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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:59 PM

Tuesday's Tip Sheet

Purdue (-4 ½, 140 ½) at Indiana – 7:00 PM EST – ESPN2

These Hoosier State rivals are going in different directions and when we mean different directions, Purdue is headed to the NCAA tournament and Indiana will likely miss the Big Dance for the third straight season. In the first meeting this season in West Lafayette, the Boilermakers (18-7 SU, 14-10-1 ATS) cruised past the Hoosiers (13-12 SU, 8-16 ATS) as nine-point favorites, 70-55 to capture their fourth consecutive win in the series.

Purdue rebounded from a 14-point loss at Maryland that snapped an eight-game winning streak as the Boilermakers took care of Penn State on Saturday, 76-64 as 12-point home favorites. The Boilermakers led by three points at halftime, but Matt Painter’s team opened things up in the second half, highlighted by 21 points from Carsen Edwards as Purdue improved to 11-3 in Big 10 play.

Indiana went through a perfect December at 6-0, which included victories over Louisville and Butler. The Hoosiers won their debut game of 2019 against Illinois, but Archie Miller’s squad has posted a 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS record the last 11 trips to the court. The latest defeat came in blowout fashion at Minnesota on Saturday in an 84-63 setback as 3 ½-point underdogs. The Hoosiers fell to 1-6 in their last seven road contests with the only win coming in an unlikely upset of Michigan State in overtime on February 2 as 13 ½-point underdogs.

Big 10 play at Assembly Hall hasn’t been kind to IU, who has failed to cover in all six home conference games. The Hoosiers are listed as a home ‘dog for only the second time this season as they were routed by Michigan on January 25 by 23 points. Since losing their first two Big 10 road games at Michigan and Michigan State, the Boilermakers are 3-1 SU/ATS in their last four away contests, while capturing three of the past four meetings in Bloomington.

Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-18 ½, 147 ½) – 7:00 PM EST - ESPN

The last time these Volunteer State foes got together in Nashville on January 23, the Commodores (9-16 SU, 9-16 ATS) were on the verge of upsetting Tennessee (23-2 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) as nine-point underdogs. However, the Vols rallied late to force overtime and held off the ‘Dores, 88-83 to stay perfect in SEC play and keep Vandy winless inside the conference. Grant Williams led Tennessee with 43 points, including shooting a perfect 23-of-23 from the free throw line as the Vols won for the third straight time at Vanderbilt.

The Volunteers jumped out to a 11-0 start inside the league before getting tripped up at Kentucky on Saturday, 86-69 as 3 ½-point underdogs. Tennessee suffered its first loss since falling to Kansas back in November as the Wildcats limited the Vols to 40% shooting from the floor, while scoring their second-fewest points in a game this season (66 vs. Georgia Tech).

Vanderbilt has lost all 12 conference affairs, while last picking up a victory against UNC-Asheville on December 31. The Commodores have put together a respectable 3-2 ATS mark away from Memorial Gymnasium in SEC play, including a recent cover at Florida as 9 ½-point underdogs last Wednesday in a 66-57 defeat. Amazingly this is only the second time that Vandy is listed as a double-digit ‘dog this season as the Commodores cashed as 12 ½-point ‘dogs in a loss at Kentucky in January.

Maryland at Iowa (-2, 149 ½) – 8:00 PM EST – BTN

The Hawkeyes (20-5 SU, 12-13 ATS) have turned into the cardiac kids of the Big 10 recently by coming off a pair of last-second wins over Northwestern and Rutgers. Although it’s not great competition that Iowa beat in this span, the Hawkeyes erased a 15-point deficit to the Wildcats with 4:30 left as Jordan Bohannon drilled the go-ahead three-pointer in an 80-79 stunner. Six days later, Joe Wieskamp banked in a three-pointer from an improbable angle in the corner in the final seconds to shock the Scarlet Knights, 71-69.

Iowa failed to cover in both victories to fall to 2-4 ATS in the last six games. However, the Hawkeyes have climbed out of an 0-3 hole to start conference play to possess a 9-5 record in the Big 10 to sit in fifth place. Iowa welcomes in Maryland (19-7 SU, 13-12-1 ATS) for the first time since 2017, while the Terrapins crushed the Hawkeyes last season in College Park, 91-73 as 7 ½-point favorites.

Maryland jumped out to an impressive 7-1 start in Big 10 play, but the Terrapins have slowed down considerably of late by posting a 3-4 record the last seven games. After an impressive home underdog win over Purdue on February 12, Maryland fell at Michigan on Saturday afternoon, 65-52 as 7 ½-point ‘dogs. The Terps put together their worst offensive effort of the season as they were limited to 18 first half points and 36% shooting from the floor. Maryland owns a 4-3 ATS record on the road in Big 10 action, while covering in its last four opportunities as an underdog of three points or less.

Kentucky (-11, 133 ½) at Missouri – 9:00 PM EST - ESPN

The Wildcats (21-4 SU, 15-10 ATS) were the first team to figure out how to knock off Tennessee in SEC play in Saturday’s 86-69 triumph at Rupp Arena. Not only did Kentucky bounce back from the controversial buzzer-beating loss to LSU, but John Calipari’s squad improved to 10-2 in conference action and 8-0 ATS in the last eight SEC victories. P.J. Washington led Kentucky with 23 points, as the Wildcats shot a terrific 24-of-40 (60%) on two-point attempts, while nailing 23 free throws in the win.

Kentucky travels to Missouri to face a Tigers’ (12-12 SU, 10-13-1 ATS) team in rebuilding mode after a 20-win season and a berth to the NCAA tournament in 2018. Mizzou has compiled a 3-9 conference record with victories over Texas A&M, Vanderbilt, and Arkansas, all teams owning losing records in SEC play. The Tigers couldn’t capitalize off a home win over the Razorbacks by losing at Ole Miss on Saturday, 75-65 as 9 ½-point underdogs.

Missouri is listed as a double-digit ‘dog for the third time this season, as the Tigers cashed as 18 ½-point ‘dogs in a loss at Tennessee on February 5, while getting blown out at Auburn as 14 ½-point underdogs last month. Kentucky has covered in four of the past six opportunity when laying at least 10 points, while the Wildcats are listed as a double-digit road favorite for the first time this season.

Last season, the Wildcats and Tigers split a pair of matchups with the home team winning each time. Missouri has covered in each of the past three meetings in Columbia, including in 2015 and 2017 as a double-digit underdog.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at [email protected]

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

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