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Nov 13, 2021

Sunday's Picks from Aqueduct and Del Mar

It was bombs away at Aqueduct on Saturday, giving us a $61,096 Pick 6 carryover going into Sunday’s card.

If you had five of six in the Pick 6 on Saturday you were still rewarded with a $20,365.50 payoff. And that is with $3.90 and $2.70 winners in the sequence.

The craziness started in the seventh race with Awillaway found a way to pull off the upset and paid $94.50. The mare had been beaten by 10, 11 ¼ and 46 ¾ lengths in her previous three starts.

After Happy Medium got the job done as the heavy chalk in the eighth, Mandate pulled of the huge upset in the Artie Schiller, paying $91.50. Alicia’s Way finished things off in the nightcap paying $32.70 with 24-1 and 26-1 longshots running second and third.

Then in the third race at Del Mar there was another head scratcher. While my top pick Da Kine was eased, Primer Dimer came calling late and paid a hefty $103.40.


Usually with a longshot I can look back and find something that might make sense, but with those three longshots I had a tough time finding any reason to wager on them.

On the plus side we have a decent sized carryover in the Pick 6 to shoot for at the Big A this afternoon.

My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Del Mar.

“America’s Day at the Races” is on FS2 from 2:30 to 5:30 ET with the action from Aqueduct. TVG is offering new players up to a $300 Risk Free wager. In addition, Twin Spires is offering a $200 Risk Free wager.

To purchase my Aqueduct and Best Plays Reports for Sunday click here .

Here is the opener from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQUEDUCT PARK 1 ANALYSIS (12:20 P.M. ET)

AQU Race 1 Md $30,000

  • #7 Next Tuesday 2-1
  • #4 Amazing Dream 7-2
  • #6 Prima Della 5-1
  • #1 Seize the Whiskey / 1a Royally Blue 4-1

Analysis: Next Tuesday dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish third last out against $40,000 foes at Belmont Park in her first start for a price tag. She also was switching from turf, coming up short in her three previous outings which include a runner up finish at the Spa in August going 5 1/2 on turf. Blinkers are added and she should be in the mix early here for the Breen barn. Ortiz sticks and this is a weak looking group.

Amazing Dream checked in fifth last out going long on turf in her third career outing and first going long. She drops out of a $50,000 maiden claimer and returns to the main track. She was a well beaten third in her debut on dirt, then fifth two back, both versus tougher than she faces here. Pletcher is 21% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.

AQUEDUCT 7 ANALYSIS (3:13 P.M. ET)

AQU Race 7 Alw $72,000N1X

  • #6 King Angelo 7-2
  • #9 War Terminator 3-1
  • #3 Uncle George 6-1
  • #1 Thunderbird Café 10-1

Analysis: King Angelo faced winners for the first time last out and put in a good effort. He tracked the early pace and finished gamely in a third-place finish, beaten 1 1/2 lengths. He graduated two back at the Spa going 5 1/2 furlongs in his sixth career start, taking the field gate to wire and winning by three lengths. He returns off a 2 1/2 month break here with three bullet works on the morning tab for the Serpe barn. Irad takes the call and this colt owns solid early and mid pace numbers. Looks as if this guy still has some upside.

War Terminator is making his first start since May where the colt was beaten just a neck going seven furlongs at Belmont Park in his first go against winners. He graduated two back in his debut over yielding turf here going six furlongs at 8-1. The Thomas barn is 25% winners (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a +180-day layoff. The barn tends to have them ready to go off the bench and the cut back to six furlongs suits.

DEL MAR 3 ANALYSIS (1:30 P.M. PT)

DMR Race 3 Md Sp Wt

  • #2 Sumter 5-2
  • #4 Admiral Halsey 4-1
  • #3 Apprehend 9-5
  • #1 B Dawk 5-1

Analysis: Sumter set the early fractions and looked home free only to get nailed at the wire last out in a runner up finish, beaten a nose while 2 1/4 lengths clear of the rest of the field. Four have come out of that race to run back with a couple of seconds. The Mandella trainee has improved with each start and looks primed to graduate her with Prat picking up the call. He is out of the turf stakes winner A Little Bit Sassy ($318,182) who has dropped two other foals to race including stakes winner Pizzazz ($123,482).

Admiral Halsey goes from Ward to D'Amato who is 23% winners (with a +ROI) with newcomers to the barn. Under Ward this guy made two starts, a third in his debut behind repeat winner Red Danger and then a third at Kentucky Downs going 6 1/2 furlongs. The gelding put in a bullet work over the main track here last week and looks ready to go here in his local debut off an eight-week break. He is out of the stakes winner Aloof who has dropped two turf winners.

LIVE LONGSHOTS

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their Pick 4 and Pick 5 wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win wager.

Aqueduct

  • R7: #1 Thunderbird Café 10-1
  • R8: #12 Flown 12-1
  • R9: #10 Sweeter 10-1

Good luck today!

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