Last Updated Jul 19, 2022, 8:37 PM
2022 TCU Horned Frogs Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions
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2022 TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING ODDS, PREDICTIONS, PREVIEW
Long-time head coach Gary Patterson and TCU agreed to mutually part ways last Halloween, bringing an end to one of the longest head coaching tenures in college football. Patterson became head coach at the start of the 2001 season and piloted the Horned Frogs through Conference USA, the Mountain West Conference, and the Big 12. He will always be beloved for what he did during his time in Fort Worth, but it was clear that he was extremely frustrated with how business was done in the NIL era.
TCU made a rather curious hire with Sonny Dykes. Dykes was the head coach of Metroplex rival SMU for the last four seasons, and he has a completely different mentality than Patterson. While Patterson was a tough, defensive-minded head coach, Dykes prioritizes a wide-open offensive scheme.
We likely won’t know who the starting quarterback for TCU will be until August. Max Duggan is the experienced option with 29 starts under his belt over the last three seasons. Duggan played with a broken bone in his foot through the second half of last year, yet he was able to take part in spring practice and get needed reps in the new offense.
Most observers seem to favor Chandler Morris for the starting job though. Morris committed to Oklahoma out of high school, but he transferred to TCU after one season in Norman. He flashed in limited action over four games, completing 65.8% of his passes for 9.1 YPA with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Morris led the Horned Frogs to an upset of Baylor, and he has more eligibility left than Duggan. However, he is only 5’11 and 175 pounds, so durability is a concern.
The Horned Frogs have a nice amount of experience at the skill positions as five of their top six rushers from last year return as well as their four leading receivers from last season. Sophomore Kendre Miller is expected to be the starting running back, and Taye Barber has started 27 games at wide receiver over the last four years. Quentin Johnston is the receiver to watch, as he averaged 19.2 YPR in 2021 and was named All-Big 12 First Team.
Joe Gillespie is TCU’s new defensive coordinator. Gillespie was the defensive coordinator at Tulsa from 2019 to 2021, and he will bring over the 3-3-5 to his new team. TCU needs to do SOMETHING considering how anemic this defense was in 2021, ranking 109th in Defensive SP+ after surrendering 37.8 PPG and 491.5 YPG.
Seven starters return on defense including First Team All-Big 12 cornerback Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson. Hodges-Tomlinson is 5’9, but he has excellent coverage and ball skills, and he can lock down opposing receivers. Mark Perry will provide a spark to the secondary after coming in from Colorado too.
However, there are a lot of concerns along the defensive line and at linebacker. Dylan Horton is a solid starter, and Dee Winters was the leading tackler last year. There might be a lot of change up front though, and there isn’t a lot of size. We have seen the 3-3-5 scheme go very poorly in the Power Five, as opposing offenses have an easier job winning at the line of scrimmage.
Dykes went 5-7 in his first full season at Louisiana Tech, 1-11 and then 5-7 in his first two seasons at California, and 5-7 in his first full season at SMU. TCU hosts an FCS team but goes on the road to face Colorado and SMU in its non-conference schedule, so it’s hard to see why the early action is on the ‘Over’ considering Dykes’ track record and what we saw from the Horned Frogs last year. The ‘Under’ is great value at this price.
Best Bet: Under 6.5 Wins (+130)
2022 TCU HORNED FROGS SCHEDULE
- Fri., Sept. 2 - at Colorado
- Sat., Sept. 10 - vs. Tarleton
- Sat., Sept. 24 - at SMU
- Sat., Oct. 1 - vs. Oklahoma
- Sat., Oct. 8 - at Kansas
- Sat., Oct. 15 - vs. Oklahoma State
- Sat., Oct. 22 - vs. Kansas State
- Sat., Oct. 29 - at West Virginia
- Sat. Nov. 5 - vs. Texas Tech
- Sat., Nov. 12 - at Texas
- Sat., Nov. 19 - at Baylor
- Sat., Nov. 26 - vs. Iowa State
WIN TOTAL ODDS
- Over 6.5 (-160)
- Under 6.5 (+130)
TCU HORNED FROGS ODDS TO WIN BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP
This might be the worst bet on the board when it comes to odds to win the Big 12. TCU has very little chance of winning the conference, as we have seen that it takes a year for Dykes to install this offense. The defense isn’t expected to be very good either, so the Horned Frogs are not a legitimate Big 12 title contender.
TCU HORNED FROGS ODDS TO WIN NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
Patterson nearly led the Horned Frogs to the first College Football Playoff in 2014. TCU was ranked No. 3 heading into Championship Weekend, but the Horned Frogs ended up falling to No. 6 as there was no Big 12 Championship Game. The conference has since corrected that mistake, but the Horned Frogs are not going to be in contention for at least one more season.
TCU HORNED FROGS 2022 HEISMAN CONTENDERS & ODDS
The TCU Horned Frogs do not have any Heisman contenders to begin the 2022 season.
2021 TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING RESULTS
- SU: 5-7
- ATS: 2-9-1
- O/U: 7-5
- ATS-Home: 1-5-1
- ATS-Road: 1-4
- ATS-Favorite: 1-4-1
- ATS-Underdog: 1-5