Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Predictions, Odds, Picks

Sept. 22, 2021
Eytan Shander
VI College Football Betting Expert

After rolling through Texas and the Longhorns defense, the Razorbacks are on a mission to tear through the Aggies. Don’t let A&M fool you, they too bring an undefeated record into this game, handling their opponents despite some more noticeable issues. The Aggies should have their hands full trying to slow down Arkansas’ rushing attack, but the Razorbacks are in for a defensive struggle of their own.

Score Prediction: Texas A&M 23, Arkansas 20

Best Bet: Under 47

Best Bet: Under 23.5 1H

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Predictions

This game should carry all the hype and electricity built up ahead of time, with one change from the norm. The two teams have usually combined for shootouts – with a heavy emphasis on the passing games – but Saturday in Arlington should provide a lower scoring test of defense. Arkansas is playing crisp football on both sides – not needing to rely on the passing game, while the Aggies have struggled to convert drives into points but hasn’t seen that matter in the win column. A&M is the better team but not by 5.5 points.

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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Odds

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Both teams enter the contest at 3-0 with the Aggies gaining a significant advantage on the line laying -5.5 points.

The total is 47.5 for this game being played in Arlington Stadium. The under hit in all three games for A&M this season, conversely the over is 3-0 for the Razorbacks.

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Resources

  • Matchup: SEC
  • Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • TV-Time: CBS - 3:30 p.m. ET

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Texas A&M Aggies Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-0
  • ATS: 2-1
  • O/U: 0-3
  • ATS - Home: 2-0
  • ATS - Away: 0-1

Just being the better team on paper is never a lock in anything, especially when we put money behind them. In this case there’s one major concern with the Aggies that hasn’t hurt them so far, turnovers. If the Razorbacks can force 2+ turnovers, it could be enough to turn tides and win the game outright. Both teams will keep the ball on the ground before throwing, A&M has the slight edge stopping the run and gets the win, but not the cover.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-0
  • ATS: 3-0
  • O/U: 3-0
  • ATS - Home: 3-0
  • ATS - Away: 0-0

It’s a shame one of these teams must lose on Saturday and that team will be Arkansas, mainly because of the special turnaround this program is undergoing. They have a balanced offense that leans to the run, they are strong up front on defense, and tackle well in their secondary. Their rushing attack made headlines gashing the Longhorns, but the Aggies defense is playing on a higher level.

The Arkansas Razorbacks have lost five straight games when facing the Texas A&M Aggies. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Texas A&M Aggies

  • Record: 3-0
  • VI Ranking: 3
  • Points Scored: 85
  • Points Allowed: 17
  • PS/G: 28.3 (77th)
  • PA/G: 5.7 (1st)

Inside the Stats - Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Record: 3-0
  • VI Ranking: 21
  • Points Scored: 123
  • Points Allowed: 48
  • PS/G: 41 (24th)
  • PA/G: 16 (28th)

Key Players to Watch

  • TXAM: Ainias Smith - WR (13 catches, 135 yards, 2 TD)
  • TXAM: Isaiah Spiller - RB (40 carries, 250 yards, TD)
  • ARK: K.J. Jefferson - QB (39/63, 632 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT)
  • ARK: Treylon Burks - WR (13 catches, 206 yards, TD)


  • ARK: Dorian Gerald - DL (Leg-Out)
  • TXAM: Keldrick Carper - DB (Undisclosed-Questionable)
  • TXAM: Haynes King - QB (Tibia-Out)
  • TXAM: Layden Robinson - OL (Undisclosed-Questionable)
  • TXAM: Hezekiah Jones - WR (Shoulder-Out)
  • TXAM: Luke Matthews - OL (Undisclosed-Questionable)
  • TXAM: Ainias Smith - WR (Concussion-Questionable)

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Conclusion

All three games for A&M have gone under and this 47.5 total isn’t outlandish by any means. The play here is to get ahead of which team sets tempo, or at the very least initiates the tempo. While Arkansas has some playmakers on the outside, they are much more comfortable – like the Aggies – running. Both defenses are playing exceptionally well, and the clock will keep on moving, both great combinations for an under play.

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends

  • Arkansas has lost five straight games when facing Texas A&M.
  • Arkansas has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games.
  • Arkansas has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
  • Texas A&M has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 12 games when facing Arkansas.