Last Updated Jan 27, 2022, 9:46 AM

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Purdue Boilermakers (16-3, 5-3 Big Ten) travel to meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (14-5, 4-4) at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City on Thursday for a Big Ten matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on FOX Sports 1.

SCORE PREDICTION

Purdue 78, Iowa 75

BEST BETS

Purdue ML -145 at BetMGM

Under 158.5 (-110) at BetMGM

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES PREDICTIONS

The Boilermakers were surprised in Bloomington by the rival Indiana Hoosiers last Thursday, falling 68-65 as 3.5-point favorites. Purdue bounced back with authority, roughing up Northwestern by an 80-60 score in West Lafayette to cover a 12-point number. The Boilermakers hit an outstanding 52% from the field, or 29-of-46, while dropping in 12-of-29, or 41%, from behind the 3-point line. They also took good care of the basketball, turning it over just nine times while outrebounding the Wildcats by a 32-to-19 margin.

Like the Boilers, the Hawkeyes were looking to get untracked after a loss in the most recent road game. Iowa was topped 48-46 in a low-scoring affair at Rutgers last Wednesday. It rebounded with a 68-51 victory over Penn State, covering a 10-point number as the UNDER cashed. The Hawkeyes hit 41%, or 22-of-54, from the field, while connecting on 10-of-32, or 31% from behind the arc. Star Keegan Murray led the way with 15 points, although he was a subpar 4-of-12 from the field, including 1-of-7 from behind the arc. He was able to grab eight rebounds and three blocked shots, as even when he doesn't have a good game in one area, he is able to pick up the pace in other facets.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING ODDS

  • Purdue -145
  • Iowa +120
  • Purdue -2 (-110)
  • Iowa +2 (-110)
  • Over 158.5 (-110)
  • Under 158.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 10
  • Date: Thursday, January 27, 2022
  • Venue: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • TV-Time: FS1 - 9:00 p.m. ET

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 16-3
  • ATS: 10-9
  • O/U: 11-8

Purdue has hit the UNDER in the past two games after a 5-0 OVER run. The Boilermakers have gotten back to defense, allowing just 64.0 PPG in the two outings after yielding 65 or more points in the previous five. The Boilers are also 3-1 ATS across the past four outings after an 0-4 ATS run from Dec. 20-Jan. 8.

Purdue heads into this one 1-4 ATS across the past five games on the road, while also posting a 1-4 ATS mark in the past five on the road against teams with a winning home record. And Purdue has had a case of the Thursdays, going 1-4 ATS in the past five on the day.

For totals, the OVER is also 5-2-1 in the past eight against teams with a winning overall record, while going 4-1 in the past five following a straight-up win, too. The OVER has hit in five of the past seven games overall.

IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-5
  • ATS: 12-7
  • O/U: 13-5-1

The Hawkeyes have done a really good job against the number at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Iowa has posted an impressive 33-15-3 ATS mark in the past 51 games at home, while going 7-3 ATS in the past 10 games after a straight-up victory.

In terms of the total, the OVER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games overall, while going 23-9-1 in the past 33 games at home. The OVER is also an impressive 6-0 in the past six home games against teams with a winning road mark.

Iowa hasn't had a lot of success against Purdue in recent seasons, going just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in the past six meetings, while the OVER has edged the UNDER 5-3-1 in the past nine in this series.

The home team is 16-6 ATS in the past 22 meetings in this series. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

  • Record: 16-3
  • VI Ranking: 13
  • PS/G: 84.7 (4th)
  • PA/G: 67.4 (138th)
  • ORtg: 122.7 (1st)
  • DRtg: 97.6 (153rd)

INSIDE THE STATS - IOWA HAWKEYES

  • Record: 14-5
  • VI Ranking: 41
  • PS/G: 83.1 (5th)
  • PA/G: 69.4 (194th)
  • ORtg: 116.4 (6th)
  • DRtg: 97.2 (146th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • PUR: Zach Edey - C (15.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.3 APG, 1.3 BPG)
  • PUR: Jaden Ivey - G (16.7 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.9 APG, 1.2 SPG)
  • IOWA: Patrick McCaffery - F (10.8 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.8 APG, 32.7 3P%)
  • IOWA: Keegan Murray - F (22.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 2.2 BPG, 1.4 SPG, 1.2 APG)

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING CONCLUSION

This is going to be a tremendous battle, but Iowa knows how these games usually end. Purdue has won five of the past six meetings in this series, and the Boilermakers have still covered four of those outings, although Iowa hit the number in each of the past two in the series.

The Hawkeyes have lost all four games against ranked teams while going 1-3 ATS this season, including a 77-70 loss at Purdue back on Dec. 3. The UNDER cashed in that game, and it was Iowa's only cover against a ranked team this season as a 14.5-point underdog. I think Purdue is able to maintain its mastery in this series while posting a win, but it's going to come right down to the very end. Purdue hasn't had a ton of success against the number on the road, and I like them better just straight up for a little extra juice rather than bothering with the points.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING TRENDS

  • Purdue is 1-4 ATS in the past five road games.
  • Iowa is 33-15-3 ATS in the past 51 home games.
  • Iowa is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 following a SU win.
  • The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Purdue.
  • The OVER is 5-2-1 in the past eight vs. winning teams for Purdue.
  • The OVER is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games overall for Iowa.
  • The OVER is 23-9-1 in the past 33 home games for Iowa.
  • The OVER is 6-0 in the past six home games for Iowa vs. teams with a winning road mark.
  • The home team is 16-6 ATS in the past 22 meetings.
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