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College Basketball

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The Texas Christian Horned Frogs (16-7, 5-6 Big 12) travel to meet the Baylor Bears (21-5, 9-4) in a Big 12 conference battle Saturday at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN2.

SCORE PREDICTION

Baylor 75, TCU 66

BEST BETS

TCU +11.5 (-110) at Westgate Superbook

Over 137.5 (-110) at WynnBet

TCU HORNED FROGS VS. BAYLOR BEARS PREDICTIONS

The Horned Frogs are in a bit of a nosedive, losing each of the past two games, and three of the past four games overall while going 1-3 ATS in the four-game span. TCU was on the short end of a 54-51 loss against Iowa State last time out on Tuesday, hitting the UNDER for the first time in seven outings. The last time it hit the UNDER was Jan. 22, also against the Cyclones.

This is a rematch of a game Jan. 8 in Fort Worth which saw the Bears pick up a 76-64 victory as 10-point favorites with a push on the total at most shops.

Baylor is looking to pick itself up off the mat after an 83-73 shellacking at Texas Tech on Wednesday. They're a very ordinary 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS across the past six games, and they have allowed 77 or more points in four of the past six outings, which is a bit uncharacteristic for their defense.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ODDS

  • TCU +600
  • Baylor -900
  • TCU -11.5 (-110)
  • Baylor +11.5 (-110)
  • Over 137.5 (-110)
  • Under 137.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

TCU HORNED FROGS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 12
  • Date: Saturday, February 19, 2022
  • Venue: Ferrell Center
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • TV-Time: ESPN2 - 12:00 p.m. ET

TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 16-7
  • ATS: 12-9-2
  • O/U: 11-10-2

TCU has lost two straight, and three of the past four outings overall, going 1-3 ATS during the ugly span. This is a team which hasn't won more than two games in a row since a seven-game win streak from Nov. 24-Dec. 21.

The 51 points scored vs. Iowa State last time out were the second-most of the season, with only a 50-point effort in a 23-point loss at home against Texas on Jan. 25 as a worse showing. The defense was solid against Iowa State, yielding 49.0 PPG in two games against the Cyclones. They're allowing 63.4 PPG overall, however, and allowed 76 in a 12-point loss to Baylor in Fort Worth on Jan. 8.

The Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in the past seven on the road, and 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 games overall. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five following a SU loss, and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five following a non-cover.

For totals, the OVER has hit in six of the past seven for TCU, while going 5-2-1 in the past eight against teams with a winning overall mark.

BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 21-5
  • ATS: 14-11-1
  • O/U: 14-11-1

Baylor hits the home hardwood looking for serious corrections after a 10-point loss at Texas Tech. This is a team which has lost three of the past six games overall, with all three setbacks by nine or more points. The Bears enter play just 2-4 ATS in the past six games overall, too.

The Bears are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at Ferrell Center, although they're 6-1 ATS in the past seven games at home against teams with a winning road mark.

On totals, the OVER is 19-8 in the past 27 games at home, while going 5-2-1 in the past eight against winning teams. The OVER is also 9-3 in the past 12 games following a straight-up loss.


The favorite has connected in 11 of the past 13 meetings overall. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - TCU HORNED FROGS

  • Record: 16-7
  • PS/G: 68.3 (256th)
  • PA/G: 63.4 (35th)
  • ORtg: 101.0 (210th)
  • DRtg: 93.8 (50th)

INSIDE THE STATS - BAYLOR BEARS

  • Record: 21-5
  • PS/G: 77.7 (38th)
  • PA/G: 63.0 (30th)
  • ORtg: 112.0 (25th)
  • DRtg: 90.9 (21st)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • TCU: Damion Baugh - G (10.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 4.0 APG, 1.2 SPG)
  • TCU: Mike Miles - G (14.8 PPG, 4.0 APG, 3.8 RPG, 1.2 SPG)
  • BAY: James Akinjo - G (13.3 PPG, 5.7 APG, 2.5 RPG, 2.1 SPG)
  • BAY: Adam Flagler - G (13.0 PPG, 3.2 APG, 2.3 RPG, 1.2 SPG)

TCU HORNED FROGS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING CONCLUSION

Baylor really missed L.J. Cryer (foot), who was sidelined from Jan. 25 to Feb. 16. He had six points in the Texas Tech game, playing 15 minutes with one assist and a pair of 3-pointers. He looked rusty, and appears to be on a pitch count, so it's still a slow go.

TCU has no such injury issues, but the offense has really been inconsistent lately. The Horned Frogs have dropped three of the past four, and facing a Bears team which is getting back to 100 percent and playing at home won't do them any favors. Look for Baylor to get well on its home ice.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING TRENDS

  • TCU is 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 games overall.
  • TCU is 6-1 ATS in the past seven road games.
  • Baylor is 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games.
  • Baylor is 6-1 ATS in the past seven home games vs. team with a winning road mark.
  • The OVER is 6-1 in TCU's past seven games overall.
  • The OVER is 5-2-1 in TCU's past eight vs. winning teams.
  • The OVER is 19-8 in Baylor's past 27 home games.
  • The OVER is 5-2-1 in Baylor's past eight vs. winning teams.
  • The favorite is 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings.
  • Baylor is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.
  • The OVER is 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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