Last Updated Sep 24, 2022, 7:15 PM
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
Jerry World will host the SEC West clash between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Texas A&M Aggies once again this year. These rivals will play on Saturday, September 24, 2022, at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS vs. TEXAS A&M AGGIES BETTING PREDICTION
The Arkansas Razorbacks survived a scare last week from Bobby Petrino and the Missouri State Bears. Arkansas was trailing its former coach entering the fourth quarter, but the Razorbacks were finally able to pull away with 11 minutes left to stay unbeaten. Now, the Razorbacks are entering the brutal part of their schedule as they must take on the Texas A&M Aggies this week before facing No. 2 Alabama next Saturday.
Score Prediction: Arkansas 20, Texas A&M 17
Best Bet: Under 49.5 (-110)
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS vs. TEXAS A&M AGGIES BETTING ODDS
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS vs. TEXAS A&M AGGIES BETTING RESOURCES
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING ANALYSIS
K.J. Jefferson is Arkansas’ do-it-all quarterback. Jefferson should be an All-SEC selection this year, as he has led the Razorbacks into the top ten of the AP Poll. He is completing 70.5% of his passes for 770 yards (9.9 YPA) with six touchdowns and an interception, and he is a great runner. Jefferson has already run the ball 42 times for 200 yards and three scores this season if you exclude sack yardage.
This offense doesn’t have a game-changing receiver like it did last year with Treylon Burks, so Jefferson has targeted a few different players in the passing game. Matt Landers is the leading receiver with 14 receptions for 211 yards, and Jadon Haselwood has 13 catches for 158 yards and two touchdowns. Tight end Trey Knox has been a red zone threat too with 10 receptions for 110 yards and two TDs.
Raheim Sanders is currently one of the top running backs in the country. Sanders ranks fourth nationally with 440 rushing yards, and he is averaging 6.7 YPC behind this hard-nosed offensive line. Arkansas has been able to move the ball effectively on the ground in its first three games, but Texas A&M has a ton of talent in the front seven.
The Razorbacks rank 36th in Defensive SP+, and they have one of the most fearsome pass rushes in the country. Linebacker Drew Sanders already has 5.5 sacks, and Jordan Domineck has four sacks for Arkansas. The Hogs have 17 sacks as a team and are allowing 2.6 YPC, but the secondary has been a big problem. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 8.5 YPA against the Razorbacks, and Arkansas is allowing a whopping 350.5 YPG through the air. Fortunately, Max Johnson is unlikely to take advantage of that.
TEXAS A&M AGGIES BETTING ANALYSIS
Jimbo Fisher decided to make a change under center prior to last week’s showdown with Miami. Texas A&M went with Haynes King at quarterback for its first two games, but King was not sharp in the Aggies’ loss to Appalachian State, throwing for less than 100 yards. That led to Fisher tabbing LSU transfer Max Johnson to start against Miami, yet he wasn’t a major improvement. Johnson completed 13 of 24 passes for 163 yards and a touchdown in the 17-9 win.
That has led to frustration in College Station as Fisher was lured away from Tallahassee due to his reputation as a quarterback guru. This is the second straight year that the passing game has struggled, and Fisher’s best quarterback during his time with the Aggies (Kellen Mond) didn’t exactly light the world on fire.
The Aggies have two playmakers they rely on in this offense. Devon Achane is the primary running back, and he has 52 touches for 252 yards with three touchdowns so far this season. The real player to watch though is the speedy Ainias Smith. Smith has true game breaking ability whenever he has the ball in his hands, and he is averaging 18.5 YPR as the Aggies’ top receiver by a mile.
Although Mike Elko left to become the head coach at Duke, Texas A&M’s defense is still in good shape. The Aggies rank 3rd in Defensive SP+, and safety Antonio Johnson has had a nose for the ball. This secondary is one of the best in the nation, and the Aggies are allowing a scant 4.9 yards per pass. The only real problem is that the pass rush has been lacking with Texas A&M registering just four sacks on the season to this point.
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS vs. TEXAS A&M AGGIES BETTING TRENDS
- Arkansas is 1-9 SU last 10 vs. Texas A&M
- Arkansas is 4-1 ATS last five vs. Texas A&M
- Arkansas is 5-1 ATS last six games.
- Arkansas OVER in four of six games.
- Texas A&M UNDER in five of seven games.
- Texas A&M is 2-4 ATS last six games.
- Texas A&M is 18-5 SU last 23 games.