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Horse Racing

At the Gate – Sunday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
We close out the week with another good card at Aqueduct on Sunday, and we need our luck to turn around as it has been a pretty frustrating week.

Yesterday started off with one of my contenders paying $30.40 to win in the opener and getting my early Pick 5 off to a great start only to lose a really tough photo in the second race to wipe me out of action.

Today’s early Pick 5 looks attractive and we could get off to another good start if we can beat the 6-5 chalk Bourbon in May in the opener.

The feature today is the $100,000 Notebook for two-year-old New York breds that will go six furlongs on the main track.

A field of seven will head to the gate led by the 8-5 morning line favorite Dream Bigger, who rolled to a 10 ¾ length win at Finger Lakes in the New York Breeders’ Futurity.

As much as I despise Parx Racing I am going with the Philly invader Ny Traffic, who will be taking on New York breds for the first time in his career. The colt was the beaten favorite in the Parx Juvenile last out where he weakened to finish a disappointing fourth.

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Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Clm $50,000N2L (12:00 ET)
#8 Wild Weekend 7-2
#1 Bourbon in May 6-5
#3 Scoreswhenhewants 7-2
#5 Montatham 4-1

Analysis: Wild Weekend was a game maiden winner last out in his second career start and first going long and has now been on the bench for three months. He returned now with Servis who is 29% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The works are slow but that is the usual for this barn. This looks like a good spot for his return taking on non-winners of two for a $50,000 tag. Rosario sticks for a barn that is 35% winners (with a +ROI) with newcomers to the barn.

Bourbon in May stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out against $50,000 starter allowance foes. The colt was a game second two back at this level, beaten just a half-length for the top spot. The Pletcher trainee looks tough but his price is going to be on the short side.

Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,3,5,8
TRI: 1,8 / 1,3,5,8 / 1,3,4,5,8

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 9 The Notebook (3:50 ET)
#1 Ny Traffic 5-1
#2 Scilly Cay 8-1
#7 Dream Bigger 8-5
#6 Harris Bay 7-2

Analysis: Ny Traffic invades from Philly where last out he was bumped coming out of the gate, prompted the early pace and tired to finish fourth in the Parx Juvenile. The colt earned a slid number two back breaking his maiden in his second career start. In his debut three back he prompted the early pace and weakened to finish third behind the winner Independence Hall, who came back to win the Nashua (G3) in his next outing on Nov. 3. He takes on state breds for the first time here and looking for this colt to bounce back with a better effort than we saw last out. If he runs back to his maiden win two back he fits here and may end up getting overlooked on the tote.

Scilly Cay pressed the early pace and drew clear to a smart looking maiden win in his second career start for the Rice barn. The colt showed speed in his debut two back before weakening late to finish third. The winner Three Jokers ran second in the state bred Bongard in his next start. The colt is out of the stakes winner French Satin ($165,894) who has dropped seven other winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Long Haul Bay ($303,840).

Dream Bigger is going to be sent off as the chalk in here. He ran second in his first two starts then shipped to Finger Lakes where she rolled to a 10 3/4 length win in the New York Breeders' Futurity. The RRod trainee owns the top last out speed fig and solid early and mid pace numbers. he has three drills over the Big A main track here since his win last out. He looks legit but his price is going to be on the light side.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,6,7
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,6,7 / 1,2,3,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:

CD Race 8 OClm $100,000N2X (4:36 PT)
#6 Peruvian Appeal 5-1
#4 What a Fox 8-1
#8 Take Charge Angel 2-1
#2 Vomba 9-2

Analysis: Peruvian Appeal stalked the early pace and did not have any punch in the stretch in a fifth-place finish last out. He regressed off a hard fought win at this level two back by a neck after getting off to a tardy start. Things should set up for him here as there is plenty of early speed signed up. This gal has won three of her four trips over the main track here.

What a Fox took the field gate to wire to beat Alw-1 foes last out at Keeneland going seven furlongs. The filly was making her first tart off the claim by the Diodoro barn. She was taken two back against restricted $50,000 foes at six furlongs. She won that race coming from off the pace and that running style could come in handy here if the pace is fast. The barn is looking to get off the duck after going 0 for 14 and this gal may be the one to do it.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 2,4,6,8
TRI: 4,6 / 2,4,6,8 / 2,3,4,6,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R4: #4 In Equality 15-1
R6: #1 Dany California 8-1
R7: #1 Breithorn 12-1
R7: #12 Gufo 8-1
R7: #9 Scanno 10-1
R8: #1 Ailish 10-1
R9: #2 Scilly Cay 8-1
R10: #7 Tomorrow Tomato 10-1

Good luck today!

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