Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:56 PM
BC - Juvenile Fillies
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 1 and Saturday November 2 at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!
Distance: 1 1/16 miles
Purse: $2 million
Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 5:32 pm EDT
Open Mind, Go For Wand, Meadow Star and Silverbulletday are some of the fantastic young ladies to have captured this event. My Flag splashed home in the mud to win in 1995 before her daughter Storm Flag Flying took the 2002 renewal at Arlington Park. Ria Antonia was put up via DQ in 2013 after She’s a Tiger bumped her in deep stretch. Songbird led them every step of the way in 2015.
Favorites: 18 for 35 (53%)
Shortest: $2.40 (Meadow Star, 1990) Shortest price in history of the Breeders’ Cup
Highest: $125.40 (Take Charge Brandi, 2014)
Bast gave her backers a big scare last out before eventually putting the G1 Chandelier away in the final stages for trainer Bob Baffert and jockey John Velazquez who set the record for the most graded stakes wins ever by a rider.
Second in her debut, blinkers were added for her second start in the G1 Del Mar Debutante and she managed to turn the tables on the filly that beat her first out.
British Idiom stretched out successfully in the G1 Alcibiades at Keeneland last out with a brilliant move on the far turn that helped turn the opening day feature in Lexington in a six-plus length romp.
Trained by Brad Cox, British Idiom broke her maiden going six furlongs on debut at Saratoga by over three lengths when she stalked the pace in a restricted maiden special weight event for horses that were sold for $45K or less at their most recent auction before hitting the races.
Wicked Whisper will be making her first start around two turns for Steve Asmussen off of a pair of impressive wins to start her career.
After going gate-to-wire in one of the more impressive maiden performances of the meet going six furlongs at Saratoga, Wicked Whisper stretched out to a mile for the G1 Frizette at Belmont. Again, sent directly to the front, she made every pole a winning one to score by almost three lengths in a sub 1:36 mile.
Comical won the first two starts of her career, her debut at Santa Anita and the G3 Schuylerville on opening day at Saratoga in the mud, before shipping back to SoCal to finish sixth in the G2 Sorrento and third in the Del Mar Debutante. Stretching on in the Chandelier, she gave Bast all she could handle before settling for second.
Donna Veloce romped as the 3-5 favorite by over nine lengths in her debut going 6.5 furlongs in her debut over the course. She’ll have to stretch out an extra quarter-mile for the same connections that saw race favorite Bellafina finish fourth in this event last season.
K P Dreamin broke her maiden in her second start going a flat mile before finishing an even third in the Chandelier. She could use some pace up front.
Lazy Daisy broke her maiden going six furlongs on debut then finished fourth in the Del Mar Debutante before shipping to Churchill to take the G2 Pocahontas at this distance in virtual gate-to-wire fashion.
Perfect Alibi leads all of these contenders with three wins and two seconds from five tries, including wins in both the G2 Adirondack and G1 Spinaway while sprinting at Saratoga this summer. She wasn’t as effective last out when she finished over six lengths behind the winner in the Alcibiades where she finished an even second.
Two Sixty ran a career-best last out when stretching out to this distance in a division of the Florida Stallion Series at Gulfstream. She broke her maiden on debut against open company before a third-place finish and an incident in which she bolted and dropped her rider in a pair of similar stakes at shorter distances.
If I’m Right...
This is a pretty wide-open renewal on paper. You could make a case for half of the field. I think the move is to pitch Bast from your plays because she figures to be over bet and appeared to struggle with the extra distance.
Two Sixty intrigues me a bit. I know she’s been facing Florida-bred stakes company but she showed dramatic improvement stretching out in her most recent start and should be at least 15-1.
Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ETon Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile