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UCLA vs. Oregon Predictions, Odds, Preview

 

Mar. 3, 2021
Thom Cunningham
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

A massive Pac-12 game sees the UCLA Bruins head to Eugene, Oregon to take on the Oregon Ducks. The game is set for a 9 p.m. (ET) tip time and will air on ESPN2.

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UCLA-Oregon Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oregon -3.5
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 135.5

Odds Subject to Change

The Oregon Ducks enter as home favorites, given a -3.5-point spread. Oregon is split on the ATS this season at 11-11, while the Bruins are 11-12 themselves.

The point total is set at 135.5, which both schools tend to lean OVER on. UCLA has gone OVER the point total in 13 of 23 games this season, while Oregon has gone OVER the point total in 13 of 22 games. Combining the schools' O/U record gives the OVER an advantage of 26-19.


The Oregon Ducks have won three straight games, including eight of their last nine overall and 10 of 12 at home. (AP)

Betting Analysis – UCLA Bruins

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-6
  • ATS: 11-12
  • SU - Home: 11-0
  • SU - Away: 6-6
  • O/U: 13-10

The Bruins will once against be without Jalen Hill, although this team has plenty of weapons while senior Chris Smith is also still out. Johnny Juzang has picked up his game, leading the team in points per game to go along with 4.4 rebounds.

Tyger Campbell is one of the better point guards in the nation, a true quarterback of the offense with 5.6 assists per game. He also adds 10.8 points per game, although his scoring fluctuates. Jaime Jaquez is perhaps the most productive Bruin never mentioned, averaging over 11 points per game and 6.1 rebounds - which is key as Hill's 5.5 boards per game won't be around.

Cody Riley also contributes nicely on the glass with 5.3 rebounds per game to go along with 10.3 points. With Jules Bernard also filling in well, its easy to see why they lead the Pac-12 and are winners in four of their last five games.

There still comes a lack of conviction when deciding if UCLA is a real contender, as this game will be a solid test. All of the Bruins' losses have come on the road though, as the Matthew Knight Arena isn't a venue struggling road teams win inside.

Betting Analysis – Oregon Ducks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-5
  • ATS: 11-11
  • SU - Home: 10-2
  • SU - Away: 7-3
  • O/U: 13-9

The Ducks are one of the better kept secrets entering March, winning eight of their last nine games with a fully healthy roster. Well, not fully healthy in the fact that N'Faly Dante is still out. Chris Duarte, Will Richardson and Eugene Omoruyi are all on the court together finally however.

This is a true three-headed monster in college basketball, with Duarte and Omoruyi each averaging 17 points per game or more. L.J. Figueroa also adds 11.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, rounding out a very dangerous productive four upperclassmen.

Eric Williams is another productive upperclassman, adding 10.7 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. Oregon also features four players who average 1.4 steals or more per game. They average 7.5 per game which ranks first within the Pac-12 and 70th in the nation.


Inside the Stats – UCLA Bruins

  • PS/G: 73 (141st)
  • PA/G: 67.5 (97th)
  • Off Rtg: 108.3 (60th)
  • Def Rtg: 100.1 (180th)

Inside the Stats – Oregon Ducks

  • PS/G: 73.5 (121st)
  • PA/G: 66.5 (74th)
  • Off Rtg: 107.7 (67th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.5 (120th)

Key Players to Watch

This is a very difficult game to pick in terms of the spread market. The point total going OVER seems to be the better play, or at least have more conviction. The schools lean OVER as shown in the point total breakdown above, while each school averages over 70 points per game.

The given 135.5 wouldn't even require both schools to touch 70, so consider the OVER especially with the number of offensive playmakers for both teams. If you must pick a winner then go with Oregon, but it's unlikely they lead the entire game. Taking the Ducks live for plus-value is the better play if picking a winner, as Oregon typically wins at home when playing at night.

  • UCLA - Johnny Juzang (14.6 PPG, 4.4 RPG)
  • UCLA - Tyger Campbell (10.8 PPG, 5.6 APG)
  • OREG - Eugene Omoruyi (17 PPG, 5.4 RPG)
  • OREG - Chris Duarte (17.4 PPG, 4.9 RPG)

UCLA-Oregon Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Oregon 70 UCLA 66
  • Best Bets: OVER
  • Best Bets: Oregon SU (live bet for plus-value)

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