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Horse Racing

BC – Juvenile Fillies

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 2 and Saturday, November 3 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!

Distance: 1 1/16 miles
Purse: $2 million
Age: 2YOf
Date: Friday, November 2
Time: 4:40 p.m. ET

The History

Open Mind, Go For Wand, Meadow Star and Silverbulletday are some of the fantastic young ladies to have captured this event. My Flag splashed home in the mud to win in 1995 before her daughter Storm Flag Flying took the 2002 renewal at Arlington Park. Ria Antonia was put up via DQ in 2013 after She’s a Tiger bumped her in deep stretch. Songbird led them every step of the way in 2015.

Favorites: 18 for 34 (53%)
Shortest: $2.40 (Meadow Star, 1990) *Shortest price in history of the Breeders’ Cup*
Highest: $125.40 (Take Charge Brandi, 2014)

The Best

Bellafina ships in from SoCal for trainer Simon Callaghan on a three-race-win streak after finishing second in her debut against maidens. It has been a steady diet of graded stakes for her since that defeat on Independence Day at Los Alamitos. Blinkers were added and she promptly broke her maiden going six furlongs in the G2 Sorrento then won the G1 Del Mar Debutante at seven panels.

Last out, the blinkers came back off and she stretched out to this trip in the G1 Chandelier at Sant Anita. Second early on, Bellafina made the lead approaching the far turn before reporting home by over six lengths despite drifting in a bit through the lane.

Jaywalk is another who was a Monmouth Park debut runner-up then rattled off three straight tallies. Trained by John Servis, Jaywalk broke her maiden in the mud at Parx before capturing a minor stakes at Delaware Park.

Last out, Jaywalk shipped to Belmont for the G1 Frizette and rolled to an easy, gate-to-wire, near six length romp. This will be her first start around two turns and fifth career start at her fifth different track.

Restless Rider won her first two starts, including the Debutante, in sprints over this course before a planned two-month break by trainer Ken McPeek.

A wide trip from her outside post 11 led to a second-place finish in the G1 Spinaway at Saratoga before Restless Rider stretched out for the G1 Alcibiades on opening day of the Keeneland meet. Racing just off the early pace, she made the lead at the top of the stretch and reported home an easy winner by over two lengths while racing on Lasix for the first time.

The Tom Amoss-trained Serengeti Empress broke her maiden in her debut at Indiana Grand before a fourth-place finish in the G3 Schuylerville on opening day at Saratoga where a lot went wrong.

It’s all gone right though since Serengeti Empress returned to the Bluegrass state. She won the seven-furlong Ellis Park Debutante by over 13 lengths then stretched out to win the G2 Pocahontas by an astounding 19 ½ lengths at this distance over the course some six weeks ago.

The Rest

Sippican Harbor finished off the board in her debut on the turf at this distance on opening weekend at Saratoga before breaking her maiden in an off-the-turf event by 17 lengths and G1 Spinaway by a drawing away two lengths when she was last seen two months ago for her trainer Gary Contessa whose barn is on an inexplicable roll.

Vibrance finished fourth in her debut going a mile on turf then won going the same distance on dirt a month later in a pair of Del Mar starts. Last out, she found herself on the lead for the first time before settling for second in the Chandelier, finishing more than four length in front of the third-place runner.

Cassies Dreamer was claimed out of her debut win for $50K then finished a tough-trip third in the Spinaway. She grabbed the show-dough again in the Frizette which marked the third consecutive start in which she did not have a clean start.

Cookie Dough lost the first three starts before winning her last two against Florida Stallion Series competition, with her most recent coming from post 12 and resulting in a seven-plus length score at this distance. All of her starts have come down at Gulfstream Park.

Reflect closed nicely in her route debut when she finished second in the Alcibiades. She broke her maiden at Santa Anita in her debut before off-the-board finishes in the Sorrento and Spinaway.

Splashy Kisses was off the board in her debut, then broke her maiden by daylight second time out, both at Del Mar, before finishing second in the Pocahontas.

Baby Nina broke her maiden second out against Ohio-bred stakes competition before beating just one home in the Spinaway and finishing third last out in the slop going this distance back at Thistledown, the site of her maiden tally.

If I’m Right...

Bellafina has her work cut out for her against these East Coast rivals and is likely better at shorter distances.

Live Longshot

Vibrance is the one I want out of the Chandelier. She figures to get the stalking trip she desires with plenty of speed signed on in here and has plenty of foundation having already raced around two turns in her all three of her starts.


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