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Thursday's Picks from Belmont



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Breeders’ Cup pre-entries were announced yesterday, and we have a total of 201 horse entered in the 14 races over the two-day championship event at Keeneland on Nov. 6-7.

This will be the second time that Keeneland has hosted the Breeders’ Cup in its 37-year history. No fans will be in attendance due to the pandemic, with the track limiting spectators to trainers, owners and breeders.

There are 38 entered from overseas including a pair from Japan. Leading that list is the Aiden O’Brien trained duo of Magical and Mogul, who will go in the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1).

The richest race is the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), and it drew a stellar field that includes all three winners of this year’s Triple Crown races—Swiss Skydiver, Tiz the Law and Authentic.

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The filly Swiss Skydiver was cross-entered in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) and her connections have listed that race as her first preference.

Others in the Classic include Maximum Security, Improbable, Tom’s d’Etat, By My Standards, Tacitus and Global Campaign.

Monomoy Girl figures to be the heavy favorite in the Distaff, and Jackie’s Warrior may end up the shortest price in the 14 races when he is sent off as the chalk in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1).

Of the 14 races, nine were oversubscribed, so we are certain of having large fields. It appears the shortest field will be in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies where only eight will compete, but it is a deep field that includes Princess Noor, Simply Ravishing and Dayoutoftheoffice.

Post positions will be drawn next Monday, giving us plenty of time to break down the 14 races over the next nine days.

You can catch the action from Belmont Park today from 1:00 to 6:00 ET on FS2.  In addition, you can stream the action on YouTube or by using the TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.

To purchase my Belmont Park Report for Thursday click here.

Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Belmont Park Reports daily, my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday and my two-day Breeders’ Cup Reports.

Here is the opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start: 

BELMONT PARK RACE 1 ANALYSIS (1:15 P.M. ET)

Race 1 Clm $20,000N3L

  • #2 Allured   2-1
  • #4 Microscope   7-2
  • #5 Mr. Shortandsimple   4-1
  • #1 Fried Rice King   8-5

Analysis: Allured stalked the early pace and came with a good late run but was unable to get to the loose on the lead gate to wire winner in a runner up finish last out against $50,000 non-winners of three. He comes back at the same condition while dropping in for a $20,000 tag for the Noda barn. The gelding has landed in the exacta in 5 of his 6 trips over the main track here and has run well on wet tracks with a win and two seconds in four outings. He makes his third start off the bench here.

Microscope was outrun early and was not much of a threat in a seventh-place finish last out against state bred Alw-1 company at 62-1. He drops in for a $20,000 tag and may move forward if the track come sup wet. Both of his wins which came at Aqueduct was over a sloppy track. He catches a soft spot here and should be closer to the pace in this spot.   

BELMONT PARK RACE 8 ANALYSIS (4:55 P.M. ET)

Race 8 OClm $80,000C

  • #5 Chewing Gum   3-1
  • #4 Wicked Trick   5-2
  • #12 Wendell Fog   7-2
  • #10 Backtohisroots   5-1               

Analysis: Chewing Gum came up the inside with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out in the Belmont Turf Sprint (G3) at six furlongs. The Mott trainee is bred top furlongs bottom to handle a wet track and beat Alw-1 foes in the slop last November at Churchill Downs by 8 3/4 lengths going a one turn mile. Rosario is back on board and was on him for his last win which came at six furlongs on turf against Alw-2 optional claimers here. He fits well here if Mott runs him.

Wicked Trick stalked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish. He returns off a four-month break here for the Rice barn that is 17% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff. This guy has won 2 of his 3 trips on off tracks in his career and fits well here dropping out of stakes company. Rice is having a rough meet with just four wins and 13 seconds from her 53 starters but can turn that around quickly. 

LIVE LONGSHOTS

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park

  • R2: #12 Another Shot   8-1
  • R3: #8 Please   8-1
  • R9: #4 Marquet Legacy   8-1 

Good luck today!

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HORSE RACING EXPERT
Mike Dempsey Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year-round as well as covering the biggest events including the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes and the Breeders’ Cup.
A professional handicapper and horseplayers for more than three decades, no handicapper in the industry works harder and been more successful in bringing horseplayers analysis that produces profits at the track!

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