straight-up winning streak reached seven games with Friday’s 75-61 victory against Ohio State. The last six wins have been in conference play as part of a 7-1 SU start in the Big Ten. The Terrapins also covered against the Buckeyes as three-point road underdogs to move to 6-2 ATS in those same eight games. Junior guard Anthony Cowan Jr. led the way on Friday with 20 points and six assists.
The Spartans upended Nebraska 70-64 last Thursday as slight 1 ½-point road favorites to extend their SU winning streak to 11 games, including a perfect 7-0 start in the Big Ten. Their record ATS during this same span is a highly profitable 10-1 with the total staying UNDER in five of their last six outings. Michigan State is averaging 84.7 points per game and holding opponents to 66.7 points on defense.
-- The Terrapins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on Monday and the total has gone OVER in nine of their last 12 games following a SU win.
-- The Spartans have gone 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games coming off a SU win with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in five of their last six games following a SU win.
-- The underdog in this matchup is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings at Michigan State.
No. 9 Virginia Tech at No. 13 North Carolina (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: North Carolina -5, Total 154 ½
The Hokies are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games with Saturday’s 87-71 romp over Wake Forest at home. The lone loss came to Virginia last Tuesday in an 81-59 beatdown on the road. Virginia Tech failed to cover in each game as 7 ½-point underdogs against the Cavaliers and heavy 18 ½-point favorites in Saturday’s win. It is 4-1 SU in ACC play with a 1-4 record ATS. Sophomore guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker is the Hokies’ leading scorer with 18.3 PPG and he led the way on Saturday with 24 points.
North Carolina moved to 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in conference play with Saturday’s 85-76 victory against Miami as a seven-point road favorite. The lone loss came against Louisville at home on Jan. 12. The Tar Heels were on the wrong end of an 83-62 setback against the Cardinals as 11 ½-point favorites. The total went OVER 157 ½ points against Miami after staying UNDER the closing line in their previous seven games.
-- The Hokies have failed to cover in five of their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight Monday games.
-- The Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a SU winning team and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 10 ACC games.
-- The home team has covered in four of the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER in the last six games between the two.
Iowa State at No. 7 Kansas (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Kansas -4 ½, Total 146 ½
Back-to-back victories both SU and ATS verse Texas Tech on the road and Oklahoma State at home improved the Cyclones’ record in the Big 12 to 4-2 (SU and ATS). The total stayed UNDER in each of those games and it has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight outings. Iowa State beat Kansas 77-60 on Jan. 5 to cover as a 2 ½-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the closing 151 ½-point line. Senior guard Marial Shayok scored 24 points while going 5-for-5 from three-point range in that first meeting.
Saturday’s 65-64 loss to West Virginia as 4 ½-point road favorites dropped the Jayhawks to 4-2 SU in conference play with a 2-4 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the six games. Kansas is 15-3 SU overall, but it slips to 8-10 ATS. This includes a 4-7 record covering the closing number at home. Junior forward Dedric Lawson is averaging a team-high 18.9 PPG while shooting 51.2 percent from the field. However, he has failed to reach that average in five of his last six starts.
-- The Cyclones are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games played on the road.
-- The Jayhawks have a 2-5 record ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 18 of their last 24 games at home.
-- Iowa State has covered ATS in its last four road games against Kansas. The total has gone OVER in 14 of the last 20 meetings overall.