Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:56 AM

BC - Filly & Mare Turf

Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 1 and Saturday November 2 at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!

Distance: 1 ¼ miles on turf
Purse: $2 million
Age: 3up(f&m)
Date: Saturday, November 1
Time: 4:54 pm EDT

The History

Ouija Board won it in 2004 and 2006 and was stopped by Intercontinental in 2005 when she was second. Her trainer Ed Dunlop and the late Bobby Frankel each won two runnings while Kieran Fallon and Jerry Bailey have each ridden a pair of winners. One of the all-time greats Sistercharlie got home in the last strides at Churchill Downs in 2018.

Favorites: 5 for 20 (25%)
Shortest: $3.80 (Ouija Board, 2004)
Highest: $94.00 (Shared Account, 2010)
U.S based: 19/Foreign based: 8
The champ is here? Yes! Sistercharlie will look to join Ouija Board as a two-time winner of this event.

Best

The great Sistercharlie is just one of two returning Breeders’ Cup champs from last year and her defense was made that much easier when it was announced on draw day that the Euro filly Magical, second to Enable in the Turf last year, had been retired.

Magical is a good word to describe Sistercharlie’s career since he shipped over from Europe midway through her three-year-old season.

With seven G1 wins, Sistercharlie has won every major stakes race for older fillies and mares on the turf in the country with her powerful come-from-behind kick, including the Diana at Saratoga and Beverly D at Arlington for the past two years. This year, after missing the first half of the year, she followed up her title defenses in the aforementioned races with a score in the G1 Flower Bowl at Belmont, her lone win at this distance in four tries.

As has been the case for the past year or so, Thais will serve as Sistercharlie’s pacesetter or “rabbit,” though traditional rabbits don’t set as slow a pace as she did in the Flower Bowl where she managed to hang on for third.

Rest

Billesdon Brook won her last two, including a G1 at Newmarket in England most recently going a mile, and three of her last four overall. She was fourth in the G1 Nassau back in August of last year in her lone try at this distance and appears better suited to shorter trips.

Castle Lady tries older for the first time having finished a solid second to Cambier Parc in the G1 QEII Challenge Cup at Keeneland in her stateside debut off of a near four-month layoff. She’s winless in both starts since taking a G! at a mile in France back in May.

Fanny Logan has won her last four starts against lesser company and will be making her first start against this kind. She is a perfect four-for-four at thus distance with a win in a G3 at Newmarket last out her biggest score to date.

Fleeting is seeking her first win of the year as she makes her second trip across the pond for Coolmore. Eligible for a second-level allowance contest, she’s finished second in three of her eight starts this season, including the G1 Prix de l’Opera on the Arc undercard and was fourth in the Beverly D.

Sophomore filly Iridessa has taken two of her last four, a pair of G1 races against older rivals, after being a non-factor in the important races for three-year-old fillies in Europe. In one of those wins, she defeated Magic Wand at this distance, her lone try at the trip. She had first preference in the Mile but will run here.

Just Wonderful will be making her third start in the U.S. this year and fourth overall here having finished a non-threatening seventh in the G1 First Lady most recently going a mile at Keeneland. Though winless in two starts at this distance, she did run second to top three-year-old filly Concrete Rose in the G1 Belmont Oaks Invitational going the trip in July and is another who was first preference for the Mile who ends up in here.

Former claimer Mirth took them flag-fall-to-that’s-all last out in the G1 Rodeo Drive over this course and at this trip in what was her graded stakes debut. She was second in her other try at the trip in a minor stakes.

Mrs. Sippy won her U.S. debut two back at Saratoga going 11 furlongs in the G2 Glens Falls when she got up in the latter stages before giving Sistercharlie all she can handle when she missed by less than a length in the Flower Bowl. Lasix has really seemed to help this filly.

Santa Anita win-machine Vasilika has won a remarkable 11 of 12 starts over the local turf including the 2018 Rodeo Drive in her lone start at this distance. Claimed for $40K in her first start in SoCal after shipping in from Gulfstream in February 2018, she’s won eight graded stakes and over $1 million

Villa Marina owns three wins and a pair of runner-up finishes from five starts at this distance including a gutsy score in the Prix de l’Opera last out in just her second start against older foes.

If I’m Right…

The defection of Magical kills any chance of getting a price on Sistercharlie, who now may very well be the shortest priced favorite over the two days.

Live Longshot

I’m going to cheat and give you two because I have a feeling Mrs. Sippy might get over bet. Fanny Logan won’t be. And while it’s hard for me to envision either winning I’m using both of them in my exotic plays.


Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ETon Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile

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