Friday’s Picks from Aqueduct

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

The track was wet and we were off the turf on Thursday at Aqueduct, but we still managed to have a good day with four winners on top on the nine race card.

Somehow the one race I whiffed on badly was the second race where I failed to use the winner Wudda U Think Now, costing me the early Pick 5. The gelding was sent off as the favorite and paid $5.70.

The Late Pick 5 worked out better as my top pick won two races my second choice won two others and Tri Saint Lorenzo won the nightcap as my third choice, the 50-cent payoff coming back at $781.00.

We would have fared much better as the will pays on my top pick Tizme Bobby McGee was $2,914 and my second choice Tiz Envy would have paid $1,200.75.

There is more rain in the forecast for this morning, so I am guessing we are going to have another wet track and likely off the turf.

Jockey Manny Franco got some bad news yesterday as the connections of Tiz the Law announced the colt would be pointed toward the Pegasus World Cup (G1) in January with a new jockey.

The Barclay Tagg trainee will be ridden by Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez, who will be riding regularly at Gulfstream Park this winter.

Franco had Tiz the Law down along the inside in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) and was not able to get clear to the outside which would have been the best option for the colt.

It may not have mattered as the colt did not show his usual kick and ended up a disappointing sixth as the beaten favorite.

The weather will improve over the weekend and we have a couple of good stakes coming up at the Big A-the $100,000 Notebook and the $100,000 Artie Schiller.

We will also make a trip out to Churchill Downs tomorrow where the feature is the $200,000 Mrs. Revere (G2) for three-year-old fillies which drew a field of seven led by Valley View (G3) winner Stunning Sky.

You can catch the action from Aqueduct today from 12:00 to 6:00 ET on FS2. In addition, you can stream the action on YouTube or by using the TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a 50% deposit match up to $250 .

To purchase my Aqueduct Report for Friday click here .

Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Aqueduct Reports daily and my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday.

Here is the opening from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start: 

AQUEDUCT RACE 1 ANALYSIS (12:20 P.M. ET)

Race 1 Md Sp Wt

• #8 Into Vanishing   4-1
• #1 Hit the Wash   9-5
• #2 Tekila   6-1
• #11 Pangea Proxima   8-1
• #12 Amalfi Princess   7-2

Analysis: Into Vanishing takes the blinkers off for her second career start and I am assuming we are going to be off the turf again this afternoon. In her debut she dueled for the early lead and weakened late to finish third going five furlongs on turf at Monmouth Park. The Thomas barn is 37% winners (with a +ROI) with second out maidens. She is bred to like a wet track, by Into Mischief out of a stakes placed Lemon Drop Kid mare that has dropped two other foals to race with one dirt winner.

Hit the Wash was off poorly getting bumped and pinched back coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace and finished up well in a runner up finish unable to get to the winner in the stretch. The winner was Cafe Society, who came back to run third in the Tempted in her next outing on Nov. 6 here. The $150,000 Keeneland purchase is in good hand with the Clement barn. Rosario sticks and she has the pedigree to handle a wet track, out of a More Than Ready mare, her first foal to race. 

AQUEDUCT RACE 7 ANALYSIS (3:17 P.M. ET)

Race 7 Alw $82,000N1X

• #2 Adare   9-5
• #5 Blindwillie McTell    6-1
• #4 Binkster   4-1
• #7 Full Impact   5-2

Analysis: Adare pressed the early pace and battled on gamely in the stretch to come up just a neck short last out at this level at Belmont Park after shipping in from the left coast. The colt was 6 1/2 lengths clear of the third-place finisher. The Drysdale trainee broke his maiden three back at Del Mar going 6 1/2 furlongs and his numbers have improved in his two starts versus winners. He catches a field here he can beat, and he is bred to handle a wet track if we get more rain.

Blindwillie McTell tracked the early pace and weakened to finish sixth last out at this level at the Spa going seven furlongs. Two back he was third behind Yaupon, who came back to win a couple of graded stakes in his next two starts and then was eighth in the Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1) last Saturday. The Rice trainee has landed in the exacta in 4 of 5 trips over the Big A main track and has landed in the exacta in all three trips on off tracks. He owns a solid pace profile throughout and has worked well for his return off a 77-day break. 

LIVE LONGSHOTS

Aqueduct

• R1: #11 Pangea Proxima   8-1
• R4: #2 Canarsie Girl   15-1
• R4: #4 Lucky Linsey   10-1
• R4: #1 Mucho Sunshine   8-1
• R8: #1 Winning Factor / 1a Musical Heart   8-1 

Good luck today!

VegasInsider Staff

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