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Horses

Jun 13, 2018

At the Gate - Wednesday

The 2018 Triple Crown is in the books but there is still plenty to look forward to this year, with Belmont Park back to five-day race weeks, Saratoga just over a month away, and before we know it Justify will be back in action.

Royal Ascot runs next week, and sports betting becomes a reality in New Jersey tomorrow at Monmouth Park and Delaware will not be far behind.

It’s a great time to be a degenerate gambler, isn’t it?

The Breeder’s Cup is less than five months away, and while Justify has pretty much wrapped up Horse of the Year, there will still be plenty of the year-end honors still to be decided.

Coming up on Saturday we have two “Win and You’re In” races on tap at Churchill Downs—the $200,000 Fleur de Lis (G2) winner earns a free ticket to the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) and the winner of the $500,000 Stephen Foster Handicap (G1) earns a starting spot in the gate for the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).

I will have selections for both Breeders’ Cup Challenge race sin Saturday’s Best Plays Report.

In the meantime, we have a good nine race card at Belmont Park to kick off the week.

To purchase my Belmont Park Report for Wednesday click here .

Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Clm $50,000 (1:30 ET)
#8 Glory to Kitten 8-1
#9 Souperfast 3-1
#10 St. Louie 5-2
#4 Weekend Express 4-1

Analysis: Glory to Kitten was claimed for $25,000 by former Chad Brown assistant Jorge Abreu out of a win against starter optional claimers and he won the state bred Mary Todd by a neck in her first go for the barn. She regressed versus tougher in her next two starts. Now she drops in for a tag here and looking for her to bounce back with a better effort here. She beat Alw-1 foes over the turf here last fall at 1 1/4 miles. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 morning line.

Souperfast set the early fractions and could not half off the winner late in a runner up finish last out against $40,000 claimers. She was claimed for the fifth time out of six starts, now landing with the RRod barn that is 27% winners first off the claim. She owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers but there is plenty of other speed in here and she has shown she does not need the lead to win.

Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 4,8,9,10
TRI: 8,9 / 4,8,9,10 / 4,5,8,9,10

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 7 Alw $65,000N1X (4:46 ET)
#8 Tayler's the Boss 8-1
#3 Byself 2-1
#1 Frosty Gal 10-1
#6 Rachel's Blue Moon 8-1

Analysis: Tayler's the Boss makes her second start off the shelf here for the Asmussen barn. Last out off a 5 1/2 month break the filly prompted the early pace and weakened to finish fourth behind a couple of foes she faces again here. The filly graduated over the main track here in gate to wire fashion in her second career start last fall. She caught a sloppy track last out in her return and is capable of better than she showed last out. She can turn the tables, Irad sticks and the 8-1 morning line looks fair enough.

Byself was a game maiden winner in her debut, sent off at 9-2 in a field of nine last October. The runner up Miss Hot Stones came back to graduate in her next start by better than seven lengths and then was a close up third in a NY Stallion Series race. She has worked sharply for her return for the Violette barn that is showing a 2 for 29 mark with runners coming back off a +180 day layoff dating back five years. This does not look like a real tough spot for her return.

Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 3,8 / 1,3,6,8
TRI: 3,8 / 1,3,6,8 / 1,3,6,7,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #8 Glory to Kitten 8-1
R2: #5 Lonely Road 10-1
R3: #4 Untaken 8-1
R4: #10 Scripted 12-1
R5: #7 Preternatural 10-1
R6: #8 Indian Ghost 15-1
R7: #8 Tayler’s the Boss 8-1
R7: #1 Frosty Gal 10-1
R7: #6 Rachel’s Blue Moon 8-1

Good luck today!

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