Last Updated Feb 23, 2023, 12:19 PM
2023 NCAA Tournament Bracketology Predictions
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
The Big Dance isn’t all about the power conferences, as the low-majors take up considerable space at the edge of the field. Often, these loops go about their conference tourneys a bit before all of the big boys, and about this time each February we like to do a sneak preview of those early conference tourneys and for specifics of each event, along with last year’s postseason entrants and a look at the favored teams for this year, with clear favorites noted in CAPS.
Tourney begins March 5 at campus sites; higher seeds will host. Final March 11.
NCAA - Vermont
Tourney begins February 27 at campus sites; higher seeds will host. Final March 5.
NCAA - Jacksonville State
Basketball Classic - Florida Gulf Coast
- Kennesaw State
- Eastern Kentucky
Tourney begins March 4 at Idaho Central Arena, Boise, ID. Final March 8.
NCAA - Montana State
CBI - Northern Colorado
Basketball Classic - Southern Utah, Eastern Washington
- EASTERN WASHINGTON
- Montana State
- Weber State
Tourney begins March 1 at Bojangles Coliseum (formerly Charlotte Coliseum; onetime a part-time home of ABA Carolina Cougars), Charlotte, NC. Final March 5.
NCAA - Longwood
CBI - UNC-Asheville
Basketball Classic - USC Upstate
Tourney begins March 7 at Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ. Final March 11.
NCAA - St Peter’s
NIT - Iona
Tourney begins March 8 at The Scope, Norfolk, VA (once a part-time home of the ABA Virginia Squires). Final March 11.
NCAA - Norfolk State
Basketball Classic - Morgan State, UMES
- Norfolk State
Tourney begins March 1 at campus sites; higher seeds will host. Final March 7. Note Merrimack and Stonehill are still in transition phase to D-I and ineligible for Big Dance or NIT though Merrimack will be allowed to compete in NEC Tourney.
NCAA - Bryant
- Fairleigh Dickinson
- Sacred Heart
- St. Francis (NY)
Tourney begins February 28 at campus sites; higher seeds will host. Final March 8.
NCAA - Colgate
CBI - Boston University
Tourney begins March 5 at Legacy Center, Lake Charles, LA. Final March 8.
NCAA - Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
NIT - Nicholls
Basketball Classic - New Orleans, SE Louisiana
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
- Northwestern State
- SE Louisiana
Tourney begins March 8 at Gene Bartow Arena, Birmingham AL. Final March 11.
NCAA - Texas Southern
NIT - Alcorn State
- Alcorn State
- Jackson State
Tourney begins March 6 at Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV for first two rounds; final three rounds begin March 8 at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV. Final March 11. New Mexico State has suspended its season and will not compete.
NCAA - New Mexico State
CBI - Abilene Christian, Cal Baptist, Stephen F. Austin
- Utah Valley
- Southern Utah
- Sam Houston State
- Stephen F. Austin
2023 NCAA Tournament Futures Odds
Bracketology Seed Predictions
Projections as of February 16, 2023
1. Alabama, Purdue, Houston, UCLA
2. Arizona, Virginia, Kansas, Texas
3. Baylor, Kansas State, Tennessee, Marquette
4. Xavier, Miami-Fl, Gonzaga, Providence
5. Iowa State, Indiana, Saint Mary’s, Creighton
6. UConn, Pittsburgh, Illinois, San Diego State
7. Duke, Iowa, Michigan State, Northwestern
8. Florida Atlantic, Maryland, Texas A&M, Auburn
9. NC State, Rutgers, TCU, Arkansas
10. Nevada, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Clemson
11. Oral Roberts, Boise State, Memphis, Charleston
12. Drake, Southern Miss, West Virginia*, Mississippi State, USC*, Kentucky*
13. VCU, UC Santa Barbara, Utah Valley, Kent State
14. Colgate, Furman, Liberty, Eastern Washington
15. UNC-Asheville, Yale, Iona, Youngstown State
16. Morehead State, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Alcorn State*, Vermont*, Fairleigh Dickinson*, Howard*
* Play-in game participants at First Four in Dayton
Last Four In...
- Mississippi State
- West Virginia
First Four Out...
- North Carolina
- Seton Hall
Next Four Out...
- Wake Forest
- Utah State
- Penn State
Bracketology Conference Bid Predictions
- Big Ten: 9
- Big 12: 8
- SEC: 8
- ACC: 6
- Big East: 5
- Mountain West: 3
- Pac-12: 3
- American: 2
- West Coast: 2
In this week: Mississippi State, Southern Miss, Kent State, Yale, Howard
Out this week: North Carolina, UL-Lafayette, Toledo, Princeton, UMES
Biggest Movers Since Last Update:
February 10 - Bracketology Update
- North Carolina (10 to out)
- Northwestern (10 to 7)
- Arkansas (6 to 9)
- USC (9 to 12)
- Marquette (5 to 3)
- Michigan State (9 to 7)
- Texas A&M (10 to 8)
- Rutgers (7 to 9)
- TCU (7 to 9)
- Missouri (8 to 10)