Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies Predictions, Picks, Odds

The 6-2 Washington Huskies will host the 6-2 Oregon State Beavers in a Pac 12 Championship Game eliminator on Friday night. The winner of this game still has a chance to play in the conference championship game, while the loser is essentially eliminated from contention. These teams will meet at Husky Stadium in Seattle, Washington on Friday, November 4, 2022, at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Updated on 05/28/2024
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Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies Betting Prediction

It didn't take long for Kalen DeBoer to turn around the Washington Huskies. Indiana transfer quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has thrived in DeBoer's offense, and that has the Huskies set to make a bowl game for the first time in three years. Penix will take on one of the toughest defenses in the Pac 12 when the Oregon State Beavers come to town this Friday, but the Huskies should be able to keep their unblemished home record intact.

Score Prediction: Washington 34, Oregon State 24
Best Bet: Washington -3.5

Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies Betting Odds

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Oregon State Beavers Betting Analysis

The Beavers have won three straight games after opening conference play with consecutive losses to USC and Utah. They are now bowl eligible for just the second time since 2013 as Jonathan Smith has the program on the right track.

Ben Gulbranson will be the starting quarterback for Oregon State on Friday night. Gulbranson has played well in place of the injured Chance Nolan, completing 61% of his passes for 818 yards (8.2 YPA) with five touchdowns and three interceptions. He has been more careful with the ball than Nolan (who threw no TDs and six interceptions in the losses to USC and UCLA), but he is not a mobile threat.

Freshman running back Damien Martinez has proven to be more explosive than Deshaun Fenwick or Jam Griffin in recent weeks. Martinez is now the Beavers' leading rusher after carrying the ball 38 times for 289 yards and three touchdowns in wins over Washington State and Colorado in Oregon State's last two games. There will be a new left guard though as Marco Brewer suffered a season-ending injury in the win over Colorado.

Oregon State is ranked 38th in Defensive SP+. They rank first nationally in red zone defense, as they have buckled down with their backs to the goal line. The Beavers don't get to the quarterback very often, but they do have 10 interceptions. They could add more to that total on Friday night given the expected weather conditions.

Washington Huskies Betting Analysis

After an injury-plagued four years with the Indiana Hoosiers, Michael Penix Jr. came to Washington to rewrite his legacy under Kalen DeBoer. Penix Jr. has thrived in this offense so far this season, completing 67.8% of his passes for 2,934 yards (8.7 YPA) with 22 touchdowns and four interceptions. He is not a mobile threat given his prior injuries, but he is one of the most explosive quarterbacks in the country. That has the Huskies ranked 23rd in Offensive SP+.

The top two receivers in this offense are Rome Odunze and Jalen McMillan. McMillan was the favorite receiver at the start of the season, but Odunze has been the go-to guy in Pac 12 play. Odunze had four straight 100-yard games against conference opponents until he was held to six catches for 63 yards against Cal two weeks ago. Wayne Taulapapa and Cameron Davis split carries in the backfield for the Huskies with Taulapapa being the more efficient back (5.3 YPC), but Davis is the goal line option with 10 rushing touchdowns.

Washington had a solid defense under Chris Petersen and Jimmy Lake, but the Huskies don't have as much talent and emphasis on this side of the ball under DeBoer. They do have a very good front seven that is only allowing 3.4 YPC, and they are great at getting to the quarterback with 25 sacks. However, the Huskies' pass defense is allowing 8.7 YPA and 286.1 YPG through the air. That led to shootout losses away from home to UCLA and Arizona State.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington Huskies Betting Trends

  • Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Oregon State's last seven games.
  • Oregon State is 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
  • Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of Washington's last nine games.
  • Washington is 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Washington's last five games against Oregon State.
  • Washington is 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
  • Oregon State is 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against Washington.
  • Oregon State is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against Washington.
  • Oregon State is 0-6 SU in their last six road games against Washington.