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Horse Races Today: Wednesday's Belmont Park Analysis & Odds


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Racing is back in New York with Wednesday’s opening day card at Belmont Park, the first of 25 race days, the meeting going until July 12.
 
It will be the first day of racing in the Big Apple since March 15 when the Covid-19 pandemic shut down racing in New York, one of the hardest hit areas.
 
We have a very challenging first day of the meeting with plenty of full fields along with quite a few runners that have not raced in the afternoon in two or three months along with a mix of shippers back from Florida.
 
If you were looking for my report last night I did not get it done and uploaded until late as it seemed to take forever to go through the 10 races on the card.
 
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The shortest field of the day comes in the feature where six fillies and mares line up in the $100,000 Beaugay (G3), a 1 1/16-mile test on turf.
 
While it is a compact group of six, the talent is deep led by the Chad Brown trained Rushing Fall, who has won 8 of her 11 career starts including the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) at Del Mar.
 
Her stablemate is no slouch. Fifty Five is a winner of 11 of her 22 career starts, all on turf. Her last three wins have come against New York breds.
 
I am going to look at Get Stormy, who likely will be the second choice in the field; The Mark Casse trainee missed by just a neck in the Frank Kilroe (G1) against the boys. She beat males last year in the Fourstardave Handicap (G1) at Saratoga.
 
To purchase my Belmont Park Report for Wednesday click here.
 
Fox Sports 2 will cover the action from Belmont Park from 1:00 to 2:30 ET and 3:30 to 5:30 ET today. In addition, horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players. 
 
Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Belmont Park Reports daily and my Best Plays Report which will include all the major Road to the Kentucky Derby prep races.
 
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

Belmont Park Race 1 Analysis - 6/3

BEL Race 1 Md $20,000 (1:15 ET)
#5 Vero Sun   5-2
#8 State of Mine   8-1
#4 Star of the West   6-1
#2 Cobble Hill   5-1
 
Analysis: Vero Sun stalked the early pace and was no match for a 7 1/2 length winner in the stretch while drifting in last out at Laurel Park back in February. The winner Galerio came back to beat $25,000 starter optional claimers while the third place finisher Sea Ghost came back to graduate March 6 thanks to a DQ in his next outing. The colt now makes his tenth career start and has landed in the money in six of his outings. He makes his first start for a tag and sold be able to handle this group. The barn is o the weak side with layoff types, inning with just 1 of his last 19 coming back off a 61-180-day break. He catches a pretty soft spot.
 
State of Mine has been in the hunt in each of his last four starts, a fourth last out for this tag and a good runner up two back earning a career top speed fig. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers in a race void of much early speed or talent. He is the first foal to race out of a Harlan's Holiday mare. Slow works on the morning tab but that is not unusual for the Nevin barn. Worth a look if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
 
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

Belmont Park Race 8 Analysis - 6/3

BEL Race 8 OClm $62,500N2X (5:04 ET)
#10 Value Proposition   7-2
#12 Cross Border   4-1
#11 Hidden Scroll   5-2
#5 Arthur Kitt   8-1
 
Analysis: Value Proposition is making his first start since last July where the colt stalked the early pace and made a good late rally to get up and beat Alw-1 optional claimers at the Spa over good ground. He graduated on turf in his debut on yielding ground easily and the was seventh in the Pennine Ridge (G3). The Brown barn is 28% winners with runners coming back off a +180-day layoff. HE steps up a notch here and looks ready to go off the bench. A nice pedigree as well, by Dansili out of the stakes winner Dash To the Front.
 
Cross Border pressed the early pace, took over the lead and battle don gamely, beaten just a neck in the William L. McKnight (G3) last out at Gulfstream Park back in January at 1 1/2 miles. He passed his first allowance condition at Aqueduct three back at 1 3/8 miles. He passed his first two state bred conditions on turf going nine furlongs. He returns off a four month break here for the Maker barn that is 16% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. He did win at a mile in his lone trip at today's distance.

Live Longshots

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
 
Belmont Park
R1: #8 State of the West   8-1
R4: #8 Blue Belt    8-1
R4: #1 H Man   8-1
R5: #111 Mizzys Image   15-1
R6: #5 Xanthique   8-1
R7: #1 Apex Predator   8-1
R8: #5 Arthur Kitt   8-1
R9: #5 Passing Out   15-1
R10: #2 Split Verdict   15-1
R10: #3 Ventus   10-1
 
Good luck today!

  
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HORSE RACING EXPERT
Mike Dempsey Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year-round as well as covering the biggest events including the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes and the Breeders’ Cup.
A professional handicapper and horseplayers for more than three decades, no handicapper in the industry works harder and been more successful in bringing horseplayers analysis that produces profits at the track!

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