Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:56 PM
BC - Juvenile Turf
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 1 and Saturday November 2 at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!
Distance: 1 mile on turf
Purse: $1 million
Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 4:52 pm EDT
Contested by both sexes in its inaugural running back in 2007 and featured the Breeders’ Cup debut of Gio Ponti, who had a nightmare trip.
Favorites: 2 for 12 (17%)
Shortest: $6.80 (Pounced, 2009)
Highest: $27.20 (Nownownow, 2007)
U.S based: 4/Foreign based: 8
We ditch the traditional format for alphabetical order due to the mix of U.S. and Euro runners as well as age and lack of experience.
Andesite missed by just a head in the G3 Pilgrim at Belmont having finished third two back in the G3 With Anticipation at Saratoga. He’ll be cutting back a sixteenth of a mile in distance.
Arizona ships over for Aidan O’Brien off of a pair of in-the-trifecta finishes in G1 races. He’s won two of his six starts and this will be his first try beyond seven furlongs.
Billy Batts sheds blinkers off of a third-place finish in the Zuma Beach. He’ll get his sixth different rider for his seventh start.
Decorated Invader is looking for his third straight tally after missing by less than a length when running on late in his debut at the Spa for Christophe Clement. A maiden win next out was followed by a rally past most of his rivals to win the G1 Summer at Woodbine at this trip around one turn.
Fort Myers ships over the pond a perfect two-for-two on all-weather surfaces but winless in five starts on turf.
Maiden Gear Jockey set the pace in his turf debut two back before tiring to second then finished third after making the lead in deep stretch of the Bourbon.
Graceful Kitten is undefeated in all three of his starts at Gulfstream, taking his maiden in June from off the pace, then a couple of minor stakes in August and September on the front end.
Hit the Road broke his maiden at Del Mar going a mile then won the Zuma Beach some nine weeks later over this course and at the trip, with similar off-the-pace rallies.
Our Country broke his maiden second out at the Spa then had some equipment trouble when fourth as the favorite in the With Anticipation. Last out, he was widest of all when falling a little more than a length short in the Pilgrim where he was third.
Peace Achieved went winless in his first two sprinting but has since rattled off three in a row at different tracks in Kentucky since Mark Casse stretched him out and added blinkers. He’s employed a similar stalking style to take his tallies, including last out in the G3 Bourbon at Keeneland.
Proven Strategies will be seeking his first victory in his fifth try coming off a fourth-place finish in the Summer.
Structor will try to remain undefeated having broken his maiden at Saratoga before taking the Pilgrim with a game effort last out, both at 8.5 furlongs. Chad Brown reaches out for Jose Ortiz as brother Irad opts for Decorated Invader.
Vitalogy stormed home from outside post 14 and fell a neck short of passing all of his rivals in the final quarter mile when he settled for second in the Bourbon. He’s winless in three starts since taking his debut in Europe.
War Beast broke his maiden in his fourth try when blinkers were added then tired to finish second in the Zuma Beach.
Lone also eligible Deviant was eleventh in the Bourbon after taking a couple of minor stakes at Retama and Louisiana Downs.
If I’m Right…
Despite their dominance since this events inception, the Euros seem to be a tad weak this year.
Our Country has had some tough luck in his two stakes try and could be dangerous if he pulls any kind of trip at 15-1.
Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ETon Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile