Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:52 AM
Juvenile Fillies Turf Predictions, Odds, Preview
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 6 and Saturday November 7 at Keeneland in Lexington Kentucky.
VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.
Juvenile Fillies Turf Morning-Line Odds
1 Oodnadatta 20/1
2 Miss Amulet 12/1
3 Alda 12/1
4 Plum Ali 4/1
5 Aunt Pearl 3/1
6 Nazuna 30/1
7 Tetragonal 20/1
8 Mother Earth 20/1
9 Madone 10/1
10 Campanelle 4/1
11 Royal Approval 10/1
12 Spanish Loveaffair 15/1
13 Union Gables 20/1
14 Editor at Large 12/1
15 (AE) Invincible Gal 30/1
16 (AE) Snowfall 50/1
Field Subject to Change
Juvenile Fillies Turf Betting Resources
- Distance: 1 1/16 miles
- Purse: $2 million
- Age: 2YOf
- Date: Friday, November 6
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
American, based runners won the first four and last six runnings with Flotilla and Chriselliam getting back to back wins for Europe in 2012 and 2013. Lady Eli and Rushing Fall are two of trainer Chad Brown’s record five wins in the event.
Juvenile Fillies Turf Fast Facts
- Favorites: 2 for 12 (17%)
- Shortest: $3.20 (Newspaperofrecord, 2018)
- Highest: $29.20 (More Than Real, 2010)
- U.S based-Foreign based:: 10/2
How to Handicap the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
We ditch the traditional format for alphabetical order due to the mix of U.S. and Euro runners as well as age and lack of experience. Numbers 15,16 are also eligible.
3-Alda broke her maiden in her second start at Belmont then won the Catch a Glimpse before falling just a length short when second in the G1 Natalma, both at Woodbine. This will be her first try around two turns.
5-Aunt Pearl dominated both a maiden field at Churchill going this distance and the G2 Jessamine over the course going another sixteenth of a mile, in gate-to-wire fashion.
10-Campanelle has won all three of her starts, each in a different country. After breaking her maiden going five furlongs at Gulfstream, she took the G2 Queen Mary during the Royal Ascot meet just three weeks later before taking the G1 Prix Morny at Deauville in France going six furlongs.
14-Editor At Large closed into a slow pace to break her maiden at Saratoga before failing to do the same when third in the G2 Miss Grillo at Belmont. Both of her starts have come at a mile and a sixteenth.
15-Invincible Gal broke her maiden sprinting at Saratoga then finished second in both the Sorority at Monmouth going this trip and the Selima at Pimlico on the Preakness undercard.
9-Madone puts her perfect record on the line as she ships in from SoCal with three wins from well off the pace, all at the distance. A maiden win and tally in the Juvenile Fillies Turf at Del Mar was followed by a score in the Surfer Girl at Santa Anita.
2-Miss Amulet ships from Europe having just missed in a G1. She’s won three of her seven starts, all contested over straightaways, including a G2 but will be making her first start beyond six furlongs.
8-Mother Earth ships over for Coolmore with just one win in seven starts. Third in a G1 most recently her lone win came in her only start around a turn.
6-Nazuna won going seven furlongs in England and finished second most recently in a G2 at that same distance.
1-Oodnadatta has made three starts, all at seven furlongs, and finished third most recently in a G1 in Ireland.
4-Plum Ali is undefeated in three starts over three different courses with three different riders to start her career. After an easy maiden tally at Saratoga, she shipped down to Kentucky Downs for their Juvenile Fillies then back to Belmont for a good-looking score in the Miss Grillo.
11-Royal Approval finished behind stablemate Campanelle in her first two starts then took both a maiden race at Kentucky Downs and the G3 Matron at Belmont in her two starts since then. This will be her first start around two turns.
16-Snowfall owns a win and third place finish from seven tries. She beat just two of her nine rivals on this trip most recently in England.
12-Spanish Loveaffair broke her maiden by double digits then won the Sharp Susan, both at Gulfstream going this distance, before finishing second in the Jessamine when she failed to make any real headway in the stretch after stalking the winner the entire way.
7-Tetragonal broke her maiden on debut in August overseas before trouble at the start in the JFT at Del Mar. Last out she just missed by a neck in the Surfer Girl.
13-Union Gables set the pace before missing by less than a length in the G3 Matron. In her two prior starts, both on dirt and at Saratoga, she broke her maiden then finished third in the off-the-turf P.G. Johnson.
Juvenile Fillies Turf Predictions
If I’m Right...
The U.S. runners once again hold the edge here. They have not only been the distance but they all raced around turns in doing so.
Editor At Large should benefit from a more honest pace. Her trainer Chad Brown has won five of the first 12 runnings. She’s 12-1 on morning line odds.
Listen to "The Big A"
Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile