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Horse Racing

Horse Racing Best Bets At the Gate – Sunday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
I thought we might have a shot of beating the heavy chalk Mr. Buff in yesterday’s Haynesfield at Aqueduct, but the gelding rolled to a 20-length win.
 
Under jockey Junior Alvarado he opened up a huge lead turning for home and keep on going. The gelding paid $2.60 with my top pick Honor Up running a very distant second, which gave us a puny $6.80 exacta.
 
The feature at Gulfstream Park was the World of Trouble Sprint (G3) and my top pick Epic Dreamer made a mild late run but could do no batter than third at 7-2. We whiffed completely on the winner Jackson, who was sent off at 13-1.
 
The colt came into the race off a third in the Sunshine Millions Sprint where he earned a career top speed figure. He earned a 91 for that third and popped a 97 Beyer in his win yesterday for a new career top.
 
The Jose Pinchin trainee paid $28.20 with my third choice Admiral Lynch completing a $2 exacta that paid $130.40.
 
Sunday’s feature at the Big A is the $100,000 Maddie May for state breds going a mile on the main track. The race drew a field of five three-year-old fillies led by the 1-2 favorite Ice Princess.
 
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.
 
To purchase my Aqueduct and Best Plays Reports for Sunday click here.
 
Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Aqueduct Reports daily and my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday which will include all of the major Road to the Kentucky Derby prep races.
 
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
 
AQU Race 1 OClm $80,000N1X (1:20 ET)
#4 Hopeful Treasure   8-5
#2 Took Charge   6-5
#1 Money Ride   9-2
#3 Polar Bear Pete   8-1
 
Analysis: Hopeful Treasure tracked the early pace and made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot, unable to get to the gate to wire winner. The winner was Johnny Ritt, who came back to finish third in the Jimmy Winkfield in his next outing here on Feb. 8. He beat $40,000 starter optional claimers two back at Laurel Park in the mud. Pino ships this guy in from Philly and is one of two in here that has beaten winners. Kendrick takes the call and this guy should get a good trip sitting just off the pace.
 
Took Charge took the field gate to wire to graduate in her debut last June and has been on the bench since. The Englehart barn is 24% winners with runners coming back off a +180-day layoff. He earned a solid number in his debut and has decent works for his return. The runner up in his maiden score was Three Technique who ran second in the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park in his most recent start. Not a real tough looking spot for his return.
 
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 7-5 or better.
EX: 4 / 1,2
TRI: no play
 
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
 
GP Race 7 Md Sp Wt (3:34 ET)
#3 Finding Fame   8-1
#6 Assume   7-2
#11 Feeling Funny   5-1
#10 Primacy   4-1
 
Analysis: Finding Fame is a $425,000 Keeneland purchase sent out by the Shug barn that is 14% winners (with a +ROI) with first timers. This gal is working fast including a bullet drill out of the gate at Payson back on Feb. 3. She is by Empire Maker out of a Seeking the Gold mare that has dropped four foals to race, all winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Mei Ling ($522,383). She looks ready. She will need a new rider as Ortiz fractured his wrist yesterday.
 
Assume debuts for the Pletcher barn that is 22% winners with first time started. She was a $300,000 Keeneland purchase, by Candy Ride out of a stakes placed Outflanker mare that has dropped three foals to race with a pair of winners. She has been working steadily at Palm Beach Downs and Johnny V is in the irons. The barn is having a good meet and has won with seven of his last 34 firsters here at Gulfstream Park.
 
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 3,6 / 3,6,10,11
TRI: 3,6 / 3,6,10,11 / 1,3,6,10,11
 
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
 
AQU Race 7 The Maddie May (4:20 ET)
#4 Myawaya   4-1
#2 Ice Princess   1-2
#5 Holmdel Park   8-1
#1 Nicky Scissors   3-1
 
Analysis: Myawaya prompted the early pace and got run down by eh chalk in here and had to settle for second against state bred Alw-1 optional claimers last out in her first start against winners. The racing surface was kind to outside stalkers and closers that day. I think she has a shot of turning the tables here as there is not a ton of speed in this short field and she will likely have the jump on the chalk again heading for home.
 
Ice Princess came off a 3 1/2-month break with her smart win last out. She was off last, did not get a ton of pace to run at and came with a four-wide bid, drawing off to win by 4 1/2 lengths. She broke her maiden by a dozen lengths in her debut in the slop last September and then was fourth in the Frizette (G1). She looks capable of moving forward off her last and if she does, she will be really tough but her price is going to be puny.
 
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4 / 2,5
TRI: no play
 
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
 
Aqueduct
R1: #3 Polar Bear Pete   8-1
R4: #6 Too Fast to Pass   8-1
R7: #5 Holmdel Park   8-1
 
Good luck today!

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