4 – Kiss Today Goodbye (15/1)Broke his maiden two starts back in his fifth try before running last of 10 in an entry level allowance/optional claimer when last seen in mid-May. Hopeless longshot.
5 – Honor A.P. (8/5)He is undoubtedly the most talented horse in the field. In fact, he may be the only one at this point that could beat Tiz the Law in the Derby.
But this distance, combined with a super small field worry me. Plus, I’d imagine his trainer, who is known for bringing his horses along, doesn’t have him close to 100% tight for this.
That will be the case on September 5. Betting against him today but he can obviously win by a pole.
6 – Cezanne (7/2)Big ticket two-year-old purchase for $3.65 million didn’t debut until June 6. He was a bit green winning his debut then looked workmanlike when stretching out to a mile.
Thing is, he rated off the pace in both those starts while he should find himself on a loose lead today.
Maybe I’m wrong and he’s better than Honor A.P. overall. I don’t think I am but do feel like he’ll win this purely from a tactical point of view.
HORSE RACING EXPERT
Mike Dempsey Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year-round as well as covering the biggest events including the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes and the Breeders’ Cup.
A professional handicapper and horseplayers for more than three decades, no handicapper in the industry works harder and been more successful in bringing horseplayers analysis that produces profits at the track!
Mike has owned racehorses and knows the racetrack from the backstretch to the finish line.
Mike is in his second decade of producing great results for the readers of Vegas Insider. Among his scores in the Kentucky Derby include winning with his top pick Animal Kingdom who paid $43.80 in 2011 and Super Saver at $18.00 in 2010.
While favorites have dominated the Run for the Roses in recent years, Mike’s full card analysis for every race on each card is always looking for value for horseplayers looking to pad their wagering bankroll.
Mike's Reports include his selections, detailed analysis, a fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for the entire card each day.
Check out Mike’s daily column At the Gate where he offers up free selections and live longshots.
Join Mike daily with top picks from Churchill Downs or grab winners in the Weekend Best Plays Report in the horse racing Multi-Track package. Want more action? Sit at the track with him for 30 Days with his Monthly Horse Package!