Last Updated Nov 26, 2022, 11:42 PM
College Football Week 13 Opening Odds Report
US Sports Betting Industry Expert
College football Week 13 odds include a handful of games that will further paint the picture in the College Football Playoff odds market. And none more so than No. 3 Michigan at No. 2 Ohio State.
The winner goes onto the Big Ten championship game and stays on track as a CFP lock. The loser goes into the pile of one-loss teams hoping to backdoor their way into the four-team tournament.
Let's dive into Week 13 college football odds and action, with insights from multiple oddsmakers and sportsbooks. Check back regularly for updates.
Opening line: USC -6; Over/Under 63
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With kickoff about 90 minutes out, Southern Cal is laying 4.5 points in WynnBet's college football Week 13 odds market. On Sunday evening, the Trojans opened -6 and went to -5.5 within a few hours, then fell back to -5 by Monday night.
On Wednesday, USC returned to -5.5, followed by a Friday dip to -4.5, and the line hasn't moved since. Ticket count is almost 2/1 and money 4/1 on road underdog Notre Dame. On the moneyline, 70% of tickets are on USC (-205), but 56% of dollars are backing an outright upset by Notre Dame (+170).
WynnBet said it'll need the favored Trojans to win and cover.
The total opened at 62.5, peaked at 65 Tuesday morning, then spent much of the week at 64.5. Friday afternoon saw a move down to 63.5 and 63, but the total is now at 64 (Under -115). The Over is seeing 54% of tickets/74% of money.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: USC is down to -4.5 at BetMGM, after opening -6.5 and spending most of the week at -5.5. Underdog Notre Dame is landing 67% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money.
The total shot from 62.5 to 65.5 by Tuesday morning. But just minutes after reaching that high point, the number moved to 64.5, and today, it dipped to 63.5. Tickets and money are almost dead even on the Over/Under.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Southern Cal opened -5.5 Sunday afternoon on Caesars' college football Week 13 odds board. Shortly thereafter, the Trojans inched up to -6, but by late Sunday night were down to -5.
That was followed by some back-and-forth between USC -5/-5.5, and it's been stable at -5.5 since Tuesday morning. Early spread ticket count is almost dead even, but early spread money is running 3/1 on Notre Dame.
“Notre Dame has been rolling. They've won their last five,” Caesars Sports lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “I’m not surprised to see the action on the Notre Dame side. They definitely have a chance to play spoiler against USC. In these bigger games, the sharps haven’t been a big believer in this USC team, and that’s the case here too. USC has been in a lot of close scenarios, they just beat UCLA by 3 and lost to Utah by 1. So I can see why getting over a field goal can be tempting for Notre Dame bettors.”
The total opened at 62.5, peaked at 65 Tuesday morning and is now at 64.5. Betting splits aren't available tonight.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: Among those on the outside looking in for the CFP, Southern Cal is arguably the biggest beneficiary of Tennessee's stunning blowout loss to South Carolina. The Trojans (11-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) found themselves in a Week 13 shootout with crosstown rival UCLA, but prevailed 48-45 laying 2.5 points.
Notre Dame (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS), long since out of the CFP picture, would love nothing more than to soil rival USC's season. In Week 12, the Fighting Irish boatraced Boston College 44-0 giving 20.5 points at home.
TwinSpires nudged USC from -6 to -5.5, with the Trojans seeing 64% of early spread tickets/53% of early spread dollars.
"Sharp play on Notre Dame +6," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total is also down a half-point, to 62.5, with 58% of tickets/55% of money on the Over.
Opening line: LSU -9.5; Over/Under 46
Time: 7 p.m. ET Saturday (ESPN)
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: An hour before kickoff, LSU is a 10-point chalk at WynnBet. After opening -8.5 Sunday night, the Tigers rose to -9.5 Monday and -10 Wednesday, and the number has since been stable.
LSU is netting 61% of spread tickets and 78% of spread dollars.
The total climbed from 46.5 to 47.5 Tuesday, and it hasn't moved since, although ticket count is almost 4/1 and money 9/1 on the Over.
WynnBet said it needs A&M to cover and the Under, and an Aggies outright upset would be even more welcome.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM pegged LSU an 8.5-point chalk at Sunday night's outset, and by Wednesday afternoon, the Tigers were up to -10 in the college football Week 13 odds market. The line hasn't moved since then, but it's all LSU. Ticket count is almost 5/1 and money 6/1 on the Bayou Bengals.
The total climbed from 46.5 to 47.5 Tuesday, and it's still 47.5 tonight. The Over is seeing 67% of tickets/58% of money.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Caesars Sports opened the Tigers -10 Sunday afternoon and backed up to -9 within a couple of hours. But the number quickly rebounded to -9.5, then returned to -10 Monday afternoon, and it hasn't moved since.
It's all LSU early on the point spread, with ticket count and money in the 5/1 range on the Tigers.
The total went from 46 to 46.5 Monday morning, then rose to 47.5 Tuesday morning. Betting splits aren't available tonight.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: LSU is already assured of a slot in the SEC championship game. But with two losses on its resume, LSU absolutely has to win Saturday to stay in CFP contention.
In Week 12, the Tigers (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) had the equivalent of a bye against Alabama-Birmingham. LSU rolled 41-10 as a 14.5-point home chalk.
Texas A&M (4-7 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) looked quite bad against Massachusetts, leading just 10-3 at halftime as a massive 33.5-point home favorite. The Aggies ultimately got an uninspired 20-3 victory, ending a six-game SU slide. But A&M is still 1-5-1 ATS in its last six games.
This afternoon, LSU inched to -10 on TwinSpires' college football Week 13 odds board. The Tigers are netting 60% of spread tickets/57% of spread money, but Zachary Lucas noted minimal handle on this game so far.
The total is up to 46.5, with 54% of tickets/62% of money on the Over.
Opening line: TCU -10; Over/Under 47.5
Time: 4 p.m. ET Saturday (FOX)
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Horned Frogs at -10 (-115) Sunday evening and shortly thereafter advanced to -10.5. By Monday morning, the line backed up to TCU -10 flat and didn't budge until a modest move to -10 (-115) Friday morning.
However, as kickoff approaches, the Horned Frogs are now -9.5.
"Decent action on the 'dog here," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said, noting 54% of spread tickets/71% of spread money on the Cyclones. "There's also great two-way action on the total in this game."
Ticket count is almost 2/1 on the Over, but money is 2/1 on the Under. PointsBet opened at 47.5, moved to 47 briefly Wednesday, then returned to 47.5. On Friday, the total fell to 46, then rebounded to 46.5. As kickoff approaches, though, the number is down to 45.5.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Less than 24 hours before kickoff, the Horned Frogs are laying 10 points on BetMGM's Week 13 college football odds board. TCU opened -10.5 Sunday night, went to -10 Tuesday and has been stable since then.
Interestingly, double-digit 'dog Iowa State is getting the bulk of interest, with spread tickets 2/1 and spread money 3/1 on the Cyclones.
The total stuck at 47.5 all week before falling to 46.5 today at BetMGM, where 58% of tickets/54% of dollars are on the Under.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Caesars pegged TCU a 10-point home favorite at Sunday afternoon's outset and quickly moved to -10.5. The line then toggled a couple times between -10.5 and -10, then went to Horned Frogs -9.5 Monday evening.
On Tuesday morning, the number rebounded to TCU -10, and that's where it stands tonight. The Horned Frogs are getting 56% of early spread tickets, but 74% of early spread money is on the Cyclones.
The total opened at 47.5, went to 48 Sunday, then returned to 47.5 Monday morning. Betting splits aren't available tonight.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: People keep expecting Texas Christian to lose and take itself out of the CFP conversation, and TCU just keeps winning. In Week 12, the Horned Frogs did so in exhilarating fashion.
Trailing 28-20, TCU got a touchdown with 2:07 remaining, but missed the 2-point conversion and still trailed 28-26. Then the Horned Frogs stuffed Iowa State to force a punt and get one more shot. TCU drove to the 23-yard line and, with no timeouts remaining, had its field-goal unit race onto the field. Then Griffin Kell drilled a 40-yarder as time expired, giving the Frogs a 29-28 victory.
The only downside was for bettors, as TCU (11-0 SU, 8-2-1 ATS) closed a 1.5-point chalk and failed to cover.
Now, Iowa State gets the chance to play massive spoiler – although Big 12 corporate offices don't want that, hoping for a share of that sweet, sweet CFP paycheck. The Cyclones (4-7 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) won its first three games, but has just one victory since.
In Week 12, the Cyclones fell to Texas Tech 14-10 as 3.5-point home favorites.
TCU opened as a double-digit favorite in TwinSpires' college football Week 13 odds market, laying 10 points. The initial move was down to -9.5, but the Frogs then went through -10 to -10.5 this afternoon. TCU is nabbing 63% of early tickets/52% of early money on the Horned Frogs.
"Sharp money on Iowa State +10," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said.
The total hasn't moved, with 65% of tickets/61% of cash on the Over.
Opening line: Alabama -21.5; Over/Under 49.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday (CBS)
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Iron Bowl isn't nearly as huge as normal today, but it's still a noteworthy matchup. PointsBet USA has Alabama laying 22 points as kickoff nears, sticking at that number since Thursday evening, after opening -21.5.
"Sixty-five percent of spread bet count and 84% of spread handle is on Auburn with the points," PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn said.
The total opened at 49.5, receded to 48.5 Monday, then slowly climbed to 51 by Friday. Late Friday afternoon, the total backed up to 50.5, and it's down to 50 today.
"Lopsided action on the total, with 88% of bet count and 81% of handle on the Over. The book will be rooting for 'Bama to cover and the Under," Korn said.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Crimson Tide hit BetMGM's college football Week 11 odds board as a 21.5-point favorite Sunday night. On Thursday, 'Bama moved to -22, and that's where the line sits tonight for the Iron Bowl.
Massive underdog Auburn is netting 70% of spread tickets and 57% of spread cash at BetMGM.
The total opened at 49.5, fell to 48.5 Monday morning, went to 49 Monday afternoon, then returned to 49.5 Thursday evening. Today, it jumped a point to 50.5, with ticket count 5/1 and money nearly 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Alabama opened -21.5 at Caesars Sports and has been stable at -22 since late Monday night. Point-spread betting splits are interesting, with 61% of tickets on huge underdog Auburn and 81% of money on hefty fave Alabama.
The total moved from 49.5 to 48.5 by late Sunday night, then inched up to 49 by Monday afternoon and 49.5 earlier today. Betting splits aren't available tonight.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: Like the knight in Monty Python's Holy Grail, Alabama is not quite dead yet in the CFP odds chase. But the Crimson Tide still need a lot of help.
For starters, 'Bama (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) has to win the Iron Bowl against its archrival. The Tide got an easy tuneup, shutting out FCS foe Austin Peay 34-0 but falling short as hefty 41.5-point home favorites.
Auburn (5-6 SU and ATS) needs a win just to be bowl eligible this season. In Week 12, the Tigers breezed by Western Kentucky 41-17 giving 4.5 points at home.
Alabama is up a tick to -22 in TwinSpires' college football Week 13 odds market. However, Auburn is getting 60% of early tickets/58% of early cash.
"The public is siding with the 'dog so far," Lucas said.
Opening line: Ohio State -8; Over/Under 57.5
Time: Noon ET Saturday (FOX)
UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: An hour before kickoff, this line is on the rise at WynnBet and elsewhere. Ohio State is up to -9, climbing a full point just this morning.
The Buckeyes opened -8 (-115) Sunday evening and quickly advanced to -8.5, but by late Sunday night receded to -7.5. On Monday morning, the line moved to -8 (-105) Monday morning, then returned to -7.5 (-115) late Monday night. Ohio State spent then spent most of the week at either -7.5 flat or -7.5 (-115), before going to -8 Friday afternoon.
In the past hour, the Buckeyes rose to -8.5, then to -9. Ticket count is almost dead even on the spread, but Ohio State is taking 82% of spread money. That money count is up 9% in just the past two hours.
Further, on Friday, WynnBet took a monster wager of $753,535 on Buckeyes moneyline -315, which would net $239,214 if Ohio State wins. So WynnBet said it will need Michigan outright today.
The total opened at 57.5, fell to 57 Monday and 56 Tuesday. On Friday, the number dipped another notch to 55.5, then rebounded to 56 late Friday night. It's still 56. Contrary to the move, 68% of tickets/72% of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Buckeyes opened -8.5 at Caesars Sports and spent most of the week at -7.5, save for about an hour at -8 late Monday night. However, Ohio State nudged up to -8 today.
That said, Michigan is attracting 78% of spread tickets and 59% of spread dollars at Caesars.
"The action so far has been pretty back-and-forth,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. "The line has made very slight movement toward the Ohio State side, but should remain in that 7.5-to-8.5 range, unless we hear of some major injury news. I expect by kickoff that Michigan will take the slight majority of betting action.”
On the injury front, Michigan running back Blake Corum (knee) was hurt last week against Illinois. His availability for Saturday's showdown remains uncertain.
The total opened at 58, made multiple stops along the way to 56 by Tuesday night, then today fell to 55.5. The Under is landing 59% of bets and a hefty 85% of money.
However, across all markets, this game isn't getting the attention it normally would, thanks to a crowded holiday sports weekend.
"“The action for Michigan-Ohio State has not been as large as initially expected, but there is certainly plenty of time to go,” Feazel said. “Thanksgiving weekend is always a great betting weekend, with great college basketball tournaments, the final Saturday of the college football regular season and, of course, the NFL. What makes this year even more special is a fall World Cup. So with all of that competition, it has certainly made an impact on this game.”
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Ohio State landed on Caesars Sports' college football Week 13 odds board as an 8.5-point chalk Sunday night. Within a few hours, that number was down to Buckeyes -7.5. The number briefly rose to -8 late Sunday night, but it's been -7.5 ever since.
Michigan is taking 55% of early spread bets and 62% of early spread dollars.
“It’s interesting that bettors are leaning Michigan,” Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. “I understand that they’re getting over a touchdown, but there are still questions around [running back] Blake Corum. We saw last week when he went down how much of an impact he has on that Michigan team. If it’s announced that he’s out, I’d expect this line to go up about a point to 8.5. I expect this to be our top handle game of the weekend. It's just such a massive matchup.”
Corum injured his knee against Ilinois, and the Wolverines narrowly escaped with a 19-17 home victory.
Caesars opened the total at 58 and by Tuesday night dipped to 56, where it sits this evening. The Under is nabbing 59% of bets and a hefty 91% of cash early on.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: In Week 12, both these teams seemed to get caught looking ahead, having a much more difficult time than anticipated.
In particular, Michigan (11-0 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) nearly set its season on fire in a home game against Illinois. The Wolverines, laying 17.5 points, trailed 17-10 entering the fourth quarter and won by getting three field goals in the final frame. The last kick came with nine seconds left, giving Michigan the 19-17 victory.
Ohio State (11-0 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) got all it could handle from Maryland. The Buckeyes closed as hefty 26.5-point favorites but actually trailed 13-10 at halftime. Five minutes into the fourth quarter, Ohio State led by just a 33-30 margin, having squandered a 27-13 lead.
But the Buckeyes got a field goal in the last minute, then recovered a fumble for a TD to win 43-30, in a game much closer than the score indicated.
Ohio State is down a tick at TwinSpires Sportsbook, falling from -8 to -7.5. Michigan is taking 57% of early spread tickets/72% of early spread money.
"It's a mix of sharp and public play on Michigan early in the week," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.
The total is down a notch, as well, to 57, with 59% of tickets on the Over/53% of money on the Under.
Opening line: Clemson -14; Over/Under 50.5
Time: Noon ET Saturday (ABC)
UPDATE 11:15 A.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet's college football Week 13 odds market opened Clemson at -14.5 (-105), briefly fell back to -14, then got out to -15 (-105) early Sunday evening. The Tigers then spent pretty much all week at -14.5, before moving to -14 (-115) late Friday night.
This morning, Clemson is at -14 flat, while South Carolina is taking 67% of spread bets/57% of spread money.
The total opened at 50.5 (Under -115), jumped to 51.5 (Under -120) within literally a minute Sunday afternoon, quickly fell back to 51, then settled at 50.5 flat. On Tuesday, WynnBet returned to 51.5, then went to 52, and on Friday, the number climbed to 52.5 and 53.
The total remains 53 this morning, with tickets and money running 3/1 on the Over. WynnBet said it needs Clemson to cover and the Under.
UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Tigers have been nailed to -14.5 all week at BetMGM, but all those points have Gamecocks bettors' attention. South Carolina, coming off a huge home upset win over Tennessee, is drawing 74% of spread bets/67% of spread dollars.
The total opened at 49.5 and has steadily climbed throughout the week, reaching 53 today. Ticket count is 4/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Clemson is up to a 14.5-point favorite in Caesars Sports' college football Week 13 odds market. The Tigers opened -14 Sunday afternoon and initially receded to -13.5. But by Sunday evening, the number climbed to Clemson -14.5, and it's been painted there since.
Coming off its massive upset of Tennessee, South Carolina is taking 79% of early spread bets. However, 53% of spread cash is on Clemson.
The total fell from 51 to 50 Sunday evening, but bounced up to 52 by Tuesday morning. Betting splits aren't available tonight.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: South Carolina pulled a major shocker in Week 12, and in doing so boosted Clemson's hopes of reaching the CFP. The Gamecocks (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) closed as 22.5-point home underdogs against Tennessee and blasted the Vols 63-38.
Clemson (10-1 SU, 6-5 ATS) bounced back from its loss at Notre Dame with a pair of wins and covers. In Week 12 against Miami, the Tigers rolled to a 40-10 victory laying 19 points at home.
Clemson is already up to -15, even though South Carolina is seeing 65% of early bets/62% of early cash.
"The public is grabbing the two touchdowns. Sharp play on Clemson -14," TwinSpires' Zachary Lucas said. "It's shaping up to be Pros vs. Joes game."
The total remains 50.5, with the Over taking 59% of tickets/58% of money early on.