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Last Updated Feb 08, 2022, 09:55 AM

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Wisconsin Badgers (18-4, 9-3 Big Ten) travel to meet the Michigan State Spartans (17-5, 8-3) in a huge conference battle at Breslin Center in East Lansing, Mich. on Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m., and the game can be viewed on Big Ten Network.

SCORE PREDICTION

Michigan State 71, Wisconsin 69

BEST BETS

Wisconsin +4.5 (-110) at William Hill

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS PREDICTIONS

It certainly wasn't pretty, but the Badgers gutted out at 51-49 win at home over Penn State on Saturday, coming nowhere near a cover as nine-point favorites while the UNDER easily connected. The 51 points marked a season low, but fortunately the 49 points allowed were the least yielded since a 34-point effort by Green Bay on Nov. 12 in non-conference action. The 51 points were the least amount of points scored in a victory since a 47-43 win in the NCAA Tournamant against Pittsburgh on March 18, 2016. The point total was the lowest in a victory during the regular season since a 45-44 win over Minnesota on Jan. 26, 2013.

The Spartans were routed in unlikely fashion Saturday, as Rutgers picked up an 84-63 win. Michigan State is a very ordinary 3-3 SU across the past six games, while failing to cover five times in the previous eight outings. In that outing against the Scarlet Knights, Sparty shot just 44% (23-of-52) from the field, including 46% (11-of-24) from downtown. Michigan State turned it over 13 times to nine for Rutgers, while the Scarlet Knights inexplicably outrebounded the Spartans by a 27-to-18 clip.

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING ODDS

  • Wisconsin +155
  • Michigan State -175
  • Wisconsin +4.5 (-110)
  • Michigan State -3.5 (-110)
  • Over 139 (-110)
  • Under 139.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 10
  • Date: Tuesday, February 8, 2022
  • Venue: Breslin Center
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • TV-Time: BTN - 7:00 p.m. ET

WISCONSIN BADGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-4
  • ATS: 12-10
  • O/U: 14-8

The Badgers have failed to cover five straight games since covering a two-point number at Northwestern on Jan. 18. The 0-5 ATS skid comes after a 5-0 ATS run from Jan. 3-18, so it's been a roller coaster ride for Wisconsin bettors. It's been over 15 years since the Badgers failed to cover six or more games in a row during the regular season.

For totals, the OVER has connected in nine of the past 12 games overall, while cashing in four of the past five games on the road. The OVER is also 4-0 in the past four on the road against teams with a winning home record. The UNDER is 5-2-1 in the past eight overall against teams with a winning record, however.

In this series, Michigan State has won eight of the past 10 meetings overall, with the Badgers holding a slight 5-4 ATS advantage. The OVER cashed in the first meeting this season on Jan. 21, 2022 in Madison, while the Spartans cashed as three-point underdogs in the 86-74 win. The OVER has cashed in two in a row, ut the UNDER is 5-2-1 in the past eight in the series.

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-5
  • ATS: 12-9-1
  • O/U: 11-10-1

Sparty started out the season with a 9-4-1 ATS mark across the first 14 games, and it never had consecutive non-covers until an 0-3 ATS slide from Jan. 5-15 against Nebraska, Minnesota and Northwestern, all at home.

Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in the past five games at home, although it has recovered well after a setback. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in the past four games following a straight-up loss.

For totals, the OVER is 5-2-1 in the past eight games at home, while going 3-1-1 in the past five following a straight-up loss.


The Badgers have failed to cover the past five games overall. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - WISCONSIN BADGERS

  • Record: 18-4
  • VI Ranking: 13
  • PS/G: 71.2 (184th)
  • PA/G: 66.3 (102nd)
  • ORtg: 105.3 (127th)
  • DRtg: 98.0 (152nd)

INSIDE THE STATS - MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

  • Record: 17-5
  • VI Ranking: 19
  • PS/G: 73.7 (118th)
  • PA/G: 66.4 (108th)
  • ORtg: 107.1 (89th)
  • DRtg: 96.4 (111st)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • WIS: Jonathan Davis - G (20.6 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.3 SPG)
  • WIS: Brad Davison - G (15.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 2.0 APG, 36.5 3P%)
  • MSU: Gabe Brown - F (13.1 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.0 APG, 38.6 3P%)
  • MSU: Malik Hall - F (10.0 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.2 APG, 53.7 3P%)

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Spartans were embarrassed, so don't think for one minute head coach Tom Izzo hasn't been working this team hard, making them run gassers while doing extra free-throw shooting and anything else under the sun to make sure another blowout isn't in the offing. The Badgers weren't very good last time out, either, and there is improvement to be had despite the fact they actually won.

This is going to be an interesting game. Before last week, this looked like a marquee game, and it very much still is, even though a little luster was lost when Michigan State was routed by Rutgers. Wisconsin is looking for redemption after getting boat-raced by Michigan State 86-74 at Kohl Center in Madison on Jan. 21, but I think Sparty is able to scratch out a victory and get back into the win column after its embarrassing loss. However, look for the Badgers to keep it close in a game which should go right down to the bitter end.

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS. MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING TRENDS

  • Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in past five games overall.
  • Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS in past eight road games vs. team with winning home record.
  • Wisconsin is 0-4 ATS in past four following ATS loss.
  • Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in past five home games.
  • Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in past four following SU loss.
  • The OVER is 9-3 in past 12 games for Wisconsin.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in past five road games for Wisconsin.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in past nine for Wisconsin following SU win.
  • The UNDER is 5-2-1 in past eight vs. winning teams for Wisconsin.
  • The OVER is 5-2-1 in past eight home games for Michigan State.
  • The OVER is 3-1-1 in past five after SU loss for Michigan State.
  • The underdog is 7-3 ATS in past 10 meetings.
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