Pac-12 Report – Week 4

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Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
California 3-0 0-0 1-1-1 1-2
Oregon 3-0 0-0 0-3 1-2
Oregon State 1-2 0-0 2-1 3-0
Stanford 3-0 1-0 2-1 0-3
Washington 2-1 1-0 1-2 0-3
Washington State 3-0 0-0 3-0 2-1
Arizona 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-2
Arizona State 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1
Colorado 3-0 0-0 2-1 1-2
Southern California 1-2 0-1 0-3 2-1
UCLA 0-3 0-0 1-2 2-1
Utah 2-1 0-1 1-2 2-1

Washington State at Southern California (Fri. - ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
It's Friday night in the Coliseum, and the USC Trojans limp in with two losses before the end of September. They're favored, which looks too good to be true. Is it a trap game? We'll see. The Cougs enter the night 5-0 ATS in their past five againts teams with a losing record, 10-4 ATS in their past 14 games dating back to last season and 7-3 ATS on the backs of a straight-up win the previous week. However, they're also 3-7 ATS in their past 10 on the road, and 1-5 ATS in their past six appearances on Fridaywhile going 0-5 ATS in their past five contests played on a natural grass surface.

USC has been a train wreck on offense, however, and they have been terrible against the number over the past two seasons, even with Sam Darnold under center last season. USC is 3-14-1 ATS over the past 18 games, while going 1-6 ATS in their past seven outings at home. They have a dismal 0-3-1 ATS mark over the past four, including their road loss at Stanford earlier in the schedule. They're also 0-6 ATS in their past six contests played in the month of September. Toss in the fact that the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, and USC doesn't look terribly attractive laying the points. The 'under' is also 4-0 in the past four meetings in SoCal, while going 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.

Arizona at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m.)
The Wildcats got on track with a home win over Southern Utah, although they were even sluggish in the first half of that game. Perhaps the second half, albeit against an FCS opponent, will give them renewed confidence heading into the conference schedule. SUU is a common opponent for these teams, as the Beavers also got well at the expense of the Thunderbirds on Sept. 8, winning 48-25 in Corvallis to cover a 13 1/2-point number. The Beavers have scored at least 31 points in each of their three games, including 31 in the opening game loss at Ohio State. The 'over' has cashed in three in a row, as they have allowed an average of 46.3 points per game (PPG), too. Last week they came up short in Reno, losing 37-35 at Nevada, but they did cover a four-point number to move to 2-1 ATS. 

Arizona enters 5-16 ATS over their past 21 games on the road, and 5-12 ATS in the past 17 inside the conference. They're favored by six points in this one, as of Thursday morning, even though they're also 0-6 ATS in their past six on a field turf surface. It might be because they're 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a losing record. While the Beavs are also 0-4 ATS in the past four conference tilts, they are a respectable 9-4 ATS in the past 13 games at Reser Stadium and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 following a straight-up win. The Wildcats are 4-13 ATS in their past 17 tries against the Beavers, including 2-7 ATS in their past nine trips to Corvallis. The 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven in this series, too. In addition, the over is 6-2 in Arizona's past eight inside the conference, and a perfect 7-0 in Oregon State's past seven dating back to last season, while going 5-2 in their past seven at home.

Stanford at Oregon (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
It's a Top 20 battle when the Cardinal and Ducks square off at Autzen Stadium, just the way it should be. Stanford is holding steady as slight favorites heading in. That's likely because David Shaw's bunch have posted a 5-1 ATS mark in their past six against winning teams while going 21-8-1 ATS in the past 30 following a non-cover in their previous game. In addition, the Ducks are just 6-13 ATS in their past 19 conference battles, while going 8-21-1 ATS in the past 30 overall. They have a ways to go to prove they're all the way back. In addition, they're 3-12-1 ATS in their past 16 following a straight-up win in the previous week, while failing to cover four in a row in Eugene.

Total bettors might be tempted by the 'under', which is 7-2 in Stanford's past nine conference battles and 10-3 in the past 13 overall. The under is also 8-3 in Oregon's past 11 inside the Pac-12. However, the over is 8-1 in Oregon's past nine at home against a team with a winning road mark, while going 10-3 in the past 13 meetings with Stanford, including 5-1 in the past six meetings in Oregon.

Arizona State at Washington (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
The Sun Devils head to Seattle for #Pac12Afterdark, and this one has the potential to be a good one. Or does it? Vegas has the Huskies installed as a 17-point favorite as of Thursday morning. The Sun Devils offense listed a little listless last week in a road loss against San Diego State, not nearly as impressive in their first two games at home under head coach Herm Edwards. The Sun Devils have posted a 7-2 ATS mark over their past nine conference games, while going 6-2 ATS in their past eight against teams with a winning overall record. However, they're just 6-14 ATS in the past 20 on the road, and 18-40-2 ATS in the past 60 away from home against teams with a winning overall mark.

For Washington, they're 9-3 ATS in their past 12 conference battles, while going 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall mark. However, the Huskies are 0-8 ATS in their past eight home outings against the Sun Devils, while going 2-15-2 ATS in the past 19 meetings overall with Arizona State. The 'under' is also 4-0 in the past four meetings in this series, while going 5-1-1 in the past seven battles in Seattle.

Bye Weeks
California, Colorado, UCLA, Utah